Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 19, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.8800 (0.57%) ($29.7000 - $29.9200) on Thu. May. 19, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $29.8800(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)    XLK(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.56(1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.71(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.79(0.3%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.81% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2005	28.95	29.79		29.56			29.88(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-9	-10000	3	-45	0.49	50%	0.07	21	0.97%	0	0.4	46	0
2	May_18_2005	28.93	29.77	29.71	29.52			29.71(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-14	-10000	-3	-48	1.27	49%	0.07	14.9	0.98%	0	-0.2	53	0
3	May_17_2005	28.91	29.77	29.74	29.57			29.7(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.77	49%	0.07	11.5	0.99%	0	-0.2	50	0
4	May_16_2005	28.89	29.75	29.77	29.6			29.36(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-10	-30	3	47%	0	5.9	0.98%	0	-1.3	49	0
5	May_13_2005	28.89	29.75	29.84	29.75			29.17(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-9	-10000	-9	-10	2.05	48%	0.03	9.3	0.97%	0	-1.8	39	0

6	May_12_2005	28.88	29.74	29.84	29.88			29.65(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-3	13	0.78	51%	0.07	15.8	0.95%	0	-0.3	50	0
7	May_11_2005	28.86	29.73	29.94	29.92			29.99(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-1	22	0.69	53%	0.07	17.8	0.95%	0	0.9	60	0
8	May_10_2005	28.84	29.72	29.92	29.93			29.85(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-1	32	0.84	53%	0.07	24	0.95%	0	0.4	62	0
9	May_9_2005	28.82	29.73	29.89	29.95			30.07(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	9	-10000	-1	37	3.14	53%	0.1	34.7	0.94%	0	1.1	60	0
10	May_6_2005	28.79	29.71	29.88	29.97			29.82(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-3	55	1.5	53%	0.07	42.6	0.93%	0	0.4	63	0

11	May_5_2005	28.77	29.69	29.87	30.01			29.89(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	23	-10000	4	78	1.05	53%	0.07	50.5	0.94%	0	0.7	66	0
12	May_4_2005	28.75	29.68	29.84	29.96			30.01(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	4	73	1.5	54%	0.1	53.5	0.94%	0	1.1	57	0
13	May_3_2005	28.72	29.65	29.77	29.91			29.98(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	6	59	2.3	54%	0.07	60.2	0.95%	0	1.1	51	0
14	May_2_2005	28.7	29.62	29.72	29.82			30.13(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	3	38	1.1	54%	0.14	69.4	0.95%	0	1.8	50	0
15	Apr_29_2005	28.66	29.58	29.62	29.78			30.05(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	5	23	0.94	56%	0.1	80.2	0.94%	0	1.7	53	0

16	Apr_28_2005	28.63	29.54	29.52	29.71			29.63(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	1	6	2.23	54%	0.07	86.4	0.94%	0	0.3	53	0
17	Apr_27_2005	28.61	29.52	29.52	29.69			29.76(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	6	2	0.58	54%	0.1	87.8	0.93%	0	0.8	51	0
18	Apr_26_2005	28.58	29.48	29.5	29.6			29.54(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	1	-4	1.25	56%	0.11	68	0.93%	0	0.2	52	0
19	Apr_25_2005	28.55	29.43	29.55	29.59			29.92(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	12	10	0.65	58%	0.07	54.1	0.93%	0	1.3	55	0
20	Apr_22_2005	28.53	29.37	29.52	29.43			29.72(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	10	-2	2.16	59%	0.11	40.3	0.93%	0	0.9	56	0

21	Apr_21_2005	28.5	29.32	29.49	29.43			29.53(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	0	-19	3.85	59%	0.11	20.3	0.93%	0	0.5	55	0
22	Apr_20_2005	28.47	29.27	29.51	29.29			29.27(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-9	-10000	-8	-13	0.78	59%	0.07	9.5	0.93%	0	0	53	0
23	Apr_19_2005	28.45	29.24	29.51	29.4			29.53(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10000	-7	12	0.8	59%	0.07	5.7	0.92%	0	0.6	62	0
24	Apr_18_2005	28.43	29.21	29.52	29.5			29.12(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-9	46	0.99	58%	0.04	6.5	0.91%	0	-0.2	64	0
25	Apr_15_2005	28.42	29.22	29.55	29.62			29.01(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	13	-10000	-7	74	1.17	58%		13.6	0.92%	0	-0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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