Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 28, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $20.8500 (-0.71%) ($20.7700 - $21.1500) on Mon. Jul. 28, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $20.8500(-0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(66%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(22%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $21.29
5 Day Moving Average   $20.9(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.83(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.29(-2.07%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_28_2003	20.85	21.29	20.83	20.9			20.85(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	4	-74	0.29	55%	0	-57.5	1.12%	0	-0.8	32	0
2	Jul_25_2003	20.85	21.34	20.88	20.85			21(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	1	-97	0.34	55%	0	-63.2	1.13%	0	-0.6	31	0
3	Jul_24_2003	20.85	21.41	20.92	20.84			20.83(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	4	-113	0.34	56%	0	-64.9	1.12%	0	-1	29	0
4	Jul_23_2003	20.85	21.47	20.97	20.79			20.84(-0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-32	-10000	3	-138	0.29	56%	0	-73	1.13%	0	-1.1	27	0
5	Jul_22_2003	20.85	21.53	21.05	20.75			20.97(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-40	-10000	-1	-155	0.35	58%	0	-80.4	1.12%	0	-1	33	0

6	Jul_21_2003	20.85	21.6	21.13	20.76			20.62(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-10000	-14	-167	0.33	57%	-0.05	-84.5	1.12%	0	-1.7	23	0
7	Jul_18_2003	20.86	21.7	21.27	20.92			20.92(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-10000	-9	-148	0.2	59%	0.05	-77.9	1.1%	0	-1.4	29	0
8	Jul_17_2003	20.85	21.79	21.38	21.02			20.6(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-46	-10000	-13	-144	0.38	57%	-0.05	-70.6	1.1%	0	-2.1	18	0
9	Jul_16_2003	20.86	21.9	21.53	21.17			20.65(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-10000	-18	-128	0.59	57%	0	-66.1	1.1%	0	-2.4	25	0
10	Jul_15_2003	20.86	22	21.67	21.38			21(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-15	-106	1.2	61%	0	-58.9	1.07%	0	-2.1	28	0

11	Jul_14_2003	20.86	22.09	21.79	21.55			21.42(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-11	-87	0.26	65%	0.05	-47.2	1.05%	0	-1.6	31	0
12	Jul_11_2003	20.85	22.14	21.85	21.68			21.45(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-9	-81	0.51	65%	0.05	-40.3	1.06%	0	-1.7	27	0
13	Jul_10_2003	20.84	22.2	21.94	21.79			21.32(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-31	-10000	-14	-80	0.61	66%	0	-32.9	1.06%	0	-2.4	21	0
14	Jul_9_2003	20.84	22.26	22.02	21.95			21.71(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-4	-72	0.39	69%	0.1	-28.8	1.03%	0	-1.8	26	0
15	Jul_8_2003	20.82	22.28	22.07	22			21.87(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0.48	69%	0.05	-27	1.02%	0	-1.5	32	0

16	Jul_7_2003	20.81	22.28	22.11	22			22.04(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-10000	0	-82	0.22	69%	0.1	-24.8	1.02%	0	-1	33	0
17	Jul_3_2003	20.79	22.3	22.15	22.05			22(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-5	-81	0.3	70%	0.1	-25.6	1.02%	0	-1.2	45	0
18	Jul_2_2003	20.77	22.32	22.23	22.11			22.13(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	1	-67	0.32	70%	0.1	-9.5	1.02%	0	-0.7	41	0
19	Jul_1_2003	20.75	22.35	22.29	22.1			21.97(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.69	70%	0.1	-1.7	1.02%	0	-1.5	45	0
20	Jun_30_2003	20.73	22.36	22.35	22.14			22.12(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-46	0.19	70%	0.1	1.8	1.02%	0	-1	51	0

21	Jun_27_2003	20.71	22.36	22.42	22.17			22.02(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-9	-29	0.25	70%	0.15	10.7	1.02%	0	-1.4	51	0
22	Jun_26_2003	20.68	22.37	22.45	22.27			22.31(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-9	-10	0.38	72%	0.1	35.5	1.01%	0	-0.2	56	0
23	Jun_25_2003	20.66	22.37	22.48	22.37			22.1(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10000	-11	11	0.35	72%	0.15	64.5	1.02%	0	-0.9	47	0
24	Jun_24_2003	20.63	22.35	22.52	22.5			22.14(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-0	-10000	-9	26	0.66	72%	0.1	101.7	1.02%	0	-0.8	42	0
25	Jun_23_2003	20.61	22.36	22.53	22.6			22.28(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-9	40	0.52	72%		138.8	1.03%	0	-0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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