Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $33.4500 (1.36%) ($32.9200 - $34.1300) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.7% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $33.4500(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(56%)    IBB(54%)    ARKG(47%)    IWO(44%)    ARKK(42%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -1.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.85% (StdDev 3.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.28(-18.45%)
Resistance Level   $33.67
5 Day Moving Average   $32.87(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.38(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.67(-0.65%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $1.812b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 3% (three month std-dev: 3.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.25%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.5%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.17%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	31.39	33.67	33.38	32.87	32.85	33.14	33.45(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	60	10	-26	0.3	54%	0.19	-42	3.7%	0	-0.2	49	0
2	Jul_20_2016	31.33	33.68	33.43	32.74	32.78	32.63	33(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-30	0	-38	0.29	54%	0.16	-60	3.73%	0	-0.7	43	0
3	Jul_19_2016	31.28	33.72	33.57	32.72	32.88	32.56	32.36(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-50	-17	-44	0.32	51%	0.26	-71.1	3.76%	0	-1.4	46	0
4	Jul_18_2016	31.2	33.85	33.63	33.27	33.31	32.93	32.46(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-80	-14	-25	0.28	51%	0.22	-58.5	3.87%	0	-1.4	55	0
5	Jul_15_2016	31.13	33.95	33.91	33.64	33.88	33.2	33.09(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-120	-14	-8	0.21	51%	0.29	-56.5	3.87%	0	-0.9	51	0

6	Jul_14_2016	31.04	34.1	34.01	33.98	34.24	33.68	32.81(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-90	-17	-5	0.2	51%	0.19	-34.4	3.87%	0	-1.3	45	0
7	Jul_13_2016	30.98	34.29	34.24	34.2	34.48	34.56	32.87(-6.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-4	40	-8	10	0.24	51%	0.23	-23.8	3.87%	0	-1.2	50	0
8	Jul_12_2016	30.91	34.44	34.36	34.52	34.49	34.79	35.1(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	60	16	30	0.23	54%	0.29	-16.5	3.78%	0	0.6	55	0
9	Jul_11_2016	30.82	34.42	34.05	34.05	34.12	34.39	34.35(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	60	1	-1	0.2	54%	0.23	-36.6	3.79%	0	-0.1	49	0
10	Jul_8_2016	30.75	34.47	33.96	34.24	33.94	34.18	34.75(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	20	6	2	0.36	54%	0.29	-34.7	3.8%	0	0.2	52	0

11	Jul_7_2016	30.66	34.46	33.97	34.08	34.02	33.85	33.91(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-40	-2	-10	0.26	54%	0.16	-49.2	3.79%	0	-0.5	44	0
12	Jul_6_2016	30.61	34.57	33.94	34.3	34.08	33.71	34.48(5.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-100	-7	-20	0.36	57%	0.26	-34.6	3.79%	0	-0.1	44	0
13	Jul_5_2016	30.53	34.63	33.86	34.18	34.34	34.19	32.77(-7.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-7	-20	1	-29	0.43	55%	0.23	-31.5	3.83%	0	-1.5	43	0
14	Jul_1_2016	30.46	34.84	34.07	34	34.17	34.46	35.27(3.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	70	9	-31	0.45	61%	0.36	-23.9	3.78%	0	0.3	52	0
15	Jun_30_2016	30.35	34.87	33.97	33.63	33.67	34.49	33.98(-2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	170	7	-46	0.44	60%	0.26	-23.9	3.76%	0	-0.7	46	0

16	Jun_29_2016	30.27	35.03	34.17	33.85	33.42	33.89	35(3.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	60	19	-30	0.3	63%	0.36	-11.6	3.73%	0	-0	52	0
17	Jun_28_2016	30.16	34.98	34.32	33.56	33.39	32.85	33.89(6.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-130	-2	-43	0.33	63%	0.3	-19.3	3.82%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Jun_27_2016	30.07	35.01	34.5	33.53	33.56	32.96	31.84(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-120	-26	-55	0.34	60%	0.2	-19.4	3.76%	0	-2.3	38	0
19	Jun_24_2016	30.01	35.14	34.84	34.13	34.01	33.94	33.46(-4.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-20	-9	-42	0.81	64%	0.17	-7.5	3.73%	0	-1.4	38	0
20	Jun_23_2016	29.96	35.2	35.05	34.32	34.38	34.16	35.04(4.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-14	-40	-5	-40	0.37	59%	0.23	2.2	3.68%	0	-0.1	46	0

21	Jun_22_2016	29.89	35.19	35	34.57	34.62	34.09	33.56(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-100	-20	-49	0.31	59%	0.17	15.9	3.94%	0	-1.4	37	0
22	Jun_21_2016	29.84	35.24	35.26	35.22	35.18	34.61	33.73(-3.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-120	-16	-24	0.31	59%	0.1	44.4	3.97%	0	-1.4	53	0
23	Jun_20_2016	29.81	35.28	35.48	35.62	35.7	35.14	34.87(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-100	-9	-6	0.22	59%	0.13	65	3.97%	0	-0.4	55	0
24	Jun_17_2016	29.77	35.23	35.69	35.63	35.82	35.75	34.38(-5.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	0	-8	6	0.61	59%	0.13	81	4.05%	0	-0.8	55	0
25	Jun_16_2016	29.73	35.17	35.88	35.84	35.71	36.26	36.3(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	100	12	27	0.26	62%		98.2	4.04%	0	0.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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