Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 19, 2005

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $27.6700 (-0.43%) ($27.6700 - $27.9000) on Wed. Jan. 19, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $27.6700(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    EWG(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.5(0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.3(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.55(0.44%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_19_2005	26.52		27.3	27.5			27.67(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	10	-17	1.12	64%	0.08	-9	0.83%	0	0.3	40	0
2	Jan_18_2005	26.5	27.55	27.26	27.39			27.79(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	11	-47	0.59	63%	0.19	-14.5	0.83%	0	0.6	45	0
3	Jan_14_2005	26.45	27.53	27.23	27.27			27.55(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-12	-10000	9	-74	0.8	63%	0.11	-18.7	0.83%	0	0.1	41	0
4	Jan_13_2005	26.42	27.54	27.25	27.17			27.32(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.88	59%	0.08	-17.2	0.83%	0	-0.6	32	0
5	Jan_12_2005	26.4	27.56	27.3	27.12			27.19(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-10000	5	-104	0.2	60%	0.11	-12.7	0.84%	0	-1	27	0

6	Jan_11_2005	26.37	27.58	27.38	27.06			27.11(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-4	-116	0.36	60%	0.08	-11.5	0.85%	0	-1.3	27	0
7	Jan_10_2005	26.35	27.58	27.46	27.11			27.19(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-6	-108	2.07	60%	0.11	-6.5	0.85%	0	-1.2	40	0
8	Jan_7_2005	26.32	27.58	27.52	27.18			27.05(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-35	-10000	-14	-96	0.37	60%	0.08	-0.8	0.85%	0	-1.6	42	0
9	Jan_6_2005	26.3	27.6	27.62	27.34			27.05(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-15	-69	0.77	60%	0.11	13.1	0.85%	0	-1.5	38	0
10	Jan_5_2005	26.27	27.61	27.72	27.52			26.91(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-24	-10000	-19	-38	1.43	60%	0.08	25.4	0.85%	0	-1.9	35	0

11	Jan_4_2005	26.25	27.61	27.83	27.74			27.34(-0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-6	-10000	-9	5	1.29	63%	0.11	38.6	0.83%	0	-0.8	47	0
12	Jan_3_2005	26.22	27.62	27.87	27.85			27.53(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-5	29	2.03	63%	0.11	42.5	0.82%	0	-0.3	55	0
13	Dec_31_2004	26.19	27.6	27.88	27.91			27.85(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	51	0.68	67%	0.11	32.8	0.81%	0	0.7	74	0
14	Dec_30_2004	26.16	27.56	27.87	27.94			27.99(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-1	75	0.63	67%	0.15	20	0.81%	0	1.1	80	0
15	Dec_29_2004	26.12	27.52	27.84	27.95			27.98(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	1	97	0.71	67%	0.11	13.4	0.81%	0	1.2	80	0

16	Dec_28_2004	26.09	27.49	27.8	27.94			27.9(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	3	111	0.57	68%	0.15	10.4	0.81%	0	1.1	72	0
17	Dec_27_2004	26.05	27.47	27.76	27.9			27.83(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	5	112	0.82	68%	0.23	12.2	0.81%	0	1	63	0
18	Dec_23_2004	25.99	27.47	27.69	27.84			28.01(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	6	107	0.73	65%	0.12	15.2	0.8%	0	1.4	72	0
19	Dec_22_2004	25.96	27.48	27.58	27.78			28.02(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	6	102	2.33	65%	0.15	18.1	0.81%	0	1.4	75	0
20	Dec_21_2004	25.92	27.46	27.48	27.71			27.96(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	7	88	0.61	65%	0.15	17	0.82%	0	1.4	63	0

21	Dec_20_2004	25.88	27.45	27.39	27.63			27.67(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	3	69	0.63	64%	0.12	13	0.81%	0	0.6	53	0
22	Dec_17_2004	25.85	27.43	27.35	27.59			27.52(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	8	55	0.98	64%	0.15	3.1	0.81%	0	0.3	44	0
23	Dec_16_2004	25.81	27.42	27.31	27.5			27.71(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	13	19	2.2	65%	0.16	-4.6	0.81%	0	0.8	40	0
24	Dec_15_2004	25.77	27.41	27.22	27.36			27.7(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	14	-31	0.54	65%	0.16	-14.1	0.81%	0	0.8	42	0
25	Dec_14_2004	25.73	27.4	27.16	27.21			27.57(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	9	-73	1.47	65%		-21.1	0.81%	0	0.5	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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