Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $54.5900 (-0.38%) ($54.4800 - $54.8300) on Thu. Aug. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $54.5900(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(81%)    VYM(81%)    SDY(74%)    XLU(73%)    XLV(73%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-8%)    IBUY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $54.78
5 Day Moving Average   $54.84(-0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.88(-0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.78(-0.35%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2016	53.9		54.88	54.84			54.59(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-2	-10000	-5	6	7.36	47%	0.02	-5.4	0.6%	0	-0.9	53	0
2	Aug_24_2016	53.89	54.78	54.92	54.93			54.8(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	-10000	-1	25	7.79	51%	0.02	-9.5	0.6%	0	0.1	60	0
3	Aug_23_2016	53.88	54.78	54.93	54.94			54.89(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	2	36	5.69	51%	0.02	-29.5	0.6%	0	0.6	66	0
4	Aug_22_2016	53.87	54.75	54.91	54.91			55(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	1	32	9.94	51%	0.04	-39.2	0.6%	0	0.9	57	0
5	Aug_19_2016	53.85	54.77	54.87	54.9			54.92(-0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-2	27	5.85	55%	0.04	-39.7	0.61%	0	0.5	53	0

6	Aug_18_2016	53.83	54.79	54.84	54.93			55.05(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	2	31	6.68	50%	0.02	-38.3	0.62%	0	0.8	58	0
7	Aug_17_2016	53.82	54.8	54.78	54.9			54.86(0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-10000	-1	27	12.55	44%	0.04	-43.8	0.64%	0	0.2	61	0
8	Aug_16_2016	53.8	54.82	54.74	54.9			54.71(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	-10000	0	30	6.71	44%	0.04	-44.9	0.68%	0	-0.3	64	0
9	Aug_15_2016	53.78	54.86	54.73	54.91			54.95(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	5	28	8.57	44%	0.04	-39	0.68%	0	0.2	47	0
10	Aug_12_2016	53.76	54.89	54.71	54.82			55.09(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	5	11	8.78	41%	0.04	-42.7	0.7%	0	0.4	42	0

11	Aug_11_2016	53.74	54.92	54.67	54.72			54.9(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	4	-10	8.08	39%	0.06	-46	0.7%	0	-0	38	0
12	Aug_10_2016	53.71	54.95	54.62	54.64			54.9(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	5	-28	7.3	42%	0.06	-44	0.71%	0	-0.1	43	0
13	Aug_9_2016	53.68	54.99	54.55	54.64			54.7(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	0	-56	7.84	42%	0.04	-45.2	0.72%	0	-0.6	38	0
14	Aug_8_2016	53.66	55.03	54.57	54.54			54.53(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-10000	-2	-66	8.06	42%	0.04	-43.6	0.72%	0	-1	32	0
15	Aug_5_2016	53.64	55.08	54.66	54.58			54.59(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-1	-65	12.03	42%	0.02	-35.1	0.72%	0	-0.9	33	0

16	Aug_4_2016	53.63	55.14	54.74	54.6			54.5(0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	1	-67	8.94	42%	0.04	-29.7	0.72%	0	-1.3	30	0
17	Aug_3_2016	53.61	55.18	54.81	54.59			54.38(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-18	-10000	2	-76	13.29	42%	0.04	-21.8	0.72%	0	-1.7	28	0
18	Aug_2_2016	53.59	55.22	54.92	54.55			54.68(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-4	-87	11.73	46%	0.04	-6.2	0.72%	0	-1.2	30	0
19	Aug_1_2016	53.57	55.25	55	54.62			54.76(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-10000	-7	-80	14.92	46%	0.06	20	0.73%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	Jul_29_2016	53.54	55.26	55.09	54.75			54.7(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-8	-71	9.26	46%	0.04	48.7	0.74%	0	-1.3	34	0

21	Jul_28_2016	53.52	55.29	55.19	54.91			54.43(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-8	-59	10.87	46%	0.04	74.3	0.74%	0	-2.1	29	0
22	Jul_27_2016	53.5	55.28	55.32	55.08			54.19(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-10000	-12	-41	21.56	46%	0.06	76.5	0.74%	0	-2.3	39	0
23	Jul_26_2016	53.47	55.25	55.48	55.32			55.01(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-6	-14	11.74	49%	0.06	69.2	0.71%	0	-0.4	48	0
24	Jul_25_2016	53.44	55.16	55.53	55.44			55.44(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-10000	-2	0	4.03	51%	0.06	54.3	0.71%	0	0.4	57	0
25	Jul_22_2016	53.41	55.06	55.55	55.48			55.5(0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-2	14	10.6	51%		47.5	0.71%	0	0.5	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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