Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLU: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 17, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $20.6000 (-0.24%) ($20.5000 - $20.8000) on Thu. Jul. 17, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   18
Latest Price   $20.6000(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(65%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(23%)    OIH(40%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.2(-21.36%)
Resistance Level   $21.79
5 Day Moving Average   $21.02(-2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.38(-3.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.79(-5.46%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20030817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2003	20.85	21.79	21.38	21.02			20.6(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-46	-10000	-13	-144	0.38	57%	-0.05	-70.6	1.1%	0	-2.1	18	0
2	Jul_16_2003	20.86	21.9	21.53	21.17			20.65(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-10000	-18	-128	0.59	57%	0	-66.1	1.1%	0	-2.4	25	0
3	Jul_15_2003	20.86	22	21.67	21.38			21(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-10000	-15	-106	1.2	61%	0	-58.9	1.07%	0	-2.1	28	0
4	Jul_14_2003	20.86	22.09	21.79	21.55			21.42(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-11	-87	0.26	65%	0.05	-47.2	1.05%	0	-1.6	31	0
5	Jul_11_2003	20.85	22.14	21.85	21.68			21.45(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-10000	-9	-81	0.51	65%	0.05	-40.3	1.06%	0	-1.7	27	0

6	Jul_10_2003	20.84	22.2	21.94	21.79			21.32(-1.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-31	-10000	-14	-80	0.61	66%	0	-32.9	1.06%	0	-2.4	21	0
7	Jul_9_2003	20.84	22.26	22.02	21.95			21.71(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-4	-72	0.39	69%	0.1	-28.8	1.03%	0	-1.8	26	0
8	Jul_8_2003	20.82	22.28	22.07	22			21.87(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-5	-78	0.48	69%	0.05	-27	1.02%	0	-1.5	32	0
9	Jul_7_2003	20.81	22.28	22.11	22			22.04(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-21	-10000	0	-82	0.22	69%	0.1	-24.8	1.02%	0	-1	33	0
10	Jul_3_2003	20.79	22.3	22.15	22.05			22(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-5	-81	0.3	70%	0.1	-25.6	1.02%	0	-1.2	45	0

11	Jul_2_2003	20.77	22.32	22.23	22.11			22.13(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	1	-67	0.32	70%	0.1	-9.5	1.02%	0	-0.7	41	0
12	Jul_1_2003	20.75	22.35	22.29	22.1			21.97(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.69	70%	0.1	-1.7	1.02%	0	-1.5	45	0
13	Jun_30_2003	20.73	22.36	22.35	22.14			22.12(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-46	0.19	70%	0.1	1.8	1.02%	0	-1	51	0
14	Jun_27_2003	20.71	22.36	22.42	22.17			22.02(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-9	-29	0.25	70%	0.15	10.7	1.02%	0	-1.4	51	0
15	Jun_26_2003	20.68	22.37	22.45	22.27			22.31(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-9	-10	0.38	72%	0.1	35.5	1.01%	0	-0.2	56	0

16	Jun_25_2003	20.66	22.37	22.48	22.37			22.1(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10000	-11	11	0.35	72%	0.15	64.5	1.02%	0	-0.9	47	0
17	Jun_24_2003	20.63	22.35	22.52	22.5			22.14(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-0	-10000	-9	26	0.66	72%	0.1	101.7	1.02%	0	-0.8	42	0
18	Jun_23_2003	20.61	22.36	22.53	22.6			22.28(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-9	40	0.52	72%	0.15	138.8	1.03%	0	-0.3	53	0
19	Jun_20_2003	20.58	22.34	22.52	22.7			22.52(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	4	58	0.45	74%	0.19	154.6	1.02%	0	0.6	57	0
20	Jun_19_2003	20.54	22.27	22.48	22.66			22.82(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	4	56	0.53	77%	0.2	119.4	1%	0	1.4	65	0

21	Jun_18_2003	20.5	22.17	22.43	22.62			22.75(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	7	66	0.34	77%	0.2	98.2	1.01%	0	1.2	68	0
22	Jun_17_2003	20.46	22.08	22.4	22.54			22.64(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	67	1.62	77%	0.2	87.8	1.02%	0	1	58	0
23	Jun_16_2003	20.42	21.99	22.36	22.44			22.75(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	11	55	0.84	77%	0.25	81.2	1.02%	0	1.2	58	0
24	Jun_13_2003	20.37	21.9	22.3	22.31			22.32(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	4	41	0.42	75%	0.15	82.3	1.01%	0	0.7	58	0
25	Jun_12_2003	20.34	21.82	22.27	22.27			22.62(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	5	59	0.66	78%		80.1	0.99%	0	1.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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