Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 14, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $20.2800 (0.45%) ($20.1200 - $20.3000) on Wed. May. 14, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $20.2800(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLU advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(69%)    SPY(65%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(22%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.1(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.82(2.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 1.61% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2003	19.4	19.82	20	20.1			20.28(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	12	54	0.54	86%	0.15	101.9	0.66%	0	1.4	67	0
2	May_13_2003	19.37	19.77	19.96	20.02			20.19(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	7	49	0.54	86%	0.1	100.6	0.67%	0	1.3	70	0
3	May_12_2003	19.35	19.7	19.94	19.97			20.15(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	53	0.21	86%	0.16	91.3	0.69%	0	1.3	70	0
4	May_9_2003	19.32	19.63	19.93	19.93			20(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	3	70	0.36	85%	0.16	77.5	0.69%	0	0.9	73	0
5	May_8_2003	19.29	19.57	19.9	19.91			19.87(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	4	88	0.28	85%	0.1	72.6	0.7%	0	0.7	75	0

6	May_7_2003	19.27	19.5	19.89	19.88			19.9(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10000	-3	105	0.95	85%	0.16	65.7	0.71%	0	0.8	77	0
7	May_6_2003	19.24	19.44	19.86	19.9			19.93(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	32	-10000	-1	130	0.67	85%	0.1	64	0.72%	0	0.9	77	0
8	May_5_2003	19.22	19.38	19.83	19.91			19.96(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	40	-10000	-1	163	0.51	85%	0.21	0	0.73%	0	1.1	82	0
9	May_2_2003	19.18	19.32	19.77	19.92			19.88(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	52	-10000	4	195	0.52	85%	0.16	0	0.74%	0	1.1	84	0
10	May_1_2003	19.15	19.25	19.7	19.89			19.72(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	50	-10000	-1	204	0.87	84%	0.1	0	0.75%	0	0.9	80	0

11	Apr_30_2003	19.13	19.19	19.64	19.9			19.99(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	-10000	12	267	0.36	96%	0.26	0	0.67%	0	1.5	91	0
12	Apr_29_2003	19.08	19.11	19.56	19.82			20.02(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	79	-10000	14	273	1.08	96%	0.26	0	0.68%	0	1.8	90	0
13	Apr_28_2003	19.03	19.11	19.44	19.73			19.99(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	16	-10000	19	8	0.44	96%	0.26	0	0.7%	0	41.6	83	0
14	Apr_25_2003	18.98	19.11	19.31	19.6			19.72(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	18	7	0.3	95%	0.21	0	0.68%	0	44.8	81	0
15	Apr_24_2003	18.94	19.11	19.21	19.48			19.77(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	17	-10000	20	8	0.63	95%	0.32	0	0.68%	0	48.2	85	0

16	Apr_23_2003	18.88	19.11	19.08	19.35			19.59(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	13	-10000	15	6	0.49	95%	0.21	0	0.69%	0	52.9	80	0
17	Apr_22_2003	18.84	19.11	18.98	19.25			19.59(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	18	-10000	21	8	0.37	95%	0.32	0	0.7%	0	59.4	80	0
18	Apr_21_2003	18.78	19.11	18.89	19.11			19.32(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	20	8	0.3	94%	0.21	0	0.67%	0	71.6	50	0
19	Apr_17_2003	18.74	19.11	18.82	18.98			19.14(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	14	6	0.24	93%	0.16	0	0.67%	0	83.2	50	0
20	Apr_16_2003	18.71	19.11	18.75	18.89			19.1(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	17	7	0.3	93%	0.21	0	0.7%	0	91	50	0

21	Apr_15_2003	18.67	19.11	18.7	18.78			19.12(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	14	-10000	16	6	0.34	93%	0.21	0	0.73%	0	106.2	50	0
22	Apr_14_2003	18.63	19.11	18.63	18.67			18.88(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	5	-10000	6	2	0.41	90%	0.16	0	0.69%	0	171.6	50	0
23	Apr_11_2003	18.6	19.11	18.63	18.63			18.64(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.24	85%	0	0	0.61%	0	233	50	0
24	Apr_10_2003	18.6	19.11	18.63	18.64			18.7(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	7	3	0.19	85%	0.11	0	0.63%	0	207.8	50	0
25	Apr_9_2003	18.58	19.11	18.63	18.6			18.54(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	0	0	0.4	77%		0	0.6%	0	231.8	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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