Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 24, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $28.6900 (0.77%) ($28.4200 - $28.7300) on Thu. Feb. 24, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $28.6900(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    EWG(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $28.87
5 Day Moving Average   $28.76(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.98(-1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.87(-0.62%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2005	27.42	28.87	28.98	28.76			28.69(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-13	-49	2	51%	0.11	61.9	0.76%	0	-0.4	49	0
2	Feb_23_2005	27.39	28.84	29.02	28.9			28.47(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-15	-24	1.74	49%	0.11	69.3	0.75%	0	-0.8	48	0
3	Feb_22_2005	27.36	28.8	29.1	29.07			28.32(-2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-10	-10000	-18	15	4.25	53%	0.18	66.3	0.76%	0	-0.9	48	0
4	Feb_18_2005	27.31	28.78	29.18	29.27			29.01(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-2	73	1.07	59%	0.15	67.9	0.71%	0	0.4	69	0
5	Feb_17_2005	27.27	28.71	29.2	29.29			29.32(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	5	107	1.23	60%	0.18	66.4	0.7%	0	0.9	84	0

6	Feb_16_2005	27.22	28.62	29.15	29.24			29.38(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10000	7	121	1.05	60%	0.15	66.7	0.71%	0	1.2	86	0
7	Feb_15_2005	27.18	28.54	29.09	29.17			29.3(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	2	132	0.85	60%	0.18	69.3	0.71%	0	1.2	87	0
8	Feb_14_2005	27.13	28.46	29.02	29.15			29.35(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	6	163	1.02	60%	0.15	74.7	0.71%	0	1.4	91	0
9	Feb_11_2005	27.09	28.37	28.93	29.15			29.09(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	43	-10000	0	173	2.57	62%	0.18	77.9	0.72%	0	1.1	82	0
10	Feb_10_2005	27.04	28.28	28.84	29.09			29.07(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	52	-10000	5	194	3.7	62%	0.15	79.6	0.73%	0	1.2	84	0

11	Feb_9_2005	27	28.19	28.75	29.04			29.04(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	-10000	6	205	1.68	62%	0.15	78.8	0.73%	0	1.3	80	0
12	Feb_8_2005	26.96	28.09	28.64	28.98			29.21(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	-10000	11	213	1.46	64%	0.15	75.8	0.72%	0	1.7	81	0
13	Feb_7_2005	26.92	27.99	28.48	28.87			29.04(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	-10000	12	190	0.87	64%	0.15	72.1	0.73%	0	1.7	75	0
14	Feb_4_2005	26.88	27.89	28.35	28.75			29.1(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	19	182	0.74	67%	0.15	63.3	0.73%	0	2	79	0
15	Feb_3_2005	26.84	27.78	28.18	28.55			28.83(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	48	-10000	14	149	1.75	69%	0.15	52	0.76%	0	1.9	79	0

16	Feb_2_2005	26.8	27.69	28.05	28.4			28.74(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	13	132	1.7	64%	0.11	37.8	0.8%	0	2	80	0
17	Feb_1_2005	26.77	27.61	27.94	28.25			28.63(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	19	122	1.89	65%	0.15	28.1	0.84%	0	2.2	80	0
18	Jan_31_2005	26.73	27.55	27.85	28.03			28.44(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	-10000	13	104	0.96	65%	0.11	13.8	0.84%	0	2.2	76	0
19	Jan_28_2005	26.7	27.52	27.76	27.88			28.12(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	11	98	0.37	63%	0.11	2.4	0.83%	0	1.7	75	0
20	Jan_27_2005	26.67	27.5	27.68	27.75			28.09(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	9	85	1.18	63%	0.11	-9.2	0.84%	0	1.8	74	0

21	Jan_26_2005	26.64	27.49	27.59	27.65			27.95(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	4	77	1.4	64%	0.11	-17.5	0.84%	0	1.4	75	0
22	Jan_25_2005	26.61	27.48	27.5	27.6			27.55(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	63	1.1	65%	0.04	-19.8	0.83%	0	0.2	54	0
23	Jan_24_2005	26.6	27.5	27.47	27.64			27.71(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	3	65	0.89	65%	0.11	-10.8	0.84%	0	0.6	52	0
24	Jan_21_2005	26.57	27.51	27.4	27.61			27.47(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	3	43	3.27	64%	0.08	-9.7	0.84%	0	-0.1	40	0
25	Jan_20_2005	26.55	27.53	27.36	27.58			27.58(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	7	19	0.81	64%		-7.9	0.84%	0	0.1	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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