Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 24, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $21.7700 (1.54%) ($21.5500 - $21.8100) on Mon. Nov. 24, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $21.7700(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(23%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.58(-10.06%)
Resistance Level   $21.8
5 Day Moving Average   $21.5(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.64(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.8(-0.14%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2003	21.44	21.8	21.64	21.5			21.77(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-20	-10000	4	-90	1.13	65%	0	-51.9	0.64%	0	-0.1	40	0
2	Nov_21_2003	21.44	21.81	21.63	21.47			21.44(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-119	0.48	56%	-0.05	-55.2	0.64%	0	-1.6	24	0
3	Nov_20_2003	21.45	21.83	21.67	21.55			21.48(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-12	-113	0.93	56%	0	-50	0.64%	0	-1.7	31	0
4	Nov_19_2003	21.45	21.86	21.72	21.63			21.53(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-9	-99	0.69	56%	-0.05	-42.9	0.65%	0	-1.6	31	0
5	Nov_18_2003	21.46	21.88	21.77	21.69			21.26(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-33	-10000	-15	-87	0.3	52%	-0.05	-37.8	0.63%	0	-3.4	30	0

6	Nov_17_2003	21.47	21.92	21.85	21.79			21.65(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-3	-57	0.88	59%	0	-41.8	0.59%	0	-2.3	39	0
7	Nov_14_2003	21.47	21.93	21.9	21.79			21.83(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	0	-46	0.67	63%	0	-52.2	0.58%	0	-1	42	0
8	Nov_13_2003	21.47	21.93	21.92	21.81			21.86(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-3	-43	0.47	63%	-0.05	-58.7	0.58%	0	-0.8	49	0
9	Nov_12_2003	21.48	21.94	21.94	21.83			21.83(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-6	-34	0.61	67%	0	-56.5	0.59%	0	-1.1	44	0
10	Nov_11_2003	21.48	21.95	21.95	21.87			21.78(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10000	-8	-25	0.53	67%	-0.05	-46	0.61%	0	-1.5	44	0

11	Nov_10_2003	21.49	21.97	21.97	21.92			21.76(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-13	-10000	-12	-14	0.92	67%	0	-30	0.61%	0	-1.9	43	0
12	Nov_7_2003	21.49	21.99	22	22			21.81(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-4	-10000	-8	9	0.34	67%	-0.05	-14.6	0.61%	0	-2	43	0
13	Nov_6_2003	21.5	21.99	22	22.05			21.95(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10000	-5	25	0.46	70%	-0.05	-9.8	0.61%	0	-0.6	56	0
14	Nov_5_2003	21.51	21.99	22.01	22.08			22.04(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	5	34	0.36	62%	-0.05	-4.9	0.61%	0	0.4	51	0
15	Nov_4_2003	21.52	21.99	22	22.05			22.05(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	3	27	0.32	62%	0	-9.8	0.65%	0	0.6	57	0

16	Nov_3_2003	21.52	21.99	21.99	22.03			22.16(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	8	-10000	6	15	0.35	62%	-0.05	-7.3	0.64%	0	1.8	47	0
17	Oct_31_2003	21.53	21.99	21.97	21.99			22.05(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	4	-0	0.21	62%	0	-6.7	0.64%	0	0.5	46	0
18	Oct_30_2003	21.53	22	21.95	21.96			22.09(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	3	-12	0.41	62%	0	6.7	0.64%	0	0.9	53	0
19	Oct_29_2003	21.53	22	21.95	21.96			21.91(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	0	-22	0.47	60%	-0.05	28.9	0.64%	0	-1	44	0
20	Oct_28_2003	21.54	22	21.94	21.94			21.93(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-26	0.92	60%	0	51.1	0.65%	0	-0.8	47	0

21	Oct_27_2003	21.54	22	21.96	21.95			21.99(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	2	-20	0.33	60%	0	60	0.65%	0	-0.2	45	0
22	Oct_24_2003	21.54	22.01	21.97	21.94			21.9(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	2	-23	0.44	60%	0	60	0.66%	0	-0.9	39	0
23	Oct_23_2003	21.54	22	21.98	21.93			21.97(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-2	-34	0.41	60%	-0.05	43.8	0.66%	0	-0.2	40	0
24	Oct_22_2003	21.55	21.98	21.99	21.94			21.93(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-8	-10000	2	-36	0.31	65%	0	29.1	0.66%	0	-0.3	41	0
25	Oct_21_2003	21.55	21.96	22	21.93			21.94(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	-7	-38	0.35	59%		22	0.69%	0	-0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.