Trading Signals: XLRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 8, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Real Estate sector ETF)
XLRE latest price $27.7178 (-0.75%) ($27.7178 - $27.9371) on Wed. Mar. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   17.85% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $27.7178(-0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLRE advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRE advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(76%)    VYM(75%)    VT(73%)    SDY(72%)    IWD(70%)
Factors Impacting XLRE price   XLRE will decline at least -8.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-18%)    VIXM(-16%)    IPO(-5%)    TBT(-2%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -8.925% (StdDev 17.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.61(0.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.44(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.86(3.19%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLRE price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 17.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2016	26.78	26.86	27.44	27.61			27.72(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	0	7	0	0%	0	255.4	17.85%	0	1.1	82	0
2	Mar_15_2016	26.78	26.74	27.38	27.5			27.93(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	3	-10000	1	8	0	0%	0	227.7	17.86%	0	1.4	89	0
3	Mar_14_2016	26.78	25.48	27.28	27.36			27.74(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	2	-10000	0	8	0	0%	0.04	90.9	17.86%	0	2.7	88	0
4	Mar_11_2016	26.77	25.31	27.13	27.27			27.66(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	2	-10000	0	7	0	0%	-0.04	76.1	17.86%	0	2.6	82	0
5	Mar_10_2016	26.78	25.14	27	27.2			27.03(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	-0	8	0	0%	0	59.9	17.85%	0	2	82	0

6	Mar_9_2016	26.78	25.02	26.92	27.2			27.15(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	0	9	0	0%	0	53.6	17.85%	0	2.2	84	0
7	Mar_8_2016	26.78	24.88	26.8	27.24			27.24(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	0	10	0	0%	-0.04	43.7	17.85%	0	2.4	89	0
8	Mar_7_2016	26.79	24.74	26.67	27.17			27.28(-0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-10000	1	44	0	0%	0.04	33.1	17.85%	0	2.6	90	0
9	Mar_4_2016	26.78	24.65	26.55	26.97			27.3(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	1	38	0	0%	0	28.7	21.66%	0	2.9	6	0
10	Mar_3_2016	26.78	24.59	26.38	26.77			27.22(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	1	39	0	0%	0.04	26.3	21.67%	0	3	7	0

11	Mar_2_2016	26.77	24.52	26.23	26.54			27.18(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	1	40	0	0%	0	20.1	21.66%	0	3.2	7	0
12	Mar_1_2016	26.77	24.45	26.04	26.3			26.89(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	1	40	0	0%	0	10.9	21.65%	0	3.2	8	0
13	Feb_29_2016	26.77	24.42	23.6	26.1			26.26(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	0	12	0	0%	0	171.7	21.48%	0	2.5	6	0
14	Feb_26_2016	26.77	24.39	23.39	26.06			26.29(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	0	11	0	0%	0	172.9	21.48%	0	2.6	6	0
15	Feb_25_2016	26.77	24.36	23.15	25.94			26.11(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	0	8	0	0%	-0.04	171.1	21.64%	0	2.4	5	0

16	Feb_24_2016	26.78	24.35	22.98	25.85			25.94(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	0	5	0	0%	-0.04	172.1	24.76%	0	2.1	6	0
17	Feb_23_2016	26.79	24.37	22.78	25.74			25.92(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	3	0	0%	-0.04	164.7	24.75%	0	2	6	0
18	Feb_22_2016	26.8	23.19	22.59	25.46			26.05(1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.7	-6	-10000	1	-27	0	0%	-0.04	-163.2	24.76%	0	3.6	6	0
19	Feb_19_2016	26.81	23.18	22.52	25.17			25.66(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.6	-7	-10000	1	-29	0	0%	-0.04	-173.1	24.75%	0	3.1	7	0
20	Feb_18_2016	26.82	23.16	22.53	24.91			25.69(1.23%)	BT	CloseShort	10	1	-8	-10000	0	-31	0	0%	-0.04	-185.7	24.75%	0	3.1	7	0

21	Feb_17_2016	26.83	23.13	22.52	24.77			25.38(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.8	-7	-10000	1	-32	0	0%	-0.07	-197.4	24.75%	0	2.8	6	0
22	Feb_16_2016	26.85	23.15	22.55	24.59			24.5(-100%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-9	-10000	-0	-34	0	0%	-0.11	-208.3	24.76%	0	1.7	6	0
23	Feb_12_2016	26.88	24.58	25.46	24.62			24.61(0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-1	17	0	0%	-0.07	-64.1	21.47%	0	0	31	0
24	Feb_11_2016	26.9	24.67	25.62	24.91			24.37(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-2	18	0	0%	-0.11	-61.6	21.47%	0	-0.4	4	0
25	Feb_10_2016	26.93	24.77	25.8	25.35			25(2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-1	23	0	0%		-61.8	21.48%	0	0.4	5	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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