Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 17, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $27.5200 (-0.69%) ($27.3000 - $27.5500) on Fri. Dec. 17, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $27.5200(-0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(71%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    EWG(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.59(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.35(0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.43(0.33%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2004	25.85	27.43	27.35	27.59			27.52(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	8	55	0.98	64%	0.15	3.1	0.81%	0	0.3	44	0
2	Dec_16_2004	25.81	27.42	27.31	27.5			27.71(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	13	19	2.2	65%	0.16	-4.6	0.81%	0	0.8	40	0
3	Dec_15_2004	25.77	27.41	27.22	27.36			27.7(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	14	-31	0.54	65%	0.16	-14.1	0.81%	0	0.8	42	0
4	Dec_14_2004	25.73	27.41	27.16	27.21			27.57(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	9	-73	1.47	65%	0.16	-21.1	0.81%	0	0.5	42	0
5	Dec_13_2004	25.69	27.4	27.14	27.11			27.47(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-23	-10000	3	-99	1.44	63%	0.16	-22.7	0.81%	0	0.2	45	0

6	Dec_10_2004	25.65	27.42	27.16	27.11			27.07(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	0	-98	0.79	61%	0.16	-13.3	0.8%	0	-0.9	48	0
7	Dec_9_2004	25.61	27.44	27.26	27.08			26.97(0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-19	-10000	2	-82	1.41	61%	0.12	-8.4	0.8%	0	-1.3	44	0
8	Dec_8_2004	25.58	27.46	27.36	27.06			26.96(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-5	-75	0.77	59%	0.08	-1.6	0.8%	0	-1.5	44	0
9	Dec_7_2004	25.56	27.47	27.45	27.11			27.1(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-5	-61	0.64	60%	0.12	19.2	0.81%	0	-1.1	42	0
10	Dec_6_2004	25.53	27.48	27.51	27.17			27.31(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-8	-53	0.67	60%	0.16	37.1	0.8%	0	-0.5	44	0

11	Dec_3_2004	25.49	27.48	27.52	27.26			27.06(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-19	-58	1.51	59%	0.12	50.8	0.8%	0	-1.2	37	0
12	Dec_2_2004	25.46	27.47	27.56	27.47			26.86(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-23	-10000	-21	-30	3.74	60%	0.12	81.5	0.8%	0	-1.8	42	0
13	Dec_1_2004	25.43	27.46	27.62	27.7			27.2(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-7	-10000	-13	12	1.59	63%	0.16	93.5	0.79%	0	-0.7	53	0
14	Nov_30_2004	25.39	27.41	27.67	27.84			27.44(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-6	48	1.97	66%	0.12	76.9	0.78%	0	0.1	57	0
15	Nov_29_2004	25.36	27.37	27.67	27.9			27.74(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	8	78	1.19	68%	0.2	78.7	0.76%	0	0.7	63	0

16	Nov_26_2004	25.31	27.3	27.7	27.81			28.11(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	14	94	0.37	72%	0.24	74.5	0.74%	0	1.4	77	0
17	Nov_24_2004	25.25	27.2	27.64	27.67			28(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	12	83	1	72%	0.16	69.6	0.74%	0	1.3	72	0
18	Nov_23_2004	25.21	27.11	27.56	27.55			27.9(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	-10000	6	81	0.97	72%	0.12	72.9	0.74%	0	1.3	77	0
19	Nov_22_2004	25.18	27.03	27.49	27.49			27.73(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	1	107	0.65	72%	0.16	78.4	0.74%	0	1.2	81	0
20	Nov_19_2004	25.14	26.95	27.44	27.48			27.3(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-11	126	1.91	70%	0.16	79.9	0.72%	0	0.6	64	0

21	Nov_18_2004	25.1	26.87	27.41	27.59			27.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	42	-10000	-1	170	2.2	70%	0.12	78.6	0.72%	0	0.8	68	0
22	Nov_17_2004	25.07	26.78	27.37	27.6			27.4(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	55	-10000	4	206	0.87	70%	0.16	76.6	0.72%	0	0.8	70	0
23	Nov_16_2004	25.03	26.68	27.29	27.56			27.63(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	-10000	8	215	1.04	72%	0.16	73.3	0.71%	0	1.3	70	0
24	Nov_15_2004	24.99	26.57	27.14	27.48			27.68(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	-10000	10	197	0.58	72%	0.16	68.9	0.71%	0	1.5	70	0
25	Nov_12_2004	24.95	26.45	27.01	27.38			27.82(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	-10000	17	199	1.71	72%		67.5	0.71%	0	1.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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