Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 25, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $24.8100 (0.4%) ($24.6700 - $24.8500) on Wed. Aug. 25, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $24.8100(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.7(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.65(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.48(1.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2004	23.63	24.48	24.65	24.7			24.81(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	3	65	0.46	56%	0	102.8	0.62%	0	1.3	75	0
2	Aug_24_2004	23.63	24.43	24.62	24.68			24.71(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	2	63	0.45	60%	0.04	81.7	0.66%	0	0.9	57	0
3	Aug_23_2004	23.62	24.37	24.6	24.66			24.66(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	2	63	0.42	60%	0	61.5	0.68%	0	0.8	62	0
4	Aug_20_2004	23.62	24.32	24.56	24.64			24.71(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	63	0.33	63%	0	48.8	0.68%	0	1	62	0
5	Aug_19_2004	23.62	24.26	24.53	24.59			24.61(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	60	1.99	63%	0.04	39.1	0.68%	0	0.9	64	0

6	Aug_18_2004	23.61	24.22	24.48	24.58			24.73(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	3	66	0.48	63%	0	36.6	0.69%	0	1.3	72	0
7	Aug_17_2004	23.61	24.17	24.45	24.55			24.57(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	2	83	0.52	59%	0.04	37.3	0.69%	0	1.1	73	0
8	Aug_16_2004	23.6	24.15	24.42	24.53			24.58(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	7	106	0.27	59%	0	46.9	0.71%	0	1.2	78	0
9	Aug_13_2004	23.6	24.13	24.39	24.47			24.47(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	2	121	0.45	59%	0.04	51.1	0.71%	0	1	75	0
10	Aug_12_2004	23.59	24.11	24.36	24.45			24.56(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	9	140	0.66	59%	0.04	57.7	0.71%	0	1.4	75	0

11	Aug_11_2004	23.58	24.07	24.3	24.37			24.57(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	2	133	0.47	59%	0	57.1	0.71%	0	1.6	70	0
12	Aug_10_2004	23.58	24.03	24.22	24.35			24.47(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	6	131	1.02	55%	0.04	58.9	0.71%	0	1.4	63	0
13	Aug_9_2004	23.57	23.99	24.13	24.3			24.29(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	23	-10000	-1	95	0.65	53%	0	56	0.73%	0	1	49	0
14	Aug_6_2004	23.57	23.96	24.05	24.31			24.35(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	69	1.78	45%	0	56	0.83%	0	1.3	51	0
15	Aug_5_2004	23.57	23.92	23.98	24.26			24.17(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	4	48	2.01	45%	0	55.4	0.82%	0	0.9	51	0

16	Aug_4_2004	23.57	23.89	23.93	24.22			24.46(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	14	40	0.61	48%	0	49.6	0.81%	0	2	61	0
17	Aug_3_2004	23.57	23.85	23.86	24.08			24.25(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	17	20	0.9	45%	0	42.2	0.81%	0	1.5	60	0
18	Aug_2_2004	23.57	23.82	23.85	23.92			24.3(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	-10000	17	11	1.11	45%	0.04	23.8	0.81%	0	1.9	65	0
19	Jul_30_2004	23.56	23.79	23.83	23.76			24.12(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	8	-10000	12	-3	0.8	45%	0	7.6	0.81%	0	1.5	61	0
20	Jul_29_2004	23.56	23.76	23.83	23.65			23.95(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	1	-10000	5	-12	1.47	42%	0	-15.1	0.81%	0	0.9	60	0

21	Jul_28_2004	23.56	23.75	23.83	23.6			23.78(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-6	-10000	-2	-16	0.51	42%	-0.04	-22.7	0.83%	0	0.1	55	0
22	Jul_27_2004	23.57	23.74	23.82	23.62			23.47(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-16	-17	0.82	38%	-0.04	-20.5	0.81%	0	-1.3	44	0
23	Jul_26_2004	23.58	23.76	23.84	23.77			23.5(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-10	-10000	-15	7	0.76	38%	-0.04	3.4	0.81%	0	-1.2	47	0
24	Jul_23_2004	23.59	23.77	23.86	23.91			23.56(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	1	-10000	-10	32	0.27	38%	-0.04	27.4	0.81%	0	-1.1	47	0
25	Jul_22_2004	23.6	23.79	23.87	24.01			23.7(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	10	-10000	-5	56	0.31	41%		50	0.81%	0	-0.5	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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