Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 1, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $29.1300 (0.28%) ($29.0000 - $29.3300) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $29.1300(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    EWG(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.92(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.99(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29(0.45%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2005	27.53	29	28.99	28.92			29.13(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	15	-26	1.48	61%	0.11	69	0.76%	0	0.4	48	0
2	Feb_28_2005	27.5	28.97	29	28.76			29.05(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	1	-47	1.97	55%	0.15	61.7	0.79%	0	0.3	50	0
3	Feb_25_2005	27.46	28.93	29.01	28.75			29.25(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-13	-10000	-1	-50	3.55	55%	0.15	61.3	0.79%	0	0.9	52	0
4	Feb_24_2005	27.42	28.87	28.98	28.76			28.69(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-13	-49	2	51%	0.11	61.9	0.76%	0	-0.4	49	0
5	Feb_23_2005	27.39	28.84	29.02	28.9			28.47(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-15	-24	1.74	49%	0.11	69.3	0.75%	0	-0.8	48	0

6	Feb_22_2005	27.36	28.8	29.1	29.07			28.32(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-10	-10000	-18	15	4.25	53%	0.18	66.3	0.76%	0	-0.9	48	0
7	Feb_18_2005	27.31	28.78	29.18	29.27			29.01(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-2	73	1.07	59%	0.15	67.9	0.71%	0	0.4	69	0
8	Feb_17_2005	27.27	28.71	29.2	29.29			29.32(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	5	107	1.23	60%	0.18	66.4	0.7%	0	0.9	84	0
9	Feb_16_2005	27.22	28.62	29.15	29.24			29.38(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	7	121	1.05	60%	0.15	66.7	0.71%	0	1.2	86	0
10	Feb_15_2005	27.18	28.54	29.09	29.17			29.3(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	2	132	0.85	60%	0.18	69.3	0.71%	0	1.2	87	0

11	Feb_14_2005	27.13	28.46	29.02	29.15			29.35(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	6	163	1.02	60%	0.15	74.7	0.71%	0	1.4	91	0
12	Feb_11_2005	27.09	28.37	28.93	29.15			29.09(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	0	173	2.57	62%	0.18	77.9	0.72%	0	1.1	82	0
13	Feb_10_2005	27.04	28.28	28.84	29.09			29.07(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	52	-10000	5	194	3.7	62%	0.15	79.6	0.73%	0	1.2	84	0
14	Feb_9_2005	27	28.19	28.75	29.04			29.04(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	-10000	6	205	1.68	62%	0.15	78.8	0.73%	0	1.3	80	0
15	Feb_8_2005	26.96	28.09	28.64	28.98			29.21(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	-10000	11	213	1.46	64%	0.15	75.8	0.72%	0	1.7	81	0

16	Feb_7_2005	26.92	27.99	28.48	28.87			29.04(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	-10000	12	190	0.87	64%	0.15	72.1	0.73%	0	1.7	75	0
17	Feb_4_2005	26.88	27.89	28.35	28.75			29.1(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	19	182	0.74	67%	0.15	63.3	0.73%	0	2	79	0
18	Feb_3_2005	26.84	27.78	28.18	28.55			28.83(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	-10000	14	149	1.75	69%	0.15	52	0.76%	0	1.9	79	0
19	Feb_2_2005	26.8	27.69	28.05	28.4			28.74(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	13	132	1.7	64%	0.11	37.8	0.8%	0	2	80	0
20	Feb_1_2005	26.77	27.61	27.94	28.25			28.63(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	19	122	1.89	65%	0.15	28.1	0.84%	0	2.2	80	0

21	Jan_31_2005	26.73	27.55	27.85	28.03			28.44(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	-10000	13	104	0.96	65%	0.11	13.8	0.84%	0	2.2	76	0
22	Jan_28_2005	26.7	27.52	27.76	27.88			28.12(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	11	98	0.37	63%	0.11	2.4	0.83%	0	1.7	75	0
23	Jan_27_2005	26.67	27.5	27.68	27.75			28.09(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	9	85	1.18	63%	0.11	-9.2	0.84%	0	1.8	74	0
24	Jan_26_2005	26.64	27.49	27.59	27.65			27.95(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	4	77	1.4	64%	0.11	-17.5	0.84%	0	1.4	75	0
25	Jan_25_2005	26.61	27.48	27.5	27.6			27.55(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	63	1.1	65%		-19.8	0.83%	0	0.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.