Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 6, 2017

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $56.9900 (0.64%) ($56.6200 - $56.9900) on Wed. Dec. 6, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.57% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $56.9900(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(82%)    SPLV(81%)    XLV(76%)    SDY(75%)    IVE(74%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    XHB(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.285% (StdDev 0.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.52(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.83(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.17(3.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 0.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2017	54.7	55.17	55.83	56.52			56.99(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	-10000	18	188	16.71	59%	0.04	96.4	0.57%	0	2	87	0
2	Dec_5_2017	54.68	54.98	55.61	56.23			56.63(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	-10000	18	163	22.93	58%	0.04	89.8	0.57%	0	1.8	71	0
3	Dec_4_2017	54.66	54.78	55.41	55.95			56.72(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	-10000	24	141	22.77	58%	0.04	77.7	0.57%	0	2	74	0
4	Dec_1_2017	54.64	54.6	55.2	55.57			56.19(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	19	110	29.33	55%	0.04	71.5	0.56%	0	1.8	74	0
5	Nov_30_2017	54.62	54.44	55.07	55.28			56.05(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	38	-10000	16	102	14.1	55%	0.04	63.1	0.56%	0	1.9	77	0

6	Nov_29_2017	54.6	54.3	54.88	55.03			55.54(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	9	83	14.74	53%	0.02	57.6	0.55%	0	1.5	74	0
7	Nov_28_2017	54.59	54.18	54.8	54.9			55.25(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	7	99	6.99	53%	0.02	52	0.55%	0	1.3	77	0
8	Nov_27_2017	54.58	54.05	54.73	54.79			54.8(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	-10000	1	126	8.11	51%	0.02	40.8	0.54%	0	0.9	79	0
9	Nov_24_2017	54.57	53.96	54.68	54.78			54.77(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	35	-10000	-3	148	2.33	47%	0	36.2	0.54%	0	1	68	0
10	Nov_22_2017	54.57	53.9	54.58	54.82			54.81(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	-10000	8	166	10.47	47%	0	37.2	0.56%	0	1.2	68	0

11	Nov_21_2017	54.57	53.83	54.48	54.7			54.88(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	1	162	10.38	47%	0	29.5	0.56%	0	1.4	67	0
12	Nov_20_2017	54.57	53.76	54.32	54.68			54.7(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	-10000	1	164	6.95	47%	0	26.5	0.56%	0	1.3	67	0
13	Nov_17_2017	54.57	53.72	54.12	54.66			54.76(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	6	167	7.3	44%	0	22	0.56%	0	1.5	71	0
14	Nov_16_2017	54.57	53.66	53.96	54.56			54.95(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10000	15	162	11.13	44%	-0.02	14.3	0.57%	0	2	66	0
15	Nov_15_2017	54.58	53.66	53.77	54.32			54.2(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10000	7	132	10.72	42%	-0.02	0.9	0.55%	0	1	55	0

16	Nov_14_2017	54.59	53.61	53.68	54.22			54.78(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	-10000	22	128	8.9	46%	-0.02	-2.7	0.54%	0	2	61	0
17	Nov_13_2017	54.6	53.58	53.5	53.9			54.59(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	-10000	28	83	7.81	46%	-0.02	-16.7	0.54%	0	1.7	58	0
18	Nov_10_2017	54.61	53.58	53.3	53.5			54.28(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	16	10	7.99	44%	-0.02	-28.7	0.53%	0	1.2	52	0
19	Nov_9_2017	54.62	53.57	53.17	53.27			53.73(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	9	-37	10.42	40%	-0.04	-33.6	0.52%	0	0.3	46	0
20	Nov_8_2017	54.64	53.6	53.14	53.15			53.74(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	7	-62	12.86	40%	-0.04	-37.7	0.52%	0	0.2	44	0

21	Nov_7_2017	54.66	53.62	53.11	53.05			53.16(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	1	-97	9.54	39%	-0.05	-41.2	0.5%	0	-0.8	32	0
22	Nov_6_2017	54.69	53.67	53.15	53.04			52.57(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-30	-10000	-1	-118	10.73	34%	-0.07	-42	0.49%	0	-1.8	21	0
23	Nov_3_2017	54.73	53.74	53.28	53.04			53.14(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	0	-135	5.92	37%	-0.07	-47.1	0.48%	0	-1.1	22	0
24	Nov_2_2017	54.77	53.77	53.36	53.05			53.13(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-44	-10000	-6	-156	10.66	37%	-0.07	-50	0.48%	0	-1.2	23	0
25	Nov_1_2017	54.81	53.83	53.44	53.13			53.26(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-155	7.56	37%		-45.4	0.48%	0	-1.1	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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