Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $36.2700 (4.37%) ($35.0100 - $36.9100) on Mon. Aug. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.18% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $36.2700(4.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(53%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(44%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -1.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.59% (StdDev 3.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.99(3.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.52(5.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.36(5.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   42.2%
Market Cap   $1.965b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 3.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.47%(34%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(66%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.83%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.69%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2017	30.79	34.36	34.52	34.99	34.99	35.54	36.27(4.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	110	26	29	0.27	65%	0.33	63	3.18%	0	1.6	56	0
2	Aug_25_2017	30.69	34.15	34.34	34.28	34.35	35.11	34.75(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	160	22	3	0.16	60%	0.29	44.6	3.2%	0	0.5	48	0
3	Aug_24_2017	30.6	34.02	34.28	33.96	33.8	34.44	35.72(4.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	12	120	21	-16	0.22	60%	0.33	36.7	3.18%	0	1.3	49	0
4	Aug_23_2017	30.5	33.81	34	33.7	33.45	33.6	34.29(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	10	3	-32	0.12	58%	0.26	34.3	3.16%	0	0.4	56	0
5	Aug_22_2017	30.42	33.71	34.12	33.81	33.64	33.16	33.93(3.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-110	-10	-22	0.3	58%	0.23	40.7	3.16%	0	0.2	56	0

6	Aug_21_2017	30.35	33.71	34.18	34	34.07	33.31	32.73(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-150	-25	-11	0.61	56%	0.2	49.4	3.14%	0	-0.7	56	0
7	Aug_18_2017	30.29	33.63	34.45	34.4	34.54	34.12	33.13(-3.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-70	-17	21	0.57	52%	0.23	59.7	3.22%	0	-0.4	58	0
8	Aug_17_2017	30.22	33.56	34.72	34.59	34.79	34.82	34.44(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	20	4	54	0.36	47%	0.27	57.7	3.19%	0	0.6	64	0
9	Aug_16_2017	30.14	33.39	34.61	34.32	34.6	34.97	34.84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	15	100	3	50	0.28	47%	0.27	47.5	3.55%	0	0.9	68	0
10	Aug_15_2017	30.06	33.19	34.45	34.48	34.3	34.76	34.84(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	80	7	62	0.27	47%	0.23	48.9	3.56%	0	1	64	0

11	Aug_14_2017	29.99	33	34.2	34.42	34.47	34.22	34.74(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-50	2	60	0.27	47%	0.27	42.6	3.56%	0	1.1	63	0
12	Aug_11_2017	29.91	32.84	33.96	34.55	34.55	33.85	34.1(3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-140	-21	55	0.41	47%	0.27	43.5	3.57%	0	0.8	58	0
13	Aug_10_2017	29.83	32.73	33.77	34.87	34.99	34.72	33.07(-7.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	13	-40	-8	74	0.45	47%	0.2	48.4	3.57%	0	0.2	60	0
14	Aug_9_2017	29.77	32.66	33.64	34.9	35.03	35.25	35.66(3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	60	14	93	0.54	51%	0.34	49.7	3.44%	0	2	77	0
15	Aug_8_2017	29.67	32.44	33.28	34.38	34.43	35.26	34.55(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	170	20	88	0.49	44%	0.2	42.6	3.43%	0	1.6	72	0

16	Aug_7_2017	29.61	32.35	33.04	33.92	33.83	34.8	35.39(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	190	33	80	0.29	44%	0.27	41.7	3.79%	0	2.4	77	0
17	Aug_4_2017	29.53	32.2	32.73	33.27	33	33.6	35.69(7.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	35	100	25	65	0.52	44%	0.24	41.6	3.79%	0	3.3	74	0
18	Aug_3_2017	29.46	32.02	32.28	32.55	32.55	32.87	33.22(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	70	15	41	0.29	40%	0.14	44.4	3.68%	0	1.7	59	0
19	Aug_2_2017	29.42	31.93	32.03	32.2	32.2	32.4	33.07(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	40	7	24	0.23	40%	0.17	34.3	3.69%	0	1.7	60	0
20	Aug_1_2017	29.37	31.88	31.81	32.2	32	32.23	32.22(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	50	3	15	0.29	40%	0.07	45.5	3.68%	0	0.5	57	0

21	Jul_31_2017	29.35	31.84	31.69	32.01	31.94	32.01	32.15(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	10	1	4	0.19	40%	0.07	50.8	3.71%	0	0.5	41	0
22	Jul_28_2017	29.33	31.76	31.63	32.09	32.01	31.78	32.08(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	0	-60	0	1	0.18	40%	0.07	25.3	3.72%	0	0.5	46	0
23	Jul_27_2017	29.31	31.7	31.6	31.97	32.05	31.88	31.48(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-30	-1	-7	0.5	43%	0.1	0.4	3.71%	0	-0.3	42	0
24	Jul_26_2017	29.28	31.71	31.63	31.81	31.91	32.25	32.12(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	80	7	-7	0.14	45%	0.21	-11.5	3.75%	0	0.6	54	0
25	Jul_25_2017	29.22	31.59	31.55	31.57	31.65	32.21	32.22(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	130	16	-13	0.22	47%		-26.7	3.77%	0	0.7	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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