Trading Signals: XLRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLRE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: XLRE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 8, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Real Estate sector ETF)
XLRE latest price $26.8851 (2.39%) ($26.6702 - $26.8941) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   21.65% (three month average)
RSI   8
Latest Price   $26.8851(2.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLRE advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLRE advances 14.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLRE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLU(76%)    VYM(75%)    VT(73%)    SDY(72%)    IWD(70%)
Factors Impacting XLRE price   XLRE will decline at least -10.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-16%)    IPO(-4%)    TBT(-2%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -10.825% (StdDev 21.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.3(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.04(3.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.45(9.96%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLRE price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 21.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2016	26.77	24.45	26.04	26.3			26.89(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	1	40	0	0%	0	10.9	21.65%	0	3.2	8	0
2	Feb_29_2016	26.77	24.42	23.6	26.1			26.26(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	0	12	0	0%	0	171.7	21.48%	0	2.5	6	0
3	Feb_26_2016	26.77	24.39	23.39	26.06			26.29(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	0	11	0	0%	0	172.9	21.48%	0	2.6	6	0
4	Feb_25_2016	26.77	24.36	23.15	25.94			26.11(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	0	8	0	0%	-0.04	171.1	21.64%	0	2.4	5	0
5	Feb_24_2016	26.78	24.35	22.98	25.85			25.94(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	0	5	0	0%	-0.04	172.1	24.76%	0	2.1	6	0

6	Feb_23_2016	26.79	24.37	22.78	25.74			25.92(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	1	3	0	0%	-0.04	164.7	24.75%	0	2	6	0
7	Feb_22_2016	26.8	23.19	22.59	25.46			26.05(1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.7	-6	-10000	1	-27	0	0%	-0.04	-163.2	24.76%	0	3.6	6	0
8	Feb_19_2016	26.81	23.18	22.52	25.17			25.66(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.6	-7	-10000	1	-29	0	0%	-0.04	-173.1	24.75%	0	3.1	7	0
9	Feb_18_2016	26.82	23.16	22.53	24.91			25.69(1.23%)	BT	CloseShort	10	1	-8	-10000	0	-31	0	0%	-0.04	-185.7	24.75%	0	3.1	7	0
10	Feb_17_2016	26.83	23.13	22.52	24.77			25.38(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.8	-7	-10000	1	-32	0	0%	-0.07	-197.4	24.75%	0	2.8	6	0

11	Feb_16_2016	26.85	23.15	22.55	24.59			24.5(-100%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-9	-10000	-0	-34	0	0%	-0.11	-208.3	24.76%	0	1.7	6	0
12	Feb_12_2016	26.88	24.58	25.46	24.62			24.61(0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-1	17	0	0%	-0.07	-64.1	21.47%	0	0	31	0
13	Feb_11_2016	26.9	24.67	25.62	24.91			24.37(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-2	18	0	0%	-0.11	-61.6	21.47%	0	-0.4	4	0
14	Feb_10_2016	26.93	24.77	25.8	25.35			25(2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-1	23	0	0%	-0.07	-61.8	21.48%	0	0.4	5	0
15	Feb_9_2016	26.95	24.85	25.95	25.62			24.48(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	6	-10000	-1	26	0	0%	-0.11	-62.7	21.47%	0	-0.6	5	0

16	Feb_8_2016	26.98	24.97	26.17	26			24.67(-5.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.7	7	-10000	-1	29	0	0%	-0.11	-57	21.47%	0	-0.6	5	0
17	Feb_5_2016	27.01	25.07	23.98	26.4			26.05(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	1	-10000	-0	5	0	0%	-0.04	-62.9	21.47%	0	2.8	5	0
18	Feb_4_2016	27.02	25.12	23.96	26.42			26.53(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	0	5	0	0%	-0.04	-65.8	21.47%	0	3.6	5	0
19	Feb_3_2016	27.03	25.16	23.84	26.42			26.37(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1	-10000	0	4	0	0%	-0.04	-60.5	21.47%	0	2.5	5	0
20	Feb_2_2016	27.04	25.23	23.72	26.33			26.35(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1	-10000	-0	3	0	0%	-0.04	-47.9	21.47%	0	1.9	5	0

21	Feb_1_2016	27.05	25.26	23.66	26.39			26.69(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1	-10000	0	2	0	0%	0	-48.7	24.58%	0	2.4	5	0
22	Jan_29_2016	27.05	25.3	23.55	26.35			26.13(0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-7	-10000	-0	-27	0	0%	-0.04	-268.6	24.56%	0	1.3	4	0
23	Jan_28_2016	27.06	25.38	23.54	26.4			26.11(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-7	-10000	0	-27	0	0%	-0.07	-248.8	24.56%	0	1.1	4	0
24	Jan_27_2016	27.08	25.46	23.52	26.35			26.39(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	0	-29	0	0%	-0.04	-230.1	24.57%	0	1.3	4	0
25	Jan_26_2016	27.09	25.51	23.5	26.21			26.63(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0.6	-8	-10000	0	-31	0	0%		-222.1	24.57%	0	1.5	4	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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