Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 9, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $21.5900 (-0.23%) ($21.5100 - $21.8300) on Tue. Sep. 9, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $21.5900(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(22%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.55(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.32(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.07(2.47%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.57% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031009

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_9_2003	21.16	21.07	21.32	21.55			21.59(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	3	116	0.35	39%	0.09	83.4	0.9%	0	1.6	76	0
2	Sep_8_2003	21.14	21.02	21.25	21.52			21.64(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	39	-10000	12	120	0.67	39%	0.05	85.5	0.9%	0	1.9	78	0
3	Sep_5_2003	21.13	20.97	21.16	21.4			21.48(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	10	100	0.93	36%	0.09	85.5	0.9%	0	1.8	73	0
4	Sep_4_2003	21.11	20.93	21.11	21.3			21.52(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	32	-10000	11	93	0.99	40%	0.14	77.6	0.91%	0	2.1	76	0
5	Sep_3_2003	21.08	20.87	21.04	21.19			21.51(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	30	-10000	13	79	0.96	40%	0.09	65.1	0.94%	0	2.4	76	0

6	Sep_2_2003	21.06	20.8	20.96	21.06			21.44(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	-10000	12	53	0.96	40%	0.24	47.5	0.94%	0	2.6	63	0
7	Aug_29_2003	21.01	20.75	20.89	20.94			21.05(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	7	33	0.53	36%	0.14	33.7	0.92%	0	1.4	64	0
8	Aug_28_2003	20.98	20.73	20.86	20.87			21(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	5	-10000	-1	22	0.53	36%	0.1	16.7	0.93%	0	1.4	63	0
9	Aug_27_2003	20.96	20.71	20.83	20.88			20.95(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	1	29	0.44	39%	0.14	13	0.93%	0	1.3	64	0
10	Aug_26_2003	20.93	20.69	20.8	20.87			20.88(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	39	0.24	39%	0.1	8	0.95%	0	1.1	68	0

11	Aug_25_2003	20.91	20.69	20.81	20.84			20.82(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	2	53	0.21	39%	0.1	-2.3	0.96%	0	0.8	70	0
12	Aug_22_2003	20.89	20.68	20.79	20.82			20.72(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-1	47	0.57	49%	0.1	0	1.07%	0	0.2	55	0
13	Aug_21_2003	20.87	20.7	20.78	20.83			21.01(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	5	53	0.57	51%	0.14	3.3	1.08%	0	1.6	63	0
14	Aug_20_2003	20.84	20.7	20.74	20.77			20.93(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	4	43	0.59	51%	0.1	0	1.08%	0	1.4	57	0
15	Aug_19_2003	20.82	20.68	20.68	20.73			20.73(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-4	28	0.41	48%	0	-2.3	1.07%	0	0.3	54	0

16	Aug_18_2003	20.82	20.69	20.63	20.77			20.71(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	2	23	0.23	48%	0	3.4	1.09%	0	0.1	47	0
17	Aug_15_2003	20.82	20.68	20.62	20.75			20.76(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	14	0.1	53%	0	-17.4	1.12%	0	0.4	46	0
18	Aug_14_2003	20.82	20.69	20.59	20.73			20.72(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	3	1	0	53%	0	-33.7	1.14%	0	0.2	40	0
19	Aug_13_2003	20.82	20.69	20.58	20.69			20.72(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	6	-8	0.64	53%	0	-56.5	1.14%	0	0.2	46	0
20	Aug_12_2003	20.82	20.69	20.57	20.62			20.92(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	-10000	12	-22	1.39	54%	0	-87.6	1.13%	0	1.2	50	0

21	Aug_11_2003	20.82	20.68	20.55	20.48			20.64(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	2	-52	0.28	52%	0	-101.7	1.12%	0	-0.2	38	0
22	Aug_8_2003	20.82	20.72	20.57	20.46			20.64(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	2	-50	0.28	52%	-0.05	-99.3	1.12%	0	-0.3	51	0
23	Aug_7_2003	20.83	20.75	20.6	20.44			20.54(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-53	0.44	52%	0	-103.4	1.12%	0	-0.7	41	0
24	Aug_6_2003	20.83	20.79	20.62	20.46			20.35(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-5	-48	0.64	52%	0	-98.3	1.12%	0	-1.2	47	0
25	Aug_5_2003	20.83	20.86	20.67	20.52			20.23(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-9	-38	0.59	52%		-86.3	1.12%	0	-1.5	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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