Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $54.8800 (0.04%) ($54.6900 - $54.9300) on Tue. Apr. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $54.8800(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(81%)    VYM(81%)    XLV(75%)    SDY(74%)    IVE(73%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-13%)    GDXJ(-5%)    XHB(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.71(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.69(0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.82(0.11%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.44% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2017	53.2		54.69	54.71			54.88(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	4	-4	6.33	78%	0.08	-22.7	0.43%	0	0.3	46	0
2	Apr_10_2017	53.16	54.82	54.67	54.66			54.86(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	6	-17	5.26	78%	0.09	-23.9	0.43%	0	0.2	41	0
3	Apr_7_2017	53.11	54.83	54.67	54.59			54.7(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	2	-38	7.63	71%	0.08	-30.4	0.45%	0	-0.5	34	0
4	Apr_6_2017	53.07	54.85	54.65	54.56			54.55(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-15	-10000	-3	-49	5.06	71%	0.08	-34.8	0.45%	0	-1.2	34	0
5	Apr_5_2017	53.03	54.86	54.67	54.6			54.55(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-19	-10000	-5	-59	7.27	71%	0.08	-43.2	0.45%	0	-1.3	24	0

6	Apr_4_2017	52.99	54.87	54.71	54.66			54.65(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-2	-61	5.28	71%	0.08	-50	0.45%	0	-1	29	0
7	Apr_3_2017	52.95	54.88	54.75	54.68			54.49(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-2	-57	10.67	71%	0.08	-55	0.45%	0	-1.8	41	0
8	Mar_31_2017	52.91	54.9	54.81	54.71			54.58(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-2	-54	4.76	71%	0.09	-57.9	0.45%	0	-1.5	39	0
9	Mar_30_2017	52.86	54.93	54.85	54.74			54.74(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-1	-52	5.4	71%	0.06	-55	0.45%	0	-0.9	43	0
10	Mar_29_2017	52.83	54.96	54.91	54.75			54.85(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-2	-39	5.56	71%	0.04	-47.6	0.46%	0	-0.5	52	0

11	Mar_28_2017	52.81	54.99	54.96	54.77			54.75(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-5	-24	8.81	71%	0.04	-38.1	0.46%	0	-1	53	0
12	Mar_27_2017	52.79	55	54.98	54.83			54.65(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-6	-15	5.74	71%	0.06	-30	0.47%	0	-1.6	48	0
13	Mar_24_2017	52.76	55.03	55.02	54.91			54.7(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-5	1	8.34	71%	0.06	-7.9	0.47%	0	-1.6	47	0
14	Mar_23_2017	52.73	55.06	55.06	54.97			54.81(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-6	-10000	-9	4	7.47	71%	0.04	25	0.47%	0	-1.3	43	0
15	Mar_22_2017	52.71	55.06	55.07	55.09			54.93(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-6	10	7.09	71%	0.06	65.7	0.47%	0	-0.7	40	0

16	Mar_21_2017	52.68	55.06	55.05	55.17			55.04(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	4	-10000	2	11	13.14	71%	0.04	108.6	0.47%	0	-0.2	42	0
17	Mar_20_2017	52.66	55.07	55.03	55.17			55.08(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	0	-10000	0	1	6.56	71%	0.06	140	0.47%	0	0.1	49	0
18	Mar_17_2017	52.63	55.04	55.01	55.15			54.98(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-2	16.47	71%	0.04	127.3	0.46%	0	-0.3	49	0
19	Mar_16_2017	52.61	55.01	55.03	55.17			55.42(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	11	2	8.73	78%	0.06	114.5	0.45%	0	1.4	51	0
20	Mar_15_2017	52.58	54.94	55.03	55.04			55.34(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	10	-9	14.1	78%	0.06	101.6	0.46%	0	1.2	54	0

21	Mar_14_2017	52.55	54.86	55.01	54.92			54.93(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	-10000	2	-22	7.89	65%	0.04	79.5	0.45%	0	0.2	50	0
22	Mar_13_2017	52.53	54.8	55.03	54.9			55.09(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	3	-21	10.66	65%	0.06	74.2	0.47%	0	0.6	54	0
23	Mar_10_2017	52.5	54.73	55.02	54.86			55.05(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-16	6.53	65%	0.08	71.6	0.47%	0	0.6	64	0
24	Mar_9_2017	52.46	54.67	55.04	54.88			54.8(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	-10000	-9	7	7.03	71%	0.06	75.5	0.47%	0	0.2	66	0
25	Mar_8_2017	52.43	54.6	55.07	54.99			54.71(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-10	38	10.79	71%		81.8	0.5%	0	0.2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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