Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $54.8100 (-0.13%) ($54.6400 - $54.9300) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $54.8100(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(82%)    SPLV(81%)    XLV(76%)    SDY(75%)    IVE(74%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    XHB(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.82(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.58(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.9(1.69%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2017	54.57	53.9	54.58	54.82			54.81(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	-10000	8	166	10.47	47%	0	37.2	0.56%	0	1.2	68	0
2	Nov_21_2017	54.57	53.83	54.48	54.7			54.88(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	1	162	10.38	47%	0	29.5	0.56%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Nov_20_2017	54.57	53.76	54.32	54.68			54.7(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	-10000	1	164	6.95	47%	0	26.5	0.56%	0	1.3	67	0
4	Nov_17_2017	54.57	53.72	54.12	54.66			54.76(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	6	167	7.3	44%	0	22	0.56%	0	1.5	71	0
5	Nov_16_2017	54.57	53.66	53.96	54.56			54.95(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	-10000	15	162	11.13	44%	-0.02	14.3	0.57%	0	2	66	0

6	Nov_15_2017	54.58	53.66	53.77	54.32			54.2(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10000	7	132	10.72	42%	-0.02	0.9	0.55%	0	1	55	0
7	Nov_14_2017	54.59	53.61	53.68	54.22			54.78(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	-10000	22	128	8.9	46%	-0.02	-2.7	0.54%	0	2	61	0
8	Nov_13_2017	54.6	53.58	53.5	53.9			54.59(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	-10000	28	83	7.81	46%	-0.02	-16.7	0.54%	0	1.7	58	0
9	Nov_10_2017	54.61	53.58	53.3	53.5			54.28(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	16	10	7.99	44%	-0.02	-28.7	0.53%	0	1.2	52	0
10	Nov_9_2017	54.62	53.57	53.17	53.27			53.73(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	9	-37	10.42	40%	-0.04	-33.6	0.52%	0	0.3	46	0

11	Nov_8_2017	54.64	53.6	53.14	53.15			53.74(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-10000	7	-62	12.86	40%	-0.04	-37.7	0.52%	0	0.2	44	0
12	Nov_7_2017	54.66	53.62	53.11	53.05			53.16(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	1	-97	9.54	39%	-0.05	-41.2	0.5%	0	-0.8	32	0
13	Nov_6_2017	54.69	53.67	53.15	53.04			52.57(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-30	-10000	-1	-118	10.73	34%	-0.07	-42	0.49%	0	-1.8	21	0
14	Nov_3_2017	54.73	53.74	53.28	53.04			53.14(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	0	-135	5.92	37%	-0.07	-47.1	0.48%	0	-1.1	22	0
15	Nov_2_2017	54.77	53.77	53.36	53.05			53.13(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-44	-10000	-6	-156	10.66	37%	-0.07	-50	0.48%	0	-1.2	23	0

16	Nov_1_2017	54.81	53.83	53.44	53.13			53.26(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-10000	-4	-155	7.56	37%	-0.05	-45.4	0.48%	0	-1.1	27	0
17	Oct_31_2017	54.84	53.88	53.54	53.18			53.09(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-10	-156	10.82	37%	-0.07	-44.1	0.47%	0	-1.6	30	0
18	Oct_30_2017	54.88	53.93	53.67	53.3			52.65(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-51	-10000	-20	-145	9.3	33%	-0.07	-44.8	0.46%	0	-2.7	23	0
19	Oct_27_2017	54.92	53.99	53.87	53.54			53.1(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-10000	-13	-93	10.23	38%	-0.07	-44.9	0.46%	0	-2.4	43	0
20	Oct_26_2017	54.96	54.04	54.02	53.7			53.56(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-8	-53	14.58	40%	-0.05	-38.6	0.47%	0	-1.5	47	0

21	Oct_25_2017	54.99	54.07	54.11	53.8			53.52(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-13	-41	12.21	43%	-0.07	-33.3	0.47%	0	-1.9	36	0
22	Oct_24_2017	55.03	54.1	54.19	53.96			53.67(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-11	-17	10.68	43%	-0.07	-28.8	0.47%	0	-1.5	44	0
23	Oct_23_2017	55.07	54.14	54.24	54.1			53.86(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-8	-10000	-12	5	7.33	43%	-0.05	-27.1	0.47%	0	-1.1	50	0
24	Oct_20_2017	55.1	54.14	54.24	54.25			53.9(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-3	-10000	-10	20	11.7	43%	-0.05	-29.2	0.48%	0	-1	52	0
25	Oct_19_2017	55.13	54.16	54.23	54.38			54.03(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-7	37	8.54	43%		-39.1	0.47%	0	-0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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