Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 25, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $23.8400 (1.02%) ($23.6200 - $23.9100) on Wed. Feb. 25, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $23.8400(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(2%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.74(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.81(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.75(0.38%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.67% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040325

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_25_2004	22.73	23.75		23.74			23.84(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	3	-10000	-4	22	0.45	70%	0.09	-7.5	0.62%	0	0.6	60	0
2	Feb_24_2004	22.71	23.75	23.81	23.77			23.6(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-10000	-10	29	0.23	71%	0.04	1.4	0.61%	0	-0.8	44	0
3	Feb_23_2004	22.7	23.75	23.82	23.84			23.73(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-1	49	0.32	71%	0.09	22.4	0.63%	0	-0.1	52	0
4	Feb_20_2004	22.68	23.74	23.81	23.85			23.64(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	7	-10000	-4	41	0.35	71%	0.04	35.8	0.63%	0	-0.6	47	0
5	Feb_19_2004	22.67	23.74	23.79	23.85			23.87(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	9	-10000	0	34	0.58	76%	0.13	54.2	0.62%	0	0.6	50	0

6	Feb_18_2004	22.64	23.76	23.75	23.88			24.03(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	3	29	0.29	72%	0.09	73.6	0.62%	0	1.6	58	0
7	Feb_17_2004	22.62	23.73	23.73	23.86			23.95(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	7	34	0.47	69%	0.13	76.4	0.67%	0	1.3	59	0
8	Feb_13_2004	22.59	23.7	23.73	23.8			23.77(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	5	23	0.26	68%	0.09	65.8	0.68%	0	0.4	53	0
9	Feb_12_2004	22.57	23.68	23.73	23.76			23.8(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	11	17	0.25	68%	0.09	54.8	0.67%	0	0.6	50	0
10	Feb_11_2004	22.55	23.67	23.7	23.67			23.87(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10000	10	-7	0.2	68%	0.13	44	0.67%	0	1	45	0

11	Feb_10_2004	22.52	23.63	23.68	23.67			23.89(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-9	-10000	0	-36	0.33	68%	0.09	29	0.67%	0	1.2	48	0
12	Feb_9_2004	22.5	23.6	23.65	23.67			23.69(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	0	-35	1.62	67%	0.09	26.8	0.67%	0	0.4	55	0
13	Feb_6_2004	22.48	23.59	23.64	23.59			23.55(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-6	-27	0.41	65%	0.09	26.8	0.67%	0	-0.2	56	0
14	Feb_5_2004	22.46	23.59	23.67	23.64			23.35(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-11	-10000	-13	-6	0.65	63%	0.04	33.3	0.67%	0	-1	52	0
15	Feb_4_2004	22.45	23.58	23.73	23.74			23.49(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-4	38	0.76	63%	0.09	45.1	0.66%	0	-0.4	53	0

16	Feb_3_2004	22.43	23.57	23.78	23.77			23.88(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	8	81	0.24	69%	0.13	47.2	0.63%	0	1.2	67	0
17	Feb_2_2004	22.4	23.54	23.74	23.77			23.67(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	0	75	0.23	67%	0.09	45.1	0.62%	0	0.5	61	0
18	Jan_30_2004	22.38	23.52	23.71	23.71			23.81(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	1	78	0.21	69%	0.09	48	0.62%	0	1.2	64	0
19	Jan_29_2004	22.36	23.5	23.67	23.7			23.85(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	16	-10000	-4	77	0.71	69%	0.09	52.9	0.62%	0	1.5	62	0
20	Jan_28_2004	22.34	23.47	23.63	23.73			23.66(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-7	87	0.41	67%	0.13	68.4	0.62%	0	0.8	58	0

21	Jan_27_2004	22.31	23.46	23.58	23.78			23.57(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	26	-10000	1	101	0.33	67%	0.09	90.4	0.62%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Jan_26_2004	22.29	23.43	23.56	23.77			23.65(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	8	101	0.61	67%	0.09	90.8	0.62%	0	1	60	0
23	Jan_23_2004	22.27	23.41	23.52	23.71			23.79(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	12	92	0.28	67%	0.09	93.9	0.61%	0	1.7	65	0
24	Jan_22_2004	22.25	23.37	23.48	23.62			24(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	32	-10000	16	78	0.27	71%	0.14	100	0.6%	0	2.9	70	0
25	Jan_21_2004	22.22	23.32	23.41	23.51			23.91(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	30	-10000	21	56	1.62	71%		127.4	0.6%	0	3.5	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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