Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $38.1500 (-2.48%) ($37.8700 - $39.9300) on Thu. Nov. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $38.1500(-2.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 21.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(55%)    IBB(53%)    ARKG(47%)    IWO(45%)    ARKK(43%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.43(-3.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.33(7.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.59(20.77%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   53.5%
Market Cap   $2.066b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 16.27% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.33%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.69%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.13%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2016	32.67	31.59	35.33	39.43	39.69	39.4	38.15(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	73	-30	-2	296	0.42	62%	0.09	55.6	4.35%	0	1.3	74	0
2	Nov_16_2016	32.64	31.16	34.06	39.07	39.32	40.16	39.12(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	92	170	23	300	0.45	62%	0.15	56.3	4.33%	0	1.6	74	0
3	Nov_15_2016	32.59	30.66	32.89	38	38.2	39.98	40.86(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	125	340	65	305	0.33	62%	0.28	52.8	4.3%	0	2.2	79	0
4	Nov_14_2016	32.5	30.06	31.57	35.46	36.16	38.49	40.18(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	123	510	81	249	0.46	62%	0.22	36.8	4.29%	0	2.6	75	0
5	Nov_11_2016	32.43	29.48	30.28	32.92	33.18	36.41	38.82(6.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	107	710	82	180	0.57	62%	0.12	14.3	4.28%	0	2.9	72	0

6	Nov_10_2016	32.39	28.97	29.07	30.66	30.68	33.84	36.38(7.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	105	720	100	118	0.54	58%	0.09	-14.4	4.22%	0	3.1	65	0
7	Nov_9_2016	32.36	28.62	28.15	28.35	28.48	29.95	33.76(19.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	54	380	63	28	1.29	55%	0	-62.2	4.15%	0	2.9	58	0
8	Nov_8_2016	32.36	28.43	27.41	27.07	26.95	27.52	28.15(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	130	6	-57	0.19	42%	-0.22	-93.2	3.35%	0	-0.2	43	0
9	Nov_7_2016	32.43	28.68	27.34	27.1	27.02	27.01	27.51(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10	5	-69	0.51	42%	-0.22	-78.1	3.47%	0	-0.5	40	0
10	Nov_4_2016	32.5	29.03	27.41	27.1	27.25	26.39	27.49(10.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-220	-12	-82	0.54	42%	-0.28	-73.8	3.47%	0	-0.6	41	0

11	Nov_3_2016	32.59	29.32	27.56	27.21	27.55	27.02	24.86(-9.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-51	-100	-34	-101	0.36	36%	-0.37	-74.2	3.21%	0	-1.8	26	0
12	Nov_2_2016	32.71	29.78	28.1	27.83	27.91	28.1	27.36(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	60	2	-70	0.24	38%	-0.27	-69.5	3.05%	0	-0.9	31	0
13	Nov_1_2016	32.8	30.2	28.35	27.75	27.93	28.07	28.3(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	50	12	-74	0.27	39%	-0.18	-72.5	3.06%	0	-0.7	33	0
14	Oct_31_2016	32.86	30.54	28.51	27.61	27.68	27.72	28.03(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	20	-3	-107	0.28	39%	-0.24	-77.8	3.06%	0	-0.9	21	0
15	Oct_28_2016	32.94	30.91	28.68	27.66	27.71	27.79	27.48(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	30	-9	-138	0.27	39%	-0.21	-79.4	3.05%	0	-1.1	15	0

16	Oct_27_2016	33.01	31.34	28.92	28	28.03	27.64	28(4.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-48	-90	-14	-150	0.64	43%	-0.24	-80.5	3.05%	0	-1.1	27	0
17	Oct_26_2016	33.09	31.75	29.15	28.44	28.43	27.63	26.92(-2.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-66	-200	-33	-163	0.2	40%	-0.27	-75.1	3.08%	0	-1.4	20	0
18	Oct_25_2016	33.18	32.37	29.55	29.04	29.12	28.41	27.64(-2.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-160	-29	-172	0.18	40%	-0.27	-66.4	3.07%	0	-1.3	17	0
19	Oct_24_2016	33.27	33	30.14	29.52	29.6	29.23	28.25(-3.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-56	-80	-20	-162	0.21	40%	-0.24	-60.4	3.06%	0	-1.3	24	0
20	Oct_21_2016	33.35	33.54	30.79	29.84	29.93	29.82	29.2(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-20	-5	-150	0.15	42%	-0.27	-55.7	3.04%	0	-1.2	25	0

21	Oct_20_2016	33.44	34.05	31.22	29.95	29.95	29.97	30.19(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	0	-2	-161	0.25	43%	-0.09	-49.6	3.02%	0	-1	26	0
22	Oct_19_2016	33.47	34.54	31.58	29.98	30	30.04	29.94(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-46	10	-3	-173	0.22	43%	-0.15	-43.5	3.03%	0	-1.3	24	0
23	Oct_18_2016	33.52	34.96	32.18	30.14	30.13	29.93	30.02(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-50	-21	-191	0.12	43%	-0.09	-40.1	3.03%	0	-1.4	19	0
24	Oct_17_2016	33.55	35.35	32.71	30.89	30.64	29.95	29.86(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-80	-180	-39	-201	0.18	43%	-0.12	-31.6	3.04%	0	-1.7	17	0
25	Oct_14_2016	33.59	35.71	33.29	31.93	31.78	30.32	29.74(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-79	-340	-42	-190	0.3	43%		-20	3.04%	0	-2	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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