Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 24, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $28.0000 (0.36%) ($27.9300 - $28.1400) on Wed. Nov. 24, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $28.0000(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(-2%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.67(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.64(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.2(2.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2004	25.25	27.2	27.64	27.67			28(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	12	83	1	72%	0.16	69.6	0.74%	0	1.3	72	0
2	Nov_23_2004	25.21	27.11	27.56	27.55			27.9(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	-10000	6	81	0.97	72%	0.12	72.9	0.74%	0	1.3	77	0
3	Nov_22_2004	25.18	27.03	27.49	27.49			27.73(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	-10000	1	107	0.65	72%	0.16	78.4	0.74%	0	1.2	81	0
4	Nov_19_2004	25.14	26.95	27.44	27.48			27.3(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-11	126	1.91	70%	0.16	79.9	0.72%	0	0.6	64	0
5	Nov_18_2004	25.1	26.87	27.41	27.59			27.4(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	42	-10000	-1	170	2.2	70%	0.12	78.6	0.72%	0	0.8	68	0

6	Nov_17_2004	25.07	26.78	27.37	27.6			27.4(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	55	-10000	4	206	0.87	70%	0.16	76.6	0.72%	0	0.8	70	0
7	Nov_16_2004	25.03	26.68	27.29	27.56			27.63(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	-10000	8	215	1.04	72%	0.16	73.3	0.71%	0	1.3	70	0
8	Nov_15_2004	24.99	26.57	27.14	27.48			27.68(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	-10000	10	197	0.58	72%	0.16	68.9	0.71%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Nov_12_2004	24.95	26.45	27.01	27.38			27.82(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	-10000	17	199	1.71	72%	0.16	67.5	0.71%	0	1.9	75	0
10	Nov_11_2004	24.91	26.34	26.86	27.21			27.49(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	9	190	3.03	71%	0.16	66	0.7%	0	1.7	77	0

11	Nov_10_2004	24.87	26.23	26.72	27.12			27.2(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	-10000	15	203	2	70%	0.12	65.5	0.69%	0	1.5	76	0
12	Nov_9_2004	24.84	26.14	26.63	26.98			27.21(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	-10000	27	213	1.68	70%	0.16	62.4	0.69%	0	1.7	77	0
13	Nov_8_2004	24.8	26.06	26.53	26.73			27.2(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	60	-10000	15	195	2.58	70%	0.12	57	0.69%	0	2	78	0
14	Nov_5_2004	24.77	25.96	26.41	26.59			26.94(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	-10000	15	193	2.87	66%	0.16	57.5	0.69%	0	1.9	75	0
15	Nov_4_2004	24.73	25.89	26.29	26.45			27.04(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	-10000	19	172	0.99	67%	0.12	57.3	0.71%	0	2.4	72	0

16	Nov_3_2004	24.7	25.8	26.13	26.27			26.51(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	6	148	0.8	64%	0.16	60.6	0.67%	0	1.8	70	0
17	Nov_2_2004	24.66	25.75	26.02	26.22			25.96(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	30	-10000	-9	148	1.15	60%	0.08	69.4	0.63%	0	0.6	65	0
18	Nov_1_2004	24.64	25.73	25.97	26.29			26.48(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	-10000	11	178	1.55	67%	0.08	81.3	0.58%	0	2	66	0
19	Oct_29_2004	24.62	25.67	25.86	26.21			26.27(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	16	165	1.14	65%	0.12	88.6	0.57%	0	1.8	67	0
20	Oct_28_2004	24.59	25.62	25.79	26.09			26.13(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10000	17	140	1.02	67%	0.12	86.8	0.58%	0	1.5	62	0

21	Oct_27_2004	24.56	25.56	25.71	25.96			26.28(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	46	-10000	24	113	1.27	67%	0.12	79.8	0.59%	0	2.2	68	0
22	Oct_26_2004	24.53	25.5	25.61	25.78			26.31(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	36	-10000	25	68	0.69	67%	0.12	69.5	0.59%	0	2.7	64	0
23	Oct_25_2004	24.5	25.43	25.54	25.59			26.05(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	22	-10000	18	32	0.89	66%	0.12	61.2	0.58%	0	2.5	62	0
24	Oct_22_2004	24.47	25.37	25.47	25.46			25.66(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	1	-1	0.9	62%	0.08	47.3	0.56%	0	1.3	58	0
25	Oct_21_2004	24.45	25.34	25.46	25.45			25.5(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	4	8	0.34	55%		37.9	0.57%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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