Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $52.9900 (0.61%) ($52.6000 - $53.1600) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $52.9900(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(80%)    SDY(74%)    XLU(73%)    IVE(72%)    XLV(72%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-7%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.62(0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.35(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.84(2.22%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	50.17	51.84	52.35	52.62			52.99(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	25	-10000	6	82	13.9	47%	0.04	88.8	0.91%	0	1.8	82	0
2	Mar_16_2016	50.15	51.73	52.23	52.47			52.67(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	3	72	13.74	50%	0.04	95.8	0.92%	0	1.5	61	0
3	Mar_15_2016	50.13	51.64	52.12	52.39			52.55(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	70	6.52	50%	0.04	101.7	0.95%	0	1.5	66	0
4	Mar_14_2016	50.11	51.54	52	52.26			52.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	6	66	10.65	52%	0.04	107.9	0.95%	0	1.5	67	0
5	Mar_11_2016	50.09	51.43	51.86	52.12			52.45(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	4	55	12.88	50%	0.04	100	0.96%	0	1.6	67	0

6	Mar_10_2016	50.07	51.28	51.72	52.03			52.28(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	4	52	13.09	50%	0.04	82.1	0.97%	0	1.4	68	0
7	Mar_9_2016	50.05	51.15	51.67	51.94			52.26(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	6	60	11.31	49%	0.06	74.5	0.97%	0	1.5	69	0
8	Mar_8_2016	50.02	51.03	51.56	51.8			51.87(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	3	53	11.55	49%	0.04	66.9	0.98%	0	1.1	61	0
9	Mar_7_2016	50	50.92	51.48	51.71			51.72(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	6	56	14.1	49%	0.04	52.9	0.98%	0	1	66	0
10	Mar_4_2016	49.98	50.81	51.42	51.55			52.04(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	8	58	17.38	52%	0.06	40.1	0.97%	0	1.5	74	0

11	Mar_3_2016	49.95	50.69	51.3	51.55			51.82(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	14	-10000	0	57	10.74	52%	0.08	34.9	1.01%	0	1.5	77	0
12	Mar_2_2016	49.91	50.61	51.19	51.36			51.56(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	70	16.16	52%	0.04	42.4	1.01%	0	1.3	69	0
13	Mar_1_2016	49.89	50.54	51.13	51.3			51.41(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	3	79	13.17	52%	0.04	48.9	1.02%	0	1.2	67	0
14	Feb_29_2016	49.87	50.51	51.04	51.23			50.92(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10000	-1	86	13.6	50%	0.02	62.4	1.02%	0	0.6	67	0
15	Feb_26_2016	49.86	50.5	50.97	51.26			51.09(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	-10000	2	96	28.14	50%	0.04	74.4	1.02%	0	0.9	67	0

16	Feb_25_2016	49.84	50.43	50.81	51.21			51.82(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	8	95	9.51	52%	0.06	82.7	1.01%	0	2.1	75	0
17	Feb_24_2016	49.81	50.3	50.6	51			51.24(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	2	77	13.27	51%	0.06	86.4	1%	0	1.5	62	0
18	Feb_23_2016	49.78	50.2	50.46	50.95			51.08(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	5	72	9.99	51%	0.06	88	1%	0	1.4	59	0
19	Feb_22_2016	49.75	50.09	50.3	50.83			51.09(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	51	9.15	51%	0.06	84.6	1%	0	1.5	49	0
20	Feb_19_2016	49.72	50	50.15	50.63			50.84(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	12	27	9.79	51%	0.08	81	1.01%	0	1.3	49	0

21	Feb_18_2016	49.68	49.88	50.04	50.33			50.76(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	8	6	13.1	53%	0.08	61	1.01%	0	1.3	59	0
22	Feb_17_2016	49.64	49.76	49.97	50.13			50.99(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	9	2	11.04	53%	0.08	40.1	1.02%	0	1.7	66	0
23	Feb_16_2016	49.6	49.65	49.88	49.9			50.47(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-10000	8	-3	15.22	54%	0.12	29.5	1.01%	0	1.2	62	0
24	Feb_12_2016	49.54	49.55	49.91	49.71			50.07(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	3	5	12.46	52%	0.06	16.6	1.03%	0	0.7	64	0
25	Feb_11_2016	49.51	49.5	49.97	49.62			49.37(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-3	12	26.01	50%		11.9	1.03%	0	-0.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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