Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 6, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $24.3500 (0.04%) ($24.2600 - $24.4100) on Tue. Apr. 6, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $24.3500(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(1%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.33(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.19(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.13(0.91%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   5.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2004	23.41		24.19	24.33			24.35(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	2	39	0.69	63%	0.13	-7.4	0.73%	0	1	41	0
2	Apr_5_2004	23.38	24.13	24.13	24.31			24.34(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	4	25	0.64	63%	0.13	-7.1	0.73%	0	0.9	54	0
3	Apr_2_2004	23.35	24.14	24.08	24.27			24.27(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	7	14	1.3	63%	0.09	-8.3	0.73%	0	0.5	58	0
4	Apr_1_2004	23.33	24.14	24.08	24.21			24.39(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	11	8	0.39	63%	0.13	-8.3	0.73%	0	0.9	59	0
5	Mar_31_2004	23.3	24.14	24.06	24.11			24.32(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	10	9	0.69	63%	0.09	-12	0.73%	0	0.7	63	0

6	Mar_30_2004	23.28	24.14	24.08	24.02			24.22(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-10000	9	4	0.41	63%	0.13	-14.8	0.73%	0	0.3	51	0
7	Mar_29_2004	23.25	24.15	24.07	23.94			24.13(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	8	-20	6.68	64%	0.09	-12	0.73%	0	-0.1	44	0
8	Mar_26_2004	23.23	24.16	24.07	23.87			23.98(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-55	0.51	64%	0.09	-7.4	0.73%	0	-0.7	38	0
9	Mar_25_2004	23.21	24.17	24.07	23.9			23.9(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-13	-74	0.64	64%	0.09	5.6	0.73%	0	-1	36	0
10	Mar_24_2004	23.19	24.18	24.05	24.01			23.86(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-15	-75	0.41	64%	0.09	18.8	0.74%	0	-1.2	40	0

11	Mar_23_2004	23.17	24.19	24.07	24.14			23.81(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-9	-52	0.46	64%	0.09	28.3	0.74%	0	-1.3	43	0
12	Mar_22_2004	23.15	24.19	24.13	24.22			23.82(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-2	-32	0.47	65%	0.09	30	0.74%	0	-1.2	43	0
13	Mar_19_2004	23.13	24.18	24.21	24.24			24.1(-1.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-4	-10000	2	-22	0.29	66%	0.09	31.5	0.73%	0	-0.3	45	0
14	Mar_18_2004	23.11	24.16	24.26	24.22			24.44(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	-10000	15	-11	0.31	71%	0.13	26.6	0.71%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Mar_17_2004	23.08	24.13	24.25	24.09			24.55(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	9	-26	1.07	71%	0.09	15.3	0.72%	0	1.4	61	0

16	Mar_16_2004	23.06	24.1	24.22	24.01			24.17(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-13	-10000	-5	-35	0.58	70%	0.13	10	0.7%	0	0.2	59	0
17	Mar_15_2004	23.03	24.1	24.23	24.05			23.94(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-16	-10	1.72	69%	0.09	19.2	0.69%	0	-0.5	60	0
18	Mar_12_2004	23.01	24.09	24.28	24.18			24.01(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-14	36	0.82	69%	0.09	32.8	0.7%	0	-0.3	58	0
19	Mar_11_2004	22.99	24.08	24.3	24.3			23.78(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	10	-10000	-15	83	1.4	68%	0.09	50.4	0.69%	0	-1	57	0
20	Mar_10_2004	22.97	24.09	24.34	24.43			24.13(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	30	-10000	-2	126	0.29	72%	0.09	70.4	0.66%	0	0.1	57	0

21	Mar_9_2004	22.95	24.07	24.31	24.45			24.41(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	3	134	0.24	73%	0.13	73.6	0.64%	0	1.1	58	0
22	Mar_8_2004	22.92	24.04	24.24	24.43			24.55(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	5	120	0.55	73%	0.09	72	0.64%	0	1.7	63	0
23	Mar_5_2004	22.9	23.99	24.16	24.39			24.62(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	9	115	0.6	73%	0.13	68.6	0.64%	0	2.2	69	0
24	Mar_4_2004	22.87	23.92	24.06	24.32			24.43(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	12	98	0.25	72%	0.13	56.4	0.64%	0	1.8	65	0
25	Mar_3_2004	22.84	23.88	24	24.23			24.26(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	10	80	0.24	71%		46.9	0.64%	0	1.4	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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