Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 22, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $20.7200 (-1.38%) ($20.7200 - $21.1000) on Fri. Aug. 22, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $20.7200(-1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(65%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(22%)    OIH(40%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.82(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.79(-0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.68(0.19%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20030922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2003	20.89	20.68	20.79	20.82			20.72(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-1	47	0.57	49%	0.1	0	1.07%	0	0.2	55	0
2	Aug_21_2003	20.87	20.7	20.78	20.83			21.01(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	5	53	0.57	51%	0.14	3.3	1.08%	0	1.6	63	0
3	Aug_20_2003	20.84	20.7	20.74	20.77			20.93(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	4	43	0.59	51%	0.1	0	1.08%	0	1.4	57	0
4	Aug_19_2003	20.82	20.68	20.68	20.73			20.73(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-4	28	0.41	48%	0	-2.3	1.07%	0	0.3	54	0
5	Aug_18_2003	20.82	20.69	20.63	20.77			20.71(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	2	23	0.23	48%	0	3.4	1.09%	0	0.1	47	0

6	Aug_15_2003	20.82	20.68	20.62	20.75			20.76(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	2	14	0.1	53%	0	-17.4	1.12%	0	0.4	46	0
7	Aug_14_2003	20.82	20.69	20.59	20.73			20.72(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	3	1	0	53%	0	-33.7	1.14%	0	0.2	40	0
8	Aug_13_2003	20.82	20.69	20.58	20.69			20.72(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	6	-8	0.64	53%	0	-56.5	1.14%	0	0.2	46	0
9	Aug_12_2003	20.82	20.69	20.57	20.62			20.92(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	-10000	12	-22	1.39	54%	0	-87.6	1.13%	0	1.2	50	0
10	Aug_11_2003	20.82	20.68	20.55	20.48			20.64(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	2	-52	0.28	52%	0	-101.7	1.12%	0	-0.2	38	0

11	Aug_8_2003	20.82	20.72	20.57	20.46			20.64(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	2	-50	0.28	52%	-0.05	-99.3	1.12%	0	-0.3	51	0
12	Aug_7_2003	20.83	20.75	20.6	20.44			20.54(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-2	-53	0.44	52%	0	-103.4	1.12%	0	-0.7	41	0
13	Aug_6_2003	20.83	20.79	20.62	20.46			20.35(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-5	-48	0.64	52%	0	-98.3	1.12%	0	-1.2	47	0
14	Aug_5_2003	20.83	20.86	20.67	20.52			20.23(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-9	-38	0.59	52%	-0.05	-86.3	1.12%	0	-1.5	43	0
15	Aug_4_2003	20.84	20.94	20.75	20.62			20.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	-5	-23	0.22	55%	0	-77.6	1.1%	0	-0.9	40	0

16	Aug_1_2003	20.84	21.01	20.76	20.68			20.55(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-8	-34	0.97	54%	-0.05	-74.6	1.1%	0	-1	33	0
17	Jul_31_2003	20.85	21.08	20.76	20.77			20.64(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-3	-32	1.01	54%	0	-68.2	1.11%	0	-0.9	34	0
18	Jul_30_2003	20.85	21.15	20.8	20.81			20.61(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-4	-44	0.5	54%	0	-61.4	1.12%	0	-1.1	37	0
19	Jul_29_2003	20.85	21.22	20.81	20.86			20.76(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-3	-62	0.78	54%	0	-60	1.12%	0	-0.9	33	0
20	Jul_28_2003	20.85	21.29	20.83	20.9			20.85(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	4	-74	0.29	55%	0	-57.5	1.12%	0	-0.8	32	0

21	Jul_25_2003	20.85	21.34	20.88	20.85			21(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	1	-97	0.34	55%	0	-63.2	1.13%	0	-0.6	31	0
22	Jul_24_2003	20.85	21.41	20.92	20.84			20.83(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	4	-113	0.34	56%	0	-64.9	1.12%	0	-1	29	0
23	Jul_23_2003	20.85	21.47	20.97	20.79			20.84(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	-10000	3	-138	0.29	56%	0	-73	1.13%	0	-1.1	27	0
24	Jul_22_2003	20.85	21.53	21.05	20.75			20.97(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0.35	58%	0	-80.4	1.12%	0	-1	33	0
25	Jul_21_2003	20.85	21.6	21.13	20.76			20.62(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-10000	-14	-167	0.33	57%		-84.5	1.12%	0	-1.7	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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