Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 20, 2004

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $23.5000 (0.73%) ($23.2600 - $23.5400) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $23.5000(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    EEM(55%)    XLK(55%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(2%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.36(0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.34(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.26(1.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.47% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2004	22.2	23.26	23.34	23.36			23.5(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	6	14	0.36	67%	0.14	174.5	0.56%	0	2.2	58	0
2	Jan_16_2004	22.17	23.23	23.34	23.32			23.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	1	8	0.65	65%	0.09	119.2	0.56%	0	0.6	60	0
3	Jan_15_2004	22.15	23.2	23.32	23.32			23.37(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	0	13	0.26	60%	0.14	119.2	0.56%	0	0.9	63	0
4	Jan_14_2004	22.12	23.15	23.31	23.31			23.45(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	1	23	0.28	60%	0.09	106.3	0.59%	0	1.4	68	0
5	Jan_13_2004	22.1	23.1	23.3	23.3			23.17(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-3	37	0.92	57%	0.14	88.5	0.57%	0	0.3	65	0

6	Jan_12_2004	22.07	23.07	23.32	23.3			23.28(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	0	66	0.55	57%	0.09	79.1	0.57%	0	0.7	79	0
7	Jan_9_2004	22.05	23.03	23.3	23.3			23.29(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	0	79	0.64	57%	0.14	78.3	0.57%	0	0.8	67	0
8	Jan_8_2004	22.02	22.98	23.29	23.32			23.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	1	101	0.27	57%	0.09	73.9	0.57%	0	1.1	78	0
9	Jan_7_2004	22	22.92	23.26	23.32			23.38(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	0	124	0.45	57%	0.14	69.9	0.57%	0	1.2	80	0
10	Jan_6_2004	21.97	22.87	23.22	23.31			23.26(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10000	-1	151	0.19	57%	0.14	69.7	0.57%	0	1	81	0

11	Jan_5_2004	21.94	22.83	23.17	23.32			23.31(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	48	-10000	6	173	0.41	57%	0.09	74.3	0.57%	0	1.2	78	0
12	Jan_2_2004	21.92	22.77	23.13	23.28			23.27(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-10000	5	188	0.2	59%	0.18	73.9	0.57%	0	1.3	78	0
13	Dec_31_2003	21.88	22.72	23.07	23.25			23.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10000	8	196	0.56	59%	0.14	74.4	0.58%	0	1.5	82	0
14	Dec_30_2003	21.85	22.66	22.99	23.2			23.37(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	12	202	0.18	59%	0.09	80.2	0.58%	0	1.8	85	0
15	Dec_29_2003	21.83	22.6	22.89	23.12			23.31(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	-10000	18	187	0.22	62%	0.14	87.8	0.58%	0	1.9	74	0

16	Dec_26_2003	21.8	22.54	22.8	23			23.14(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	7	159	0.17	63%	0.18	95.4	0.59%	0	1.8	73	0
17	Dec_24_2003	21.76	22.48	22.73	22.95			23.11(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	-10000	15	163	0.13	58%	0.14	105.6	0.59%	0	2	75	0
18	Dec_23_2003	21.73	22.42	22.65	22.85			23.07(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	-10000	16	142	0.42	58%	0.14	110.1	0.61%	0	2.1	75	0
19	Dec_22_2003	21.7	22.35	22.56	22.74			22.95(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	16	118	0.24	58%	0.09	106.7	0.61%	0	2	72	0
20	Dec_19_2003	21.68	22.28	22.5	22.63			22.74(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	9	97	0.47	56%	0.09	84.7	0.61%	0	1.4	69	0

21	Dec_18_2003	21.66	22.22	22.46	22.57			22.9(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	35	-10000	15	96	2.83	61%	0.09	70.6	0.61%	0	2	77	0
22	Dec_17_2003	21.64	22.15	22.38	22.47			22.61(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	9	78	1.75	58%	0.09	61.1	0.61%	0	1.4	74	0
23	Dec_16_2003	21.62	22.08	22.34	22.41			22.51(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	10	76	1.48	60%	0.09	44.8	0.61%	0	1.2	76	0
24	Dec_15_2003	21.6	22.04	22.31	22.34			22.37(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-1	74	0.36	59%	0.05	39.3	0.61%	0	0.9	77	0
25	Dec_12_2003	21.59	22.01	22.29	22.35			22.45(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	4	109	0.96	59%		41.5	0.61%	0	1.3	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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