Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 28, 2017

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $26.7200 (0.26%) ($25.8600 - $27.3300) on Tue. Feb. 28, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.1% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $26.7200(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(54%)    IBB(52%)    ARKG(45%)    IWO(44%)    ARKK(43%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -1.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.55% (StdDev 3.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.84(3.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.28(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.36(5.36%)
To recent high   -26.8%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $1.447b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 4.85% (three month std-dev: 3.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 3.49%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.35%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.45%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -5.05%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 8.1%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2017	28.89	25.36	26.28	25.84	25.66	26.21	26.72(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	130	16	48	0.5	47%	-0.28	34	3.1%	0	1.1	69	INF
2	Feb_27_2017	28.97	25.19	26.19	25.79	25.51	25.41	26.65(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-60	2	54	0.26	47%	-0.28	29	3.13%	0	1.2	66	INF
3	Feb_24_2017	29.05	25.06	26.05	25.82	25.69	25.12	25.17(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-170	-19	60	0.14	39%	-0.31	29.2	3.02%	0	0.1	61	INF
4	Feb_23_2017	29.14	25.01	26.03	26.1	26.09	25.6	25.2(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-130	-26	77	0.23	39%	-0.38	34.8	3.04%	0	0.2	62	INF
5	Feb_22_2017	29.25	24.99	25.87	26.53	26.5	26.26	25.47(-3.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	15	-70	-13	97	0.26	39%	-0.34	45.7	3.09%	0	0.4	60	INF

6	Feb_21_2017	29.35	24.94	25.73	26.76	26.74	26.58	26.47(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-40	1	113	0.31	43%	-0.58	50.9	3.07%	0	1.2	66	INF
7	Feb_17_2017	29.52	24.84	25.48	26.63	26.65	26.75	26.8(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	30	8	118	0.22	43%	-0.34	47.3	3.04%	0	1.7	74	INF
8	Feb_16_2017	29.62	24.71	25.19	26.32	26.39	26.91	26.54(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	150	20	112	0.35	43%	-0.44	35.4	3.04%	0	1.7	66	INF
9	Feb_15_2017	29.75	24.59	24.92	25.94	25.89	26.55	27.37(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	55	170	40	101	0.34	43%	-0.47	21.8	3.06%	0	2.9	70	INF
10	Feb_14_2017	29.89	24.44	24.58	25.12	25.15	25.88	26.61(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	39	210	33	58	0.38	43%	-0.43	-14.2	3.05%	0	2.9	60	INF

11	Feb_13_2017	30.02	24.33	24.33	24.55	24.46	25.23	25.81(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	28	210	27	29	0.4	38%	-0.46	-60.3	3.05%	0	2.6	58	INF
12	Feb_10_2017	30.16	24.31	24.08	24.18	24.05	24.42	25.25(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	16	90	21	2	0.65	56%	-0.49	-88.7	3.17%	0	1.7	55	INF
13	Feb_9_2017	30.31	24.34	23.94	23.92	23.82	23.69	24.65(5.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-50	4	-18	0.69	68%	-0.46	-90.6	3.32%	0	0.5	52	INF
14	Feb_8_2017	30.45	24.38	23.88	23.76	23.8	23.68	23.3(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-30	-8	-26	0.3	66%	-0.46	-100.7	4.13%	0	-1.5	37	INF
15	Feb_7_2017	30.59	24.55	24.03	23.94	23.93	23.96	23.74(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	10	-2	-18	0.6	66%	-0.46	-76	4.13%	0	-1	37	INF

16	Feb_6_2017	30.73	24.68	24.11	24.05	24.03	23.92	23.98(0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-30	2	-14	0.33	66%	-0.32	-61.6	4.13%	0	-0.8	39	INF
17	Feb_3_2017	30.83	24.79	24.16	23.94	24.01	23.91	23.93(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-20	-2	-24	0.33	63%	-0.32	-60.2	4.35%	0	-0.9	30	INF
18	Feb_2_2017	30.93	24.94	24.2	23.95	24.01	24.14	23.83(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-9	60	-1	-31	0.4	60%	-0.35	-49.9	4.5%	0	-1.1	24	INF
19	Feb_1_2017	31.04	25.12	24.27	24.03	23.95	24.11	24.23(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	40	2	-34	0.3	60%	-0.29	-40.9	4.51%	0	-0.8	35	INF
20	Jan_31_2017	31.13	25.19	24.31	24.14	24.01	23.75	24.28(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-90	-3	-43	0.36	60%	-0.29	-46.5	4.51%	0	-0.8	29	INF

21	Jan_30_2017	31.22	25.25	24.35	24.19	24.22	23.79	23.44(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-22	-120	-11	-54	0.33	60%	-0.26	-48.4	4.5%	0	-1.6	21	INF
22	Jan_27_2017	31.3	25.37	24.56	24.4	24.45	24.27	23.98(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-50	-6	-50	0.38	62%	-0.29	-55.7	4.5%	0	-1.4	28	INF
23	Jan_26_2017	31.39	25.47	24.78	24.48	24.55	24.66	24.22(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	40	-0	-50	0.31	62%	-0.25	-67.5	4.52%	0	-1.3	25	INF
24	Jan_25_2017	31.47	25.59	24.92	24.53	24.49	24.63	24.79(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	40	3	-56	0.6	62%	-0.22	-80.6	4.53%	0	-0.9	25	INF
25	Jan_24_2017	31.54	25.71	25.1	24.51	24.45	24.44	24.53(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10	-0	-53	0.41	60%		-91.4	4.53%	0	-1.3	46	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.