Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 26, 2018

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $58.7100 (0.48%) ($58.2400 - $58.7300) on Fri. Jan. 26, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $58.7100(0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(82%)    SPLV(81%)    XLV(76%)    SDY(75%)    IVE(74%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    XHB(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.46(0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.92(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.38(2.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2018	55.37	57.38	57.92	58.46			58.71(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	-10000	9	157	6.34	69%	0.05	56.5	0.56%	0	1.8	75	136.8
2	Jan_25_2018	55.34	57.28	57.72	58.32			58.43(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	-10000	13	150	12.14	69%	0.05	57.5	0.55%	0	1.7	76	137.4
3	Jan_24_2018	55.31	57.21	57.55	58.11			58.4(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	-10000	10	130	16.6	69%	0.07	54.5	0.56%	0	1.9	77	-1.4
4	Jan_23_2018	55.27	57.12	57.4	57.95			58.28(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	45	-10000	18	126	10.91	69%	0.05	54.1	0.56%	0	2.1	76	0.1
5	Jan_22_2018	55.24	57.04	57.27	57.67			58.47(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	44	-10000	23	106	7.87	69%	0.07	46.6	0.56%	0	2.9	70	0.9

6	Jan_19_2018	55.2	56.95	57.1	57.31			58.03(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	31	-10000	18	68	9.96	66%	0.05	35.4	0.55%	0	2.9	66	1
7	Jan_18_2018	55.17	56.89	56.96	57.03			57.39(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-10000	9	31	12.42	64%	0.05	26.1	0.54%	0	1.9	56	0
8	Jan_17_2018	55.14	56.86	56.87	56.89			57.56(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	7	-10000	7	7	12.55	64%	0.05	17.5	0.54%	0	3	59	0
9	Jan_16_2018	55.11	56.82	56.77	56.78			56.91(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-5	-10000	-2	-14	13.81	61%	0.05	14.3	0.53%	0	0.6	50	0
10	Jan_12_2018	55.08	56.81	56.76	56.81			56.65(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-4	-11	7.31	61%	0.04	25	0.52%	0	-1	47	0

11	Jan_11_2018	55.06	56.81	56.79	56.87			56.63(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-1	-10000	-1	-2	11.5	61%	0.02	38.5	0.52%	0	-1.3	45	0
12	Jan_10_2018	55.05	56.83	56.82	56.88			56.71(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	3	-10000	3	2	9.66	63%	0.04	38.5	0.52%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	Jan_9_2018	55.03	56.82	56.85	56.84			56.99(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	6	1	8.36	63%	0.02	25	0.53%	0	1.1	53	0
14	Jan_8_2018	55.02	56.8	56.84	56.75			57.07(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	-0	-10000	3	-10	12.89	63%	0.04	21.4	0.53%	0	1.7	55	0
15	Jan_5_2018	55	56.8	56.81	56.75			56.93(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.4	-3	-10000	0	-12	15.56	60%	0.04	25	0.55%	0	1	59	0

16	Jan_4_2018	54.98	56.8	56.79	56.71			56.68(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-4	-17	15.46	60%	0.02	60	0.55%	0	-0.5	43	0
17	Jan_3_2018	54.97	56.77	56.82	56.77			56.52(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6	-10000	-6	-6	17.95	60%	0.02	103.1	0.55%	0	-1.4	51	0
18	Jan_2_2018	54.96	56.78	56.85	56.86			56.54(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-1	-10000	-4	10	20.15	60%	0.02	176.7	0.55%	0	-1.4	52	0
19	Dec_29_2017	54.95	56.77	56.89	56.93			56.89(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	26	5.09	62%	0.04	194.3	0.54%	0	0.6	61	0
20	Dec_28_2017	54.93	56.73	56.89	56.91			56.9(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10000	1	27	7.29	62%	0.02	177.3	0.54%	0	0.7	66	0

21	Dec_27_2017	54.92	56.67	56.87	56.89			56.99(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	1	25	5.99	59%	0.04	131.3	0.54%	0	0.9	48	0
22	Dec_26_2017	54.9	56.59	56.83	56.88			57(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	2	24	8.51	59%	0.02	108.6	0.55%	0	0.9	57	0
23	Dec_22_2017	54.89	56.48	56.79	56.88			56.87(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	17	4.22	61%	0.04	73.3	0.55%	0	0.6	53	0
24	Dec_21_2017	54.87	56.38	56.76	56.85			56.78(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	1	25	5.55	58%	0.04	72.7	0.55%	0	0.6	62	0
25	Dec_20_2017	54.85	56.29	56.73	56.83			56.82(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-10000	-1	28	13.81	55%		69.9	0.57%	0	0.7	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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