Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 11, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.7400 (0.98%) ($29.4200 - $29.8200) on Mon. Apr. 11, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $29.7400(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(55%)    XLK(55%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.56(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.3(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.19(1.88%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2005	28.36	29.19	29.3	29.56			29.74(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	7	104	1.47	64%	0.11	9.3	0.88%	0	1.3	57	0
2	Apr_8_2005	28.33	29.16	29.2	29.47			29.45(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	87	1.06	62%	0.07	-1.5	0.86%	0	0.7	53	0
3	Apr_7_2005	28.31	29.15	29.13	29.43			29.68(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	8	69	1.01	62%	0.07	-3	0.86%	0	1.4	51	0
4	Apr_6_2005	28.29	29.12	29	29.33			29.41(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10000	9	37	0.76	61%	0.07	-10.2	0.86%	0	0.8	50	0
5	Apr_5_2005	28.27	29.13	28.92	29.22			29.5(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	18	4	1.22	58%	0.07	-11.2	0.86%	0	0.9	47	0

6	Apr_4_2005	28.25	29.15	28.87	29			29.33(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	9	-39	1.67	58%	0.07	-15.3	0.88%	0	0.4	42	0
7	Apr_1_2005	28.23	29.15	28.85	28.89			29.25(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	8	-56	1.7	56%	0.04	-17.7	0.9%	0	0.2	49	0
8	Mar_31_2005	28.22	29.15	28.86	28.78			29.15(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	11	-68	0.77	56%	0.07	-19	0.9%	0	-0	46	0
9	Mar_30_2005	28.2	29.16	28.87	28.64			28.87(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	5	-89	1.17	54%	0.07	-21.8	0.9%	0	-0.7	46	0
10	Mar_29_2005	28.18	29.18	28.93	28.58			28.41(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-36	-10000	-11	-111	1.31	51%	0.04	-17.7	0.87%	0	-1.8	33	0

11	Mar_28_2005	28.17	29.21	29.06	28.72			28.77(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-7	-98	0.82	54%	0.11	-9	0.86%	0	-1.1	33	0
12	Mar_24_2005	28.14	29.21	29.11	28.8			28.72(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-12	-101	2.38	54%	0.11	-3.8	0.86%	0	-1.4	37	0
13	Mar_23_2005	28.11	29.24	29.18	28.95			28.42(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-32	-10000	-15	-82	6.57	52%	0.07	-1.5	0.85%	0	-2	42	0
14	Mar_22_2005	28.09	29.26	29.26	29.13			28.56(-2.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-16	-59	3.71	52%	0.07	2.1	0.85%	0	-1.7	46	0
15	Mar_21_2005	28.07	29.26	29.38	29.33			29.15(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-9	-18	0.93	58%	0.11	4.4	0.81%	0	-0.3	52	0

16	Mar_18_2005	28.04	29.25	29.46	29.44			29.16(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-2	20	1.35	58%	0.14	11.7	0.81%	0	-0.2	54	0
17	Mar_17_2005	28	29.26	29.51	29.46			29.47(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	2	35	0.83	61%	0.11	15.3	0.81%	0	0.5	54	0
18	Mar_16_2005	27.97	29.26	29.5	29.44			29.3(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	2	46	4.05	61%	0.11	18.2	0.81%	0	0.1	61	0
19	Mar_15_2005	27.94	29.25	29.48	29.42			29.57(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-10000	-3	57	2.55	64%	0.14	18.2	0.8%	0	0.8	67	0
20	Mar_14_2005	27.9	29.23	29.44	29.45			29.7(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	18	-10000	-4	82	0.55	64%	0.14	24.1	0.8%	0	1.2	71	0

21	Mar_11_2005	27.86	29.2	29.44	29.49			29.25(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-8	91	1.76	64%	0.14	28.5	0.79%	0	0.1	54	0
22	Mar_10_2005	27.82	29.19	29.38	29.58			29.38(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	29	-10000	2	109	2.4	64%	0.14	38.5	0.79%	0	0.5	50	0
23	Mar_9_2005	27.78	29.19	29.32	29.56			29.19(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	24	-10000	2	91	4.28	64%	0.14	41.7	0.79%	0	0	47	0
24	Mar_8_2005	27.74	29.18	29.25	29.54			29.72(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	11	78	1.76	69%	0.14	47.2	0.75%	0	1.5	55	0
25	Mar_7_2005	27.7	29.14	29.12	29.42			29.92(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	15	37	1.13	69%		49.2	0.75%	0	2.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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