Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 29, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $21.7900 (-1.49%) ($21.6500 - $22.3900) on Thu. May. 29, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $21.7900(-1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(70%)    SPY(65%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(22%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.83(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.33(2.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.69(5.32%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 3.82% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2003	19.86	20.69	21.33	21.83			21.79(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	81	-10000	20	262	1.63	82%	0.2	66	1.01%	0	1.4	79	0
2	May_28_2003	19.82	20.59	21.18	21.61			22.12(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	83	-10000	25	256	1.45	87%	0.3	63.7	0.97%	0	2	84	0
3	May_27_2003	19.76	20.48	20.98	21.35			22.22(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	79	-10000	30	224	1.27	87%	0.36	64.2	0.98%	0	2.6	86	0
4	May_23_2003	19.69	20.36	20.77	21.04			21.9(3.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	58	-10000	18	179	2.23	86%	0.31	69.8	0.97%	0	2.9	83	0
5	May_22_2003	19.63	20.25	20.57	20.86			21.1(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	-10000	12	184	2.86	83%	0.2	85.5	0.81%	0	2	79	0

6	May_21_2003	19.59	20.18	20.45	20.76			20.73(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	53	-10000	11	177	0.6	81%	0.15	93.3	0.79%	0	1.4	77	0
7	May_20_2003	19.56	20.12	20.37	20.67			20.78(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	15	160	0.52	81%	0.2	95.2	0.79%	0	1.7	67	0
8	May_19_2003	19.52	20.06	20.28	20.55			20.69(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	12	132	0.82	81%	0.15	96.3	0.8%	0	1.7	65	0
9	May_16_2003	19.49	19.99	20.21	20.45			21.02(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	53	-10000	28	126	0.89	89%	0.26	102.8	0.74%	0	2.9	75	0
10	May_15_2003	19.44	19.9	20.09	20.24			20.59(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	-10000	20	91	0.89	88%	0.21	105	0.69%	0	2.2	75	0

11	May_14_2003	19.4	19.82	20	20.1			20.28(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	12	54	0.54	86%	0.15	101.9	0.66%	0	1.4	67	0
12	May_13_2003	19.37	19.77	19.96	20.02			20.19(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	7	49	0.54	86%	0.1	100.6	0.67%	0	1.3	70	0
13	May_12_2003	19.35	19.7	19.94	19.97			20.15(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	53	0.21	86%	0.16	91.3	0.69%	0	1.3	70	0
14	May_9_2003	19.32	19.63	19.93	19.93			20(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	3	70	0.36	85%	0.16	77.5	0.69%	0	0.9	73	0
15	May_8_2003	19.29	19.57	19.9	19.91			19.87(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	4	88	0.28	85%	0.1	72.6	0.7%	0	0.7	75	0

16	May_7_2003	19.27	19.5	19.89	19.88			19.9(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10000	-3	105	0.95	85%	0.16	65.7	0.71%	0	0.8	77	0
17	May_6_2003	19.24	19.44	19.86	19.9			19.93(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	32	-10000	-1	130	0.67	85%	0.1	64	0.72%	0	0.9	77	0
18	May_5_2003	19.22	19.38	19.83	19.91			19.96(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	40	-10000	-1	163	0.51	85%	0.21	0	0.73%	0	1.1	82	0
19	May_2_2003	19.18	19.32	19.77	19.92			19.88(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	52	-10000	4	195	0.52	85%	0.16	0	0.74%	0	1.1	84	0
20	May_1_2003	19.15	19.25	19.7	19.89			19.72(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	50	-10000	-1	204	0.87	84%	0.1	0	0.75%	0	0.9	80	0

21	Apr_30_2003	19.13	19.19	19.64	19.9			19.99(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	-10000	12	267	0.36	96%	0.26	0	0.67%	0	1.5	91	0
22	Apr_29_2003	19.08	19.11	19.56	19.82			20.02(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	79	-10000	14	273	1.08	96%	0.26	0	0.68%	0	1.8	90	0
23	Apr_28_2003	19.03	19.11	19.44	19.73			19.99(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	16	-10000	19	8	0.44	96%	0.26	0	0.7%	0	41.6	83	0
24	Apr_25_2003	18.98	19.11	19.31	19.6			19.72(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	18	7	0.3	95%	0.21	0	0.68%	0	44.8	81	0
25	Apr_24_2003	18.94	19.11	19.21	19.48			19.77(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	17	-10000	20	8	0.63	95%		0	0.68%	0	48.2	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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