Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $31.3300 (3.37%) ($30.1300 - $32.4200) on Tue. Jun. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.48% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $31.3300(3.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(53%)    IBB(51%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(44%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -1.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.74% (StdDev 3.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.1(4.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.61(5.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.28(10.79%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   24.1%
Market Cap   $1.697b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 6.26% (three month std-dev: 3.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 2.75%(42%) Average negative next day return: -2.13%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 4.61%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -6.87%(42%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 7.62%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.91%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2017	27.81	28.28	29.61	30.1	30	30.65	31.33(3.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	140	23	80	0.35	51%	0.29	48.1	3.48%	0	1.7	78	INF
2	Jun_19_2017	27.73	27.98	29.31	29.76	29.64	29.73	30.31(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	10	17	83	0.35	51%	0.25	32	3.46%	0	1.4	73	INF
3	Jun_16_2017	27.66	27.74	29.11	29.34	29.21	29.36	29.69(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	20	1	82	0.3	51%	0.18	13.8	3.47%	0	1.2	74	INF
4	Jun_15_2017	27.61	27.6	29.02	29.21	29.04	29.55	29.11(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	110	6	96	0.28	51%	0.18	6.6	3.46%	0	0.9	63	INF
5	Jun_14_2017	27.56	27.47	28.88	29.28	29	29.06	30.05(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10	13	113	0.31	47%	0.22	3.1	3.44%	0	1.6	69	INF

6	Jun_13_2017	27.5	27.45	28.44	29.04	28.9	28.53	29.64(4.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	24	-100	-2	101	0.97	47%	0.18	4.6	3.5%	0	1.4	71	INF
7	Jun_12_2017	27.45	27.44	28.07	28.81	28.95	28.94	28.23(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	10	-5	100	0.27	44%	0.15	7	3.44%	0	0.5	67	INF
8	Jun_9_2017	27.41	27.51	27.8	28.83	28.92	29.26	29.04(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	90	7	107	0.3	48%	0.15	2.7	3.43%	0	0.9	70	INF
9	Jun_8_2017	27.37	27.49	27.54	28.79	28.74	28.95	29.42(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	15	106	0.18	51%	0.18	-5.2	3.5%	0	1.1	60	INF
10	Jun_7_2017	27.32	27.42	27.2	28.42	28.49	28.57	28.86(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	30	19	92	0.19	47%	0.15	-21.5	3.54%	0	0.9	61	INF

11	Jun_6_2017	27.28	27.38	26.85	27.75	27.98	28.53	28.52(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	160	18	38	0.33	47%	0.07	-44.6	3.68%	0	0.7	42	INF
12	Jun_5_2017	27.26	27.32	26.53	27.21	27.29	28.41	28.33(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	23	300	31	0	0.33	47%	0.11	-69	3.68%	0	0.6	43	INF
13	Jun_2_2017	27.23	27.46	26.24	26.6	26.57	27.44	28.82(4.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	13	230	32	-44	0.54	49%	0.07	-72.1	3.68%	0	0.7	44	INF
14	Jun_1_2017	27.21	27.58	26.03	26.12	25.96	26.18	27.55(8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	40	12	-79	0.52	51%	0.07	-73	3.69%	0	-0	44	INF
15	May_31_2017	27.19	27.79	25.91	25.84	25.93	25.71	25.51(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-50	-0	-107	0.24	39%	-0.04	-68.7	3.57%	0	-1	40	INF

16	May_30_2017	27.2	28.14	26.35	25.82	25.94	25.75	25.85(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-40	-2	-99	0.32	42%	0	-61.4	3.57%	0	-0.9	41	INF
17	May_26_2017	27.2	28.51	26.73	25.73	25.94	25.75	25.25(-4.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	110	-1	-87	0.21	50%	-0.07	-50.1	3.72%	0	-1.2	42	INF
18	May_25_2017	27.22	28.89	27.19	25.79	25.75	26.14	26.45(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	100	8	-89	0.34	52%	-0.04	-42.5	3.71%	0	-0.9	33	INF
19	May_24_2017	27.23	29.2	27.44	25.92	25.74	25.35	26.14(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-130	-5	-104	0.21	52%	0.04	-35.8	3.73%	0	-1.1	31	INF
20	May_23_2017	27.22	29.46	27.66	26.01	26.04	25.37	25.39(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-180	-35	-133	0.4	52%	-0.07	-31.7	3.72%	0	-1.6	26	INF

21	May_22_2017	27.24	29.73	27.98	26.99	26.64	26.13	25.41(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-170	-34	-126	0.25	50%	0	-19.6	3.72%	0	-1.8	25	INF
22	May_19_2017	27.24	29.94	28.23	27.89	27.72	26.7	25.56(-5.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-54	-280	-30	-127	0.49	50%	0	-9.6	3.72%	0	-2	24	INF
23	May_18_2017	27.24	30.1	28.84	28.78	28.62	27.15	27.1(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-54	-380	-35	-112	0.48	53%	0.04	0	3.68%	0	-1.5	29	INF
24	May_17_2017	27.23	30.19	29.31	29.18	29.3	28.74	26.57(-12.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-120	-26	-101	0.98	53%	0	9.9	3.71%	0	-1.8	29	INF
25	May_16_2017	27.23	30.31	29.86	29.51	29.58	30.09	30.3(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	130	16	-81	0.17	60%		19.8	3.34%	0	-0	47	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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