Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Mar. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $24.0100 (0.97%) ($23.8000 - $24.0700) on Sun. Mar. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $24.0100(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $24.09
5 Day Moving Average   $24.18(-0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.28(-1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.09(-0.33%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_12_2004	23.01	24.09	24.28	24.18			24.01(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-14	36	0.82	69%	0.09	32.8	0.7%	0	-0.3	58	0
2	Mar_11_2004	22.99	24.08	24.3	24.3			23.78(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	10	-10000	-15	83	1.4	68%	0.09	50.4	0.69%	0	-1	57	0
3	Mar_10_2004	22.97	24.09	24.34	24.43			24.13(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	30	-10000	-2	126	0.29	72%	0.09	70.4	0.66%	0	0.1	57	0
4	Mar_9_2004	22.95	24.07	24.31	24.45			24.41(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	3	134	0.24	73%	0.13	73.6	0.64%	0	1.1	58	0
5	Mar_8_2004	22.92	24.04	24.24	24.43			24.55(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	5	120	0.55	73%	0.09	72	0.64%	0	1.7	63	0

6	Mar_5_2004	22.9	23.99	24.16	24.39			24.62(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	-10000	9	115	0.6	73%	0.13	68.6	0.64%	0	2.2	69	0
7	Mar_4_2004	22.87	23.92	24.06	24.32			24.43(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	12	98	0.25	72%	0.13	56.4	0.64%	0	1.8	65	0
8	Mar_3_2004	22.84	23.88	24	24.23			24.26(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	10	80	0.24	71%	0.09	46.9	0.64%	0	1.4	59	0
9	Mar_2_2004	22.82	23.85	23.97	24.15			24.27(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	17	71	0.48	71%	0.09	45.9	0.64%	0	1.6	59	0
10	Mar_1_2004	22.8	23.82	23.94	24.02			24.38(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	17	53	0.36	71%	0.13	34.7	0.63%	0	2.3	67	0

11	Feb_27_2004	22.77	23.79	23.87	23.89			24.26(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	21	-10000	17	33	0.5	71%	0.09	23.8	0.63%	0	2.4	68	0
12	Feb_26_2004	22.75	23.77	23.82	23.76			24(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	6	-10000	3	16	0.3	71%	0.09	4.2	0.62%	0	1.4	68	0
13	Feb_25_2004	22.73	23.75	23.82	23.74			23.84(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	3	-10000	-4	22	0.45	70%	0.09	-7.5	0.62%	0	0.6	60	0
14	Feb_24_2004	22.71	23.75	23.81	23.77			23.6(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-10000	-10	29	0.23	71%	0.04	1.4	0.61%	0	-0.8	44	0
15	Feb_23_2004	22.7	23.75	23.82	23.84			23.73(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-1	49	0.32	71%	0.09	22.4	0.63%	0	-0.1	52	0

16	Feb_20_2004	22.68	23.74	23.81	23.85			23.64(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	7	-10000	-4	41	0.35	71%	0.04	35.8	0.63%	0	-0.6	47	0
17	Feb_19_2004	22.67	23.74	23.79	23.85			23.87(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	0	34	0.58	76%	0.13	54.2	0.62%	0	0.6	50	0
18	Feb_18_2004	22.64	23.76	23.75	23.88			24.03(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	3	29	0.29	72%	0.09	73.6	0.62%	0	1.6	58	0
19	Feb_17_2004	22.62	23.73	23.73	23.86			23.95(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	7	34	0.47	69%	0.13	76.4	0.67%	0	1.3	59	0
20	Feb_13_2004	22.59	23.7	23.73	23.8			23.77(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	5	23	0.26	68%	0.09	65.8	0.68%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Feb_12_2004	22.57	23.68	23.73	23.76			23.8(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	11	17	0.25	68%	0.09	54.8	0.67%	0	0.6	50	0
22	Feb_11_2004	22.55	23.67	23.7	23.67			23.87(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10000	10	-7	0.2	68%	0.13	44	0.67%	0	1	45	0
23	Feb_10_2004	22.52	23.63	23.68	23.67			23.89(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-9	-10000	0	-36	0.33	68%	0.09	29	0.67%	0	1.2	48	0
24	Feb_9_2004	22.5	23.6	23.65	23.67			23.69(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	0	-35	1.62	67%	0.09	26.8	0.67%	0	0.4	55	0
25	Feb_6_2004	22.48	23.59	23.64	23.59			23.55(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.41	65%		26.8	0.67%	0	-0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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