Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $49.0700 (0.47%) ($48.7500 - $49.4100) on Thu. Jan. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.95% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $49.0700(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(80%)    SDY(74%)    XLU(73%)    IVE(72%)    IWD(71%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-13%)    GDXJ(-3%)    XHB(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.475% (StdDev 0.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $50.1
5 Day Moving Average   $49.23(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.58(-1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.1(-2.06%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 0.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2016	49.07	50.1	49.58	49.23			49.07(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-3	-110	19.03	46%	0.06	-29.5	0.95%	0	-1.4	33	0
2	Jan_13_2016	49.04	50.17	49.77	49.3			48.84(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-10	-103	19.41	46%	0.06	-28.1	0.96%	0	-1.8	35	0
3	Jan_12_2016	49.01	50.23	50.01	49.53			49.75(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-3	-74	13.17	49%	0.08	-26	0.93%	0	-0.7	50	0
4	Jan_11_2016	48.97	50.22	50.11	49.61			49.48(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10000	-3	-53	15.89	49%	0.02	-29.5	0.93%	0	-1.1	54	0
5	Jan_8_2016	48.96	50.26	50.25	49.69			49.02(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-13	-50	14.69	50%	0	-21.7	0.92%	0	-1.9	39	0

6	Jan_7_2016	48.96	50.31	50.45	49.98			49.4(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-10000	-14	-33	16.03	50%	0	-6.8	0.93%	0	-1.5	37	0
7	Jan_6_2016	48.96	50.37	50.45	50.31			50(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-11	-6	12.43	52%	0	13.8	0.92%	0	-0.7	49	0
8	Jan_5_2016	48.96	50.4	50.58	50.56			50.17(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-6	13	8.63	55%	0	36.7	0.92%	0	-0.4	53	0
9	Jan_4_2016	48.96	50.41	50.52	50.69			49.85(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-1	-10000	-8	20	17.28	55%	-0.02	46.8	0.94%	0	-1	55	0
10	Dec_31_2015	48.97	50.4	50.6	50.89			50.49(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-4	43	6.8	59%	0	52.2	0.94%	0	0.2	54	0

11	Dec_30_2015	48.97	50.36	50.67	50.98			51.06(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	4	69	6.94	62%	0.02	54.6	0.93%	0	1.2	58	0
12	Dec_29_2015	48.96	50.29	50.59	50.88			51.24(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	11	64	4.13	62%	0.02	54.8	0.93%	0	1.6	55	0
13	Dec_28_2015	48.95	50.2	50.46	50.61			50.8(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	12	39	4.62	59%	-0.02	45.5	0.93%	0	1.1	51	0
14	Dec_24_2015	48.96	50.16	50.33	50.32			50.87(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	3	-10000	3	4	2.31	59%	0	36.4	0.94%	0	1.3	53	0
15	Dec_23_2015	48.96	50.1	50.25	50.26			50.92(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	-1	-10000	-3	6	6.46	59%	0.02	39.6	0.94%	0	1.5	61	0

16	Dec_22_2015	48.95	50.03	50.15	50.33			50.55(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	2	17	7.19	56%	0	56	0.94%	0	1	57	0
17	Dec_21_2015	48.95	49.98	50.13	50.28			49.9(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.8	5	-10000	-0	20	8.16	54%	-0.02	62.2	0.94%	0	-0.2	51	0
18	Dec_18_2015	48.96	49.94	50.19	50.29			49.34(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	8	-10000	-1	35	14.72	49%	0	69.8	0.94%	0	-1.1	52	0
19	Dec_17_2015	48.96	49.96	50.31	50.32			50.6(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	5	47	10.24	54%	0	82.1	0.91%	0	1.2	55	0
20	Dec_16_2015	48.96	49.89	50.19	50.21			51.26(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	19	-10000	12	38	20.86	59%	0.02	81.7	0.89%	0	2.6	61	0

21	Dec_15_2015	48.95	49.76	50.02	49.95			50.29(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	3	-10000	-1	13	11.56	57%	0.02	71.9	0.87%	0	1.1	57	0
22	Dec_14_2015	48.94	49.68	49.97	49.98			49.97(0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-5	18	16.61	57%	0	66.7	0.88%	0	0.6	56	0
23	Dec_11_2015	48.94	49.58	49.92	50.1			49.48(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-9	32	11.6	56%	-0.02	49.6	0.87%	0	-0.2	57	0
24	Dec_10_2015	48.95	49.52	49.97	50.29			50.03(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-10000	7	61	7.84	58%	0	44.1	0.86%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Dec_9_2015	48.95	49.47	49.95	50.15			49.97(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	3	56	18.82	54%		34.8	0.86%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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