Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: XLRN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Nov. 19, 2021)

(ACCELERON PHARMA INC)
XLRN latest price $40.7500 (4.27%) ($38.7200 - $41.7300) on Mon. Nov. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.23% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $40.7500(4.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   XLRN advances 2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRN advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(59%)    IBB(57%)    ARKG(48%)    IWO(46%)    IWM(41%)
Factors Impacting XLRN price   XLRN will decline at least -2.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.115% (StdDev 4.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.72(8.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.94(10.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.36(15.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   84.8%
Market Cap   $2.207b

Acceleron Pharma, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of therapeutics to treat serious and rare diseases. Its product candidates include Luspatercept, designed to patients with chronic anemia associated within a wide range of blood diseases; ACE-083, designed for the treatment of focal muscle disorders; and Sotatercept, designed to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was founded by John L. Knopf and Thomas P. Maniatis in June 2003 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

$. XLRN price fluctuates within 10.8% (three month std-dev: 4.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.73%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.56%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 22.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -25.63%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2015	30.1	35.36	36.94	37.72	37.72	39.04	40.75(4.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	240	42	40	0.32	61%	0.47	83.8	4.23%	0	1.4	73	INF
2	Nov_20_2015	29.96	34.65	36.66	36.68	36.66	37.23	39.08(8.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	110	24	31	0.29	55%	0.44	74	4.21%	0	1.1	71	INF
3	Nov_19_2015	29.83	34.02	36.64	35.96	35.94	36.4	35.99(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	90	6	38	0.11	52%	0.27	67.3	4.21%	0	0.5	70	INF
4	Nov_18_2015	29.75	33.52	36.82	35.87	35.73	36.09	36.97(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	60	9	64	0.12	52%	0.34	64.3	4.19%	0	0.8	76	INF
5	Nov_17_2015	29.65	32.95	36.57	35.77	35.65	35.48	35.79(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-40	-4	75	0.13	52%	0.3	64.8	4.23%	0	0.6	76	INF

6	Nov_16_2015	29.56	32.43	36.34	36.03	35.92	35.37	35.58(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-120	-18	101	0.23	52%	0.31	68.6	4.25%	0	0.6	81	INF
7	Nov_13_2015	29.47	31.93	36.13	36.64	36.59	35.83	35.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-150	-23	146	0.14	57%	0.31	73.2	4.28%	0	0.7	82	INF
8	Nov_12_2015	29.38	31.39	35.76	37.44	37.4	36.48	35.56(-2.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	32	-180	-19	186	0.1	57%	0.31	78.3	4.57%	0	0.8	83	INF
9	Nov_11_2015	29.29	30.84	35.32	37.88	38	37.35	36.45(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	56	-110	-5	237	0.16	57%	0.38	79.6	4.55%	0	1	87	INF
10	Nov_10_2015	29.18	30.13	34.7	37.43	37.86	38.33	37.08(-4.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	76	120	13	265	0.24	57%	0.41	74.3	4.55%	0	1.3	90	INF

11	Nov_9_2015	29.06	29.38	33.75	36.63	36.79	38.65	38.64(-2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	97	370	37	277	0.25	57%	0.52	69.9	4.55%	0	1.7	96	INF
12	Nov_6_2015	28.91	28.6	32.52	35.51	35.33	37.39	39.49(4.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	112	390	58	272	0.33	57%	0.59	67.5	4.57%	0	2.2	96	INF
13	Nov_5_2015	28.74	27.79	31.16	33.86	33.78	34.94	37.73(10.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	95	230	46	241	0.64	55%	0.49	65	4.58%	0	2.3	96	INF
14	Nov_4_2015	28.6	27.07	29.9	32.44	32.45	33.27	34.22(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	72	180	25	214	0.37	51%	0.32	64.6	4.44%	0	2	95	INF
15	Nov_3_2015	28.51	26.56	28.98	31.57	31.68	32.62	33.07(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	81	220	36	217	0.16	51%	0.28	63.6	4.46%	0	2	96	INF

16	Nov_2_2015	28.43	26.08	28.15	30.41	30.56	31.63	33.05(5.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	81	260	40	204	0.36	51%	0.28	59.6	4.5%	0	2.4	96	INF
17	Oct_30_2015	28.35	25.63	27.33	29.04	29.2	30.74	31.21(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	73	390	38	177	0.3	48%	0.18	52.5	4.47%	0	2.3	80	INF
18	Oct_29_2015	28.3	25.27	26.63	28.03	28.06	29.48	30.63(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	72	360	45	154	0.35	48%	0.14	41.4	4.51%	0	2.7	75	INF
19	Oct_28_2015	28.26	24.92	25.97	26.97	26.93	27.66	29.89(9.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	55	190	33	119	0.3	48%	0.11	18.3	4.54%	0	3.1	72	INF
20	Oct_27_2015	28.23	24.64	25.19	26.02	26.1	26.64	27.25(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	150	16	76	0.27	43%	-0.07	-20.8	4.39%	0	2.3	64	INF

21	Oct_26_2015	28.25	24.48	24.67	25.55	25.63	26.21	26.23(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	170	14	50	0.2	43%	-0.14	-71.2	4.4%	0	1.7	62	INF
22	Oct_23_2015	28.29	24.43	24.4	25.35	25.26	25.56	26.17(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	70	14	40	0.14	43%	-0.14	-99.6	4.44%	0	1.6	58	INF
23	Oct_22_2015	28.33	24.46	24.17	25	24.98	25.06	25.31(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	20	6	23	0.11	43%	-0.21	-105.3	4.46%	0	0.6	54	INF
24	Oct_21_2015	28.39	24.63	24.05	24.79	24.76	24.96	25.15(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	50	14	20	0.19	43%	-0.21	-92.8	4.5%	0	0.3	56	INF
25	Oct_20_2015	28.45	24.89	23.96	24.2	24.33	24.9	24.87(-1.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	180	19	2	0.13	43%		-81.1	4.54%	0	-0	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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