Trading Signals: XLRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 8, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Real Estate sector ETF)
XLRE latest price $28.3934 (0.52%) ($27.9536 - $28.5125) on Thu. Dec. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $28.3934(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLRE advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRE advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(78%)    XLU(77%)    VYM(76%)    VT(74%)    SDY(72%)
Factors Impacting XLRE price   XLRE will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-3%)    IPO(-2%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.84(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.69(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.51(3.21%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLRE price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2016	29.32	27.51	27.69	27.84			28.39(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	-10000	17	57	1.7	35%	-0.1	18.9	1.17%	0	2.5	68	0
2	Dec_7_2016	29.35	27.46	27.59	27.57			28.25(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	14	-10000	9	27	2.07	37%	-0.1	-1	1.17%	0	2.8	61	0
3	Dec_6_2016	29.38	27.45	27.52	27.42			27.67(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	-3	10	1.34	33%	-0.1	-11.2	1.15%	0	0.8	54	0
4	Dec_5_2016	29.41	27.46	27.47	27.46			27.55(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1	-10000	-1	7	1.61	33%	-0.14	-14.7	1.15%	0	0.3	48	0
5	Dec_2_2016	29.45	27.46	27.43	27.48			27.33(0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-3	11	2.4	33%	-0.14	-21.6	1.15%	0	-0.4	55	0

6	Dec_1_2016	29.49	27.45	27.42	27.52			27.07(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	1	-10000	-4	17	2.49	33%	-0.14	-28.4	1.15%	0	-1.4	52	0
7	Nov_30_2016	29.53	27.47	27.46	27.59			27.5(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-1	25	2.23	35%	-0.14	-42.9	1.13%	0	0.1	50	0
8	Nov_29_2016	29.57	27.48	27.45	27.61			27.83(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	9	21	1.77	37%	-0.1	-56.9	1.12%	0	1.2	44	0
9	Nov_28_2016	29.6	27.5	27.43	27.47			27.64(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	5	-1	1.96	37%	-0.13	-69.2	1.12%	0	0.4	44	0
10	Nov_25_2016	29.64	27.51	27.37	27.39			27.54(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.79	36%	-0.13	-85	1.12%	0	0.1	52	0

11	Nov_23_2016	29.68	27.53	27.37	27.39			27.42(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-10000	0	-31	1.67	36%	-0.1	-89.9	1.12%	0	-0.3	53	0
12	Nov_22_2016	29.71	27.58	27.33	27.31			27.61(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	2	-28	2.57	36%	-0.07	-79	1.11%	0	0.1	53	0
13	Nov_21_2016	29.73	27.64	27.37	27.28			27.15(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-6	-31	1.58	34%	-0.13	-71.4	1.09%	0	-0.9	41	0
14	Nov_18_2016	29.77	27.73	27.44	27.37			27.22(0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	1	-26	1.28	33%	-0.1	-61.2	1.1%	0	-0.8	36	0
15	Nov_17_2016	29.8	27.81	27.47	27.35			27.17(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	-10000	1	-39	1.57	33%	-0.1	-59	1.09%	0	-1	41	0

16	Nov_16_2016	29.83	27.9	27.47	27.33			27.42(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-1	-54	2.06	32%	-0.1	-57.5	1.09%	0	-0.7	45	0
17	Nov_15_2016	29.86	27.98	27.48	27.34			27.44(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-9	-78	3.16	32%	-0.03	-53.8	1.1%	0	-0.8	38	0
18	Nov_14_2016	29.87	28.05	27.51	27.47			27.62(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	-5	-84	4.32	32%	-0.07	-45.1	1.1%	0	-0.6	36	0
19	Nov_11_2016	29.89	28.11	27.57	27.54			27.09(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-4	-92	3.7	28%	-0.1	-41	1.07%	0	-1.5	29	0
20	Nov_10_2016	29.92	28.2	27.66	27.6			27.06(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-3	-103	5.35	28%	-0.07	-38.9	1.07%	0	-1.7	29	0

21	Nov_9_2016	29.94	28.29	27.75	27.64			27.48(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-29	-10000	1	-119	4.76	29%	-0.07	-38.4	1.06%	0	-1.3	32	0
22	Nov_8_2016	29.96	28.36	27.86	27.62			28.11(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-31	-10000	4	-135	1.51	31%	-0.07	-40	1.03%	0	-0.4	35	0
23	Nov_7_2016	29.98	28.37	27.93	27.56			27.94(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-42	-10000	-6	-149	3	31%	-0.03	-48.5	1.03%	0	-0.7	35	0
24	Nov_4_2016	29.99	28.4	28.02	27.64			27.43(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-8	-144	1.76	27%	-0.07	-52.2	1%	0	-1.7	30	0
25	Nov_3_2016	30.01	28.46	28.17	27.75			27.25(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-10000	-9	-132	1.92	27%		-65.6	0.99%	0	-2.3	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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