Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $39.5000 (-1.25%) ($38.9900 - $40.3300) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.05% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $39.5000(-1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(56%)    IBB(54%)    ARKG(47%)    IWO(44%)    ARKK(42%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -1.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.525% (StdDev 3.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.32(3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.13(9.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.64(17.42%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   37%
Market Cap   $2.14b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 9.39% (three month std-dev: 3.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 3.39%(57%) Average negative next day return: -2.47%(43%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 6.02%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -4.1%(52%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 10.49%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.12%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	33.13	33.64	36.13	38.32	38.46	39.47	39.5(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	190	43	223	0.27	53%	0.27	72.1	3.05%	0	1.9	81	0
2	Sep_22_2016	33.04	33.14	35.33	37.32	37.47	38.52	40(4.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	92	210	54	205	0.44	53%	0.4	67.2	3.09%	0	2.3	84	0
3	Sep_21_2016	32.91	32.6	34.53	36.02	36.1	37.45	38.12(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	75	270	41	177	0.39	50%	0.3	62.8	3.03%	0	2.2	82	0
4	Sep_20_2016	32.81	32.22	33.87	35.28	35.07	36.42	37.48(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	81	250	52	167	0.38	50%	0.21	65.9	3.06%	0	2.4	79	0
5	Sep_19_2016	32.74	31.86	33.29	34.42	34.27	34.74	36.5(5.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	67	80	40	147	0.4	50%	0.21	67.4	3.05%	0	2.6	77	0

6	Sep_16_2016	32.67	31.51	32.71	33.63	33.5	33.73	34.51(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	40	16	117	0.42	44%	0.12	66.2	3.04%	0	2	74	0
7	Sep_15_2016	32.63	31.27	32.28	33.01	33.05	33.79	33.51(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	160	18	102	0.29	44%	0.09	62.5	3.02%	0	1.7	74	0
8	Sep_14_2016	32.6	31.09	31.94	32.77	32.55	33.28	34.41(3.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	51	140	33	104	0.33	44%	0.12	66.7	3.02%	0	2.6	78	0
9	Sep_13_2016	32.56	30.84	31.52	32.23	32.01	32.31	33.16(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	50	15	76	0.33	41%	0.03	65.9	3%	0	2.3	62	0
10	Sep_12_2016	32.55	30.68	31.22	32	31.78	31.83	32.57(3.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10	10	64	0.27	41%	0.03	68.6	3%	0	2.1	61	0

11	Sep_9_2016	32.54	30.55	30.98	31.65	31.7	31.71	31.4(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	10	7	54	0.47	36%	-0.03	49	2.98%	0	1.1	62	0
12	Sep_8_2016	32.55	30.45	30.81	31.42	31.47	31.73	32.32(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	60	14	47	0.13	36%	0.06	19	3.01%	0	2.4	67	0
13	Sep_7_2016	32.53	30.27	30.55	30.96	31.1	31.7	31.68(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	21	150	18	31	0.28	36%	0.09	-30.2	3%	0	2	64	0
14	Sep_6_2016	32.5	30.18	30.46	30.69	30.67	31.21	32.02(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	24	120	22	30	0.28	36%	0.06	-67	3.03%	0	2.9	69	0
15	Sep_2_2016	32.48	30.09	30.31	30.34	30.36	30.51	30.84(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	40	11	17	0.13	40%	-0.03	-91.3	3%	0	1	56	0

16	Sep_1_2016	32.49	30.18	30.21	30.21	30.21	30.14	30.25(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-20	2	8	0.14	40%	-0.03	-79.1	3.24%	0	0.1	53	0
17	Aug_31_2016	32.5	30.31	30.18	30.09	30.15	30.22	30.01(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	20	0	6	0.28	40%	-0.06	-67.5	3.24%	0	-0.2	57	0
18	Aug_30_2016	32.52	30.49	30.19	30.06	30.09	30.28	30.32(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	50	-0	12	0.09	40%	0	-65.2	3.24%	0	-0.1	66	0
19	Aug_29_2016	32.52	30.61	30.13	30.18	30.15	30.09	30.28(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-20	-1	14	0.12	40%	-0.03	-53.9	3.26%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Aug_26_2016	32.53	30.8	30.12	30.28	30.35	29.9	30.21(1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-100	-4	15	0.15	40%	-0.03	-45.7	3.26%	0	-0.3	49	0

21	Aug_25_2016	32.54	30.98	30.12	30.21	30.45	30.22	29.65(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-30	-12	-7	0.27	40%	-0.06	-43.4	3.26%	0	-0.7	31	0
22	Aug_24_2016	32.56	31.18	30.09	30.28	30.58	30.8	29.86(-3.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	80	3	-18	0.37	40%	0	-39.8	3.26%	0	-0.7	31	0
23	Aug_23_2016	32.56	31.4	30	30.31	30.43	30.68	30.91(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	70	12	-43	0.2	42%	0.03	-36.9	3.24%	0	-0.3	30	0
24	Aug_22_2016	32.55	31.49	29.9	30.07	30.16	30.37	30.77(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	60	7	-69	0.21	42%	0.12	-39.7	3.24%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Aug_19_2016	32.51	31.6	29.85	29.94	30.01	30.18	29.85(-0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-22	50	3	-97	0.24	42%		-40	3.23%	0	-0.9	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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