Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $55.6000 (-0.07%) ($55.3300 - $55.6000) on Tue. Jul. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $55.6000(-0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPLV(81%)    VYM(81%)    SDY(74%)    XLU(73%)    XLV(73%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-8%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.67(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.56(0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.84(1.39%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2016	53.29	54.84	55.56	55.67			55.6(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	2	81	5.3	44%	0.09	52	0.76%	0	0.8	81	0
2	Jul_18_2016	53.24	54.75	55.52	55.63			55.64(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	26	-10000	-1	107	9.66	44%	0.08	50.9	0.76%	0	0.9	83	0
3	Jul_15_2016	53.2	54.64	55.45	55.63			55.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	-10000	0	135	10.72	44%	0.08	47.8	0.76%	0	1.1	82	0
4	Jul_14_2016	53.16	54.55	55.4	55.64			55.7(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	5	153	15.49	44%	0.09	49.4	0.76%	0	1.2	64	0
5	Jul_13_2016	53.11	54.45	55.23	55.53			55.71(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	4	149	9.4	43%	0.09	47.3	0.76%	0	1.4	66	0

6	Jul_12_2016	53.06	54.35	55.01	55.44			55.4(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	-10000	2	136	15.27	43%	0.08	48.8	0.77%	0	1.2	65	0
7	Jul_11_2016	53.02	54.27	54.78	55.4			55.7(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	8	131	8.21	43%	0.09	50.3	0.77%	0	1.7	69	0
8	Jul_8_2016	52.97	54.18	54.52	55.23			55.69(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	5	114	10.23	43%	0.09	52.8	0.78%	0	2	70	0
9	Jul_7_2016	52.92	54.09	54.36	55.13			55.14(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	-10000	11	113	15.62	38%	0.08	61.1	0.77%	0	1.5	59	0
10	Jul_6_2016	52.88	54.02	54.22	54.89			55.25(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	18	98	19.54	38%	0.09	60.2	0.78%	0	1.9	63	0

11	Jul_5_2016	52.83	53.93	54.06	54.5			55.2(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	-10000	21	68	19.92	38%	0.09	55.6	0.79%	0	2.2	60	0
12	Jul_1_2016	52.78	53.85	53.9	54.06			54.89(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	-10000	17	32	14.93	41%	0.11	46.2	0.78%	0	2.1	60	0
13	Jun_30_2016	52.72	53.78	53.75	53.7			55.15(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	3.2	5	-10000	9	-8	20.98	41%	0.11	34.5	0.79%	0	3	57	0
14	Jun_29_2016	52.66	53.68	53.61	53.5			53.94(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	2	-30	10.82	34%	0.08	37.7	0.74%	0	0.8	47	0
15	Jun_28_2016	52.62	53.64	53.59	53.47			53.32(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-5	-38	11.87	31%	0.08	37	0.74%	0	-0.8	44	0

16	Jun_27_2016	52.58	53.61	53.64	53.56			52.99(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-7	-27	19.37	31%	0.06	49.3	0.73%	0	-1.6	45	0
17	Jun_24_2016	52.55	53.61	53.72	53.69			53.1(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-7	-10000	-4	-15	23.78	31%	0.08	68.5	0.74%	0	-1.3	45	0
18	Jun_23_2016	52.51	53.62	53.83	53.77			54.14(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2	-10000	2	2	5.64	34%	0.08	78.7	0.7%	0	1.3	60	0
19	Jun_22_2016	52.47	53.55	53.83	53.74			53.81(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	1	12	5.41	34%	0.06	81.3	0.69%	0	0.6	61	0
20	Jun_21_2016	52.44	53.5	53.82	53.73			53.78(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-1	19	6.88	34%	0.06	76.7	0.7%	0	0.6	61	0

21	Jun_20_2016	52.41	53.42	53.8	53.75			53.64(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	35	6.5	34%	0.06	57.6	0.7%	0	0.4	67	0
22	Jun_17_2016	52.38	53.35	53.81	53.76			53.47(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-7	43	10.08	34%	0.08	44.1	0.7%	0	0.2	59	0
23	Jun_16_2016	52.34	53.3	53.82	53.89			54.01(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-1	68	12.21	36%	0.1	37.9	0.69%	0	1.1	68	0
24	Jun_15_2016	52.29	53.2	53.75	53.9			53.73(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-2	78	9.35	36%	0.08	25	0.69%	0	0.8	68	0
25	Jun_14_2016	52.25	53.14	53.7	53.93			53.89(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	93	9.53	36%		15.3	0.69%	0	1.1	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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