Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 20, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $22.5200 (-1.31%) ($22.5200 - $22.8100) on Fri. Jun. 20, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $22.5200(-1.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(65%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(22%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.7(-0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.52(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.34(0.81%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   21.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2003	20.58	22.34	22.52	22.7			22.52(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	-10000	4	58	0.45	74%	0.19	154.6	1.02%	0	0.6	57	0
2	Jun_19_2003	20.54	22.27	22.48	22.66			22.82(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	4	56	0.53	77%	0.2	119.4	1%	0	1.4	65	0
3	Jun_18_2003	20.5	22.17	22.43	22.62			22.75(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	7	66	0.34	77%	0.2	98.2	1.01%	0	1.2	68	0
4	Jun_17_2003	20.46	22.08	22.4	22.54			22.64(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	67	1.62	77%	0.2	87.8	1.02%	0	1	58	0
5	Jun_16_2003	20.42	21.99	22.36	22.44			22.75(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	11	55	0.84	77%	0.25	81.2	1.02%	0	1.2	58	0

6	Jun_13_2003	20.37	21.9	22.3	22.31			22.32(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	4	41	0.42	75%	0.15	82.3	1.01%	0	0.7	58	0
7	Jun_12_2003	20.34	21.82	22.27	22.27			22.62(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	5	59	0.66	78%	0.25	80.1	0.99%	0	1.2	73	0
8	Jun_11_2003	20.29	21.7	22.19	22.21			22.35(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-4	75	0.61	78%	0.2	76.8	0.99%	0	0.9	75	0
9	Jun_10_2003	20.25	21.6	22.19	22.21			22.18(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	0	119	0.43	78%	0.2	76.1	1%	0	0.8	73	0
10	Jun_9_2003	20.21	21.5	22.17	22.26			22.08(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-10000	-3	159	0.95	78%	0.2	73.5	1.01%	0	0.7	73	0

11	Jun_6_2003	20.17	21.4	22.16	22.29			22.1(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	-10000	2	189	0.86	78%	0.2	72.3	1.02%	0	0.8	66	0
12	Jun_5_2003	20.13	21.29	22.07	22.27			22.34(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	-10000	10	210	0.91	80%	0.25	70.1	1.01%	0	1.2	73	0
13	Jun_4_2003	20.08	21.17	21.91	22.16			22.6(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	-10000	9	214	1.14	84%	0.3	65.9	0.99%	0	1.6	80	0
14	Jun_3_2003	20.02	21.04	21.73	22.06			22.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	54	-10000	-1	219	0	82%	0.25	65.4	0.98%	0	1.3	78	0
15	Jun_2_2003	19.97	20.92	21.59	22.07			22.2(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	64	-10000	5	241	1.18	82%	0.25	67.5	0.99%	0	1.5	79	0

16	May_30_2003	19.92	20.8	21.47	22.01			22.01(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	79	-10000	16	267	1.56	82%	0.3	70.4	1%	0	1.5	79	0
17	May_29_2003	19.86	20.69	21.33	21.83			21.79(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	81	-10000	20	262	1.63	82%	0.2	66	1.01%	0	1.4	79	0
18	May_28_2003	19.82	20.59	21.18	21.61			22.12(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	83	-10000	25	256	1.45	87%	0.3	63.7	0.97%	0	2	84	0
19	May_27_2003	19.76	20.48	20.98	21.35			22.22(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	79	-10000	30	224	1.27	87%	0.36	64.2	0.98%	0	2.6	86	0
20	May_23_2003	19.69	20.36	20.77	21.04			21.9(3.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	58	-10000	18	179	2.23	86%	0.31	69.8	0.97%	0	2.9	83	0

21	May_22_2003	19.63	20.25	20.57	20.86			21.1(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	-10000	12	184	2.86	83%	0.2	85.5	0.81%	0	2	79	0
22	May_21_2003	19.59	20.18	20.45	20.76			20.73(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	53	-10000	11	177	0.6	81%	0.15	93.3	0.79%	0	1.4	77	0
23	May_20_2003	19.56	20.12	20.37	20.67			20.78(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	15	160	0.52	81%	0.2	95.2	0.79%	0	1.7	67	0
24	May_19_2003	19.52	20.06	20.28	20.55			20.69(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	12	132	0.82	81%	0.15	96.3	0.8%	0	1.7	65	0
25	May_16_2003	19.49	19.99	20.21	20.45			21.02(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	53	-10000	28	126	0.89	89%		102.8	0.74%	0	2.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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