Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 3, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $23.8800 (0.89%) ($23.6000 - $23.8800) on Tue. Feb. 3, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $23.8800(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(2%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.77(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.78(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.57(1.32%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2004	22.43	23.57	23.78	23.77			23.88(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	8	81	0.24	69%	0.13	47.2	0.63%	0	1.2	67	0
2	Feb_2_2004	22.4	23.54	23.74	23.77			23.67(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	0	75	0.23	67%	0.09	45.1	0.62%	0	0.5	61	0
3	Jan_30_2004	22.38	23.52	23.71	23.71			23.81(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	1	78	0.21	69%	0.09	48	0.62%	0	1.2	64	0
4	Jan_29_2004	22.36	23.5	23.67	23.7			23.85(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	16	-10000	-4	77	0.71	69%	0.09	52.9	0.62%	0	1.5	62	0
5	Jan_28_2004	22.34	23.47	23.63	23.73			23.66(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-7	87	0.41	67%	0.13	68.4	0.62%	0	0.8	58	0

6	Jan_27_2004	22.31	23.46	23.58	23.78			23.57(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	26	-10000	1	101	0.33	67%	0.09	90.4	0.62%	0	0.5	60	0
7	Jan_26_2004	22.29	23.43	23.56	23.77			23.65(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	31	-10000	8	101	0.61	67%	0.09	90.8	0.62%	0	1	60	0
8	Jan_23_2004	22.27	23.41	23.52	23.71			23.79(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	12	92	0.28	67%	0.09	93.9	0.61%	0	1.7	65	0
9	Jan_22_2004	22.25	23.37	23.48	23.62			24(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	32	-10000	16	78	0.27	71%	0.14	100	0.6%	0	2.9	70	0
10	Jan_21_2004	22.22	23.32	23.41	23.51			23.91(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	30	-10000	21	56	1.62	71%	0.09	127.4	0.6%	0	3.5	66	0

11	Jan_20_2004	22.2	23.26	23.34	23.36			23.5(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	6	14	0.36	67%	0.14	174.5	0.56%	0	2.2	58	0
12	Jan_16_2004	22.17	23.23	23.34	23.32			23.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	1	8	0.65	65%	0.09	119.2	0.56%	0	0.6	60	0
13	Jan_15_2004	22.15	23.2	23.32	23.32			23.37(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	0	13	0.26	60%	0.14	119.2	0.56%	0	0.9	63	0
14	Jan_14_2004	22.12	23.15	23.31	23.31			23.45(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	1	23	0.28	60%	0.09	106.3	0.59%	0	1.4	68	0
15	Jan_13_2004	22.1	23.1	23.3	23.3			23.17(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-3	37	0.92	57%	0.14	88.5	0.57%	0	0.3	65	0

16	Jan_12_2004	22.07	23.07	23.32	23.3			23.28(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	0	66	0.55	57%	0.09	79.1	0.57%	0	0.7	79	0
17	Jan_9_2004	22.05	23.03	23.3	23.3			23.29(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	0	79	0.64	57%	0.14	78.3	0.57%	0	0.8	67	0
18	Jan_8_2004	22.02	22.98	23.29	23.32			23.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	1	101	0.27	57%	0.09	73.9	0.57%	0	1.1	78	0
19	Jan_7_2004	22	22.92	23.26	23.32			23.38(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	0	124	0.45	57%	0.14	69.9	0.57%	0	1.2	80	0
20	Jan_6_2004	21.97	22.87	23.22	23.31			23.26(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10000	-1	151	0.19	57%	0.14	69.7	0.57%	0	1	81	0

21	Jan_5_2004	21.94	22.83	23.17	23.32			23.31(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	48	-10000	6	173	0.41	57%	0.09	74.3	0.57%	0	1.2	78	0
22	Jan_2_2004	21.92	22.77	23.13	23.28			23.27(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-10000	5	188	0.2	59%	0.18	73.9	0.57%	0	1.3	78	0
23	Dec_31_2003	21.88	22.72	23.07	23.25			23.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	8	196	0.56	59%	0.14	74.4	0.58%	0	1.5	82	0
24	Dec_30_2003	21.85	22.66	22.99	23.2			23.37(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	12	202	0.18	59%	0.09	80.2	0.58%	0	1.8	85	0
25	Dec_29_2003	21.83	22.6	22.89	23.12			23.31(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	-10000	18	187	0.22	62%		87.8	0.58%	0	1.9	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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