Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 31, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $28.4400 (1.14%) ($28.1700 - $28.4400) on Mon. Jan. 31, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $28.4400(1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    EWG(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.03(1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.85(2.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.55(3.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2005	26.73	27.55	27.85	28.03			28.44(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	36	-10000	13	104	0.96	65%	0.11	13.8	0.84%	0	2.2	76	0
2	Jan_28_2005	26.7	27.52	27.76	27.88			28.12(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	11	98	0.37	63%	0.11	2.4	0.83%	0	1.7	75	0
3	Jan_27_2005	26.67	27.5	27.68	27.75			28.09(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	9	85	1.18	63%	0.11	-9.2	0.84%	0	1.8	74	0
4	Jan_26_2005	26.64	27.49	27.59	27.65			27.95(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	4	77	1.4	64%	0.11	-17.5	0.84%	0	1.4	75	0
5	Jan_25_2005	26.61	27.48	27.5	27.6			27.55(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-3	63	1.1	65%	0.04	-19.8	0.83%	0	0.2	54	0

6	Jan_24_2005	26.6	27.5	27.47	27.64			27.71(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	3	65	0.89	65%	0.11	-10.8	0.84%	0	0.6	52	0
7	Jan_21_2005	26.57	27.51	27.4	27.61			27.47(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	3	43	3.27	64%	0.08	-9.7	0.84%	0	-0.1	40	0
8	Jan_20_2005	26.55	27.53	27.36	27.58			27.58(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	7	19	0.81	64%	0.11	-7.9	0.84%	0	0.1	39	0
9	Jan_19_2005	26.52	27.53	27.3	27.5			27.67(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	10	-17	1.12	64%	0.08	-9	0.83%	0	0.3	40	0
10	Jan_18_2005	26.5	27.55	27.26	27.39			27.79(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	11	-47	0.59	63%	0.19	-14.5	0.83%	0	0.6	45	0

11	Jan_14_2005	26.45	27.53	27.23	27.27			27.55(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	9	-74	0.8	63%	0.11	-18.7	0.83%	0	0.1	41	0
12	Jan_13_2005	26.42	27.54	27.25	27.17			27.32(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.88	59%	0.08	-17.2	0.83%	0	-0.6	32	0
13	Jan_12_2005	26.4	27.56	27.3	27.12			27.19(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	5	-104	0.2	60%	0.11	-12.7	0.84%	0	-1	27	0
14	Jan_11_2005	26.37	27.58	27.38	27.06			27.11(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-4	-116	0.36	60%	0.08	-11.5	0.85%	0	-1.3	27	0
15	Jan_10_2005	26.35	27.58	27.46	27.11			27.19(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-6	-108	2.07	60%	0.11	-6.5	0.85%	0	-1.2	40	0

16	Jan_7_2005	26.32	27.58	27.52	27.18			27.05(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-35	-10000	-14	-96	0.37	60%	0.08	-0.8	0.85%	0	-1.6	42	0
17	Jan_6_2005	26.3	27.6	27.62	27.34			27.05(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-15	-69	0.77	60%	0.11	13.1	0.85%	0	-1.5	38	0
18	Jan_5_2005	26.27	27.61	27.72	27.52			26.91(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-24	-10000	-19	-38	1.43	60%	0.08	25.4	0.85%	0	-1.9	35	0
19	Jan_4_2005	26.25	27.61	27.83	27.74			27.34(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-9	5	1.29	63%	0.11	38.6	0.83%	0	-0.8	47	0
20	Jan_3_2005	26.22	27.62	27.87	27.85			27.53(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-5	29	2.03	63%	0.11	42.5	0.82%	0	-0.3	55	0

21	Dec_31_2004	26.19	27.6	27.88	27.91			27.85(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	51	0.68	67%	0.11	32.8	0.81%	0	0.7	74	0
22	Dec_30_2004	26.16	27.56	27.87	27.94			27.99(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-1	75	0.63	67%	0.15	20	0.81%	0	1.1	80	0
23	Dec_29_2004	26.12	27.52	27.84	27.95			27.98(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	1	97	0.71	67%	0.11	13.4	0.81%	0	1.2	80	0
24	Dec_28_2004	26.09	27.49	27.8	27.94			27.9(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	3	111	0.57	68%	0.15	10.4	0.81%	0	1.1	72	0
25	Dec_27_2004	26.05	27.47	27.76	27.9			27.83(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	5	112	0.82	68%		12.2	0.81%	0	1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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