Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.4700 (0.58%) ($29.3200 - $29.5600) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $29.4700(0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    EWG(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    VWO(-2%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.46(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.51(-0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.26(0.72%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.37% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2005	28	29.26	29.51	29.46			29.47(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	2	35	0.83	61%	0.11	15.3	0.81%	0	0.5	54	0
2	Mar_16_2005	27.97	29.26	29.5	29.44			29.3(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	2	46	4.05	61%	0.11	18.2	0.81%	0	0.1	61	0
3	Mar_15_2005	27.94	29.25	29.48	29.42			29.57(-0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	12	-10000	-3	57	2.55	64%	0.14	18.2	0.8%	0	0.8	67	0
4	Mar_14_2005	27.9	29.23	29.44	29.45			29.7(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	18	-10000	-4	82	0.55	64%	0.14	24.1	0.8%	0	1.2	71	0
5	Mar_11_2005	27.86	29.2	29.44	29.49			29.25(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-10000	-8	91	1.76	64%	0.14	28.5	0.79%	0	0.1	54	0

6	Mar_10_2005	27.82	29.19	29.38	29.58			29.38(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	29	-10000	2	109	2.4	64%	0.14	38.5	0.79%	0	0.5	50	0
7	Mar_9_2005	27.78	29.19	29.32	29.56			29.19(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	24	-10000	2	91	4.28	64%	0.14	41.7	0.79%	0	0	47	0
8	Mar_8_2005	27.74	29.18	29.25	29.54			29.72(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	11	78	1.76	69%	0.14	47.2	0.75%	0	1.5	55	0
9	Mar_7_2005	27.7	29.14	29.12	29.42			29.92(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	15	37	1.13	69%	0.18	49.2	0.75%	0	2.2	56	0
10	Mar_4_2005	27.65	29.1	29.02	29.25			29.71(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8	-10000	8	6	1.71	71%	0.14	56.3	0.76%	0	2	58	0

11	Mar_3_2005	27.61	29.05	29.02	29.16			29.25(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	-10000	11	-0	2.31	68%	0.15	65.6	0.74%	0	0.7	53	0
12	Mar_2_2005	27.57	29.02	28.97	29.04			29.1(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-10000	11	-10	2.57	64%	0.15	66.7	0.74%	0	0.3	51	0
13	Mar_1_2005	27.53	29	28.99	28.92			29.13(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	15	-26	1.48	61%	0.11	69	0.76%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Feb_28_2005	27.5	28.97	29	28.76			29.05(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	1	-47	1.97	55%	0.15	61.7	0.79%	0	0.3	50	0
15	Feb_25_2005	27.46	28.93	29.01	28.75			29.25(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-13	-10000	-1	-50	3.55	55%	0.15	61.3	0.79%	0	0.9	52	0

16	Feb_24_2005	27.42	28.87	28.98	28.76			28.69(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-13	-49	2	51%	0.11	61.9	0.76%	0	-0.4	49	0
17	Feb_23_2005	27.39	28.84	29.02	28.9			28.47(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-15	-24	1.74	49%	0.11	69.3	0.75%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Feb_22_2005	27.36	28.8	29.1	29.07			28.32(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-10	-10000	-18	15	4.25	53%	0.18	66.3	0.76%	0	-0.9	48	0
19	Feb_18_2005	27.31	28.78	29.18	29.27			29.01(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-2	73	1.07	59%	0.15	67.9	0.71%	0	0.4	69	0
20	Feb_17_2005	27.27	28.71	29.2	29.29			29.32(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	5	107	1.23	60%	0.18	66.4	0.7%	0	0.9	84	0

21	Feb_16_2005	27.22	28.62	29.15	29.24			29.38(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	7	121	1.05	60%	0.15	66.7	0.71%	0	1.2	86	0
22	Feb_15_2005	27.18	28.54	29.09	29.17			29.3(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	2	132	0.85	60%	0.18	69.3	0.71%	0	1.2	87	0
23	Feb_14_2005	27.13	28.46	29.02	29.15			29.35(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	6	163	1.02	60%	0.15	74.7	0.71%	0	1.4	91	0
24	Feb_11_2005	27.09	28.37	28.93	29.15			29.09(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	0	173	2.57	62%	0.18	77.9	0.72%	0	1.1	82	0
25	Feb_10_2005	27.04	28.28	28.84	29.09			29.07(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	52	-10000	5	194	3.7	62%		79.6	0.73%	0	1.2	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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