Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 24, 2003

Trading Signals: XLU Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Utilities sector ETF)
XLU latest price $19.7700 (0.92%) ($19.6700 - $20.0000) on Thu. Apr. 24, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.68% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $19.7700(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLU advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLU advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(69%)    SPY(65%)    XLK(55%)    EEM(54%)    IWM(54%)
Factors Impacting XLU price   XLU will decline at least -0.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-11%)    SHY(-5%)    REMX(2%)    LQD(22%)    OIH(40%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.34% (StdDev 0.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.48(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.21(2.92%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLU price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 0.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_24_2003	18.94		19.21	19.48			19.77(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	17	-10000	20	8	0.63	95%	0.32	0	0.68%	0	48.2	85	0
2	Apr_23_2003	18.88		19.08	19.35			19.59(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	13	-10000	15	6	0.49	95%	0.21	0	0.69%	0	52.9	80	0
3	Apr_22_2003	18.84		18.98	19.25			19.59(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	18	-10000	21	8	0.37	95%	0.32	0	0.7%	0	59.4	80	0
4	Apr_21_2003	18.78		18.89	19.11			19.32(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	20	8	0.3	94%	0.21	0	0.67%	0	71.6	50	0
5	Apr_17_2003	18.74		18.82	18.98			19.14(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	14	6	0.24	93%	0.16	0	0.67%	0	83.2	50	0

6	Apr_16_2003	18.71		18.75	18.89			19.1(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	17	7	0.3	93%	0.21	0	0.7%	0	91	50	0
7	Apr_15_2003	18.67		18.7	18.78			19.12(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	14	-10000	16	6	0.34	93%	0.21	0	0.73%	0	106.2	50	0
8	Apr_14_2003	18.63		18.63	18.67			18.88(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	5	-10000	6	2	0.41	90%	0.16	0	0.69%	0	171.6	50	0
9	Apr_11_2003	18.6		18.63	18.63			18.64(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.24	85%	0	0	0.61%	0	233	50	0
10	Apr_10_2003	18.6		18.63	18.64			18.7(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	7	3	0.19	85%	0.11	0	0.63%	0	207.8	50	0

11	Apr_9_2003	18.58		18.63	18.64			18.54(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	0	0	0.4	77%	-0.05	0	0.6%	0	231.8	50	0
12	Apr_8_2003	18.59		18.63	18.6			18.58(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	2	1	0.31	77%	0	0	0.65%	0	206.4	50	0
13	Apr_7_2003	18.59		18.63	18.59			18.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.2	702	-10000	826	330	0.31	77%	0.16	0	0.61%	0	207.8	50	0
14	Apr_4_2003	18.56		18.63	14.85			18.7(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	42.8	830	-10000	976	390	0.24	77%	0.27	0	0.69%	0	207.8	50	0
15	Apr_3_2003	18.51		18.63	11.11			18.47(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	245.3	3858	-10000	4539	1816	0.42	12%	-0.16	0	0.22%	0	615.7	50	0

16	Apr_2_2003	18.54		18.63	7.41			18.54(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.64	100%	0.05	0	0%	0	0	50	0
17	Apr_1_2003	18.53		18.63	3.71			18.53(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.5	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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