Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $49.8300 (0.02%) ($49.7300 - $50.1700) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $49.8300(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(80%)    SDY(74%)    IVE(72%)    XLU(72%)    IWD(71%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    GDXJ(-2%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.66(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.48(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.61(2.51%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	48.59	48.61	49.48	49.66			49.83(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	8	85	14.42	46%	0.02	54	1.09%	0	1.1	77	0
2	Oct_20_2015	48.58	48.47	49.38	49.44			49.82(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	4	87	6.08	46%	0.02	45.3	1.09%	0	1.2	77	0
3	Oct_19_2015	48.57	48.33	49.23	49.33			49.85(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	26	-10000	2	99	6.28	46%	0.02	42	1.09%	0	1.4	79	0
4	Oct_16_2015	48.56	48.21	49.11	49.28			49.63(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	1	117	6.92	47%	0	45.7	1.09%	0	1.4	78	0
5	Oct_15_2015	48.56	48.08	48.94	49.24			49.16(0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-10000	-1	121	5.26	47%	0	48.5	1.09%	0	1.1	65	0

6	Oct_14_2015	48.56	48.02	48.76	49.28			48.72(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	32	-10000	-0	128	10.77	47%	0	57.8	1.08%	0	0.8	65	0
7	Oct_13_2015	48.56	47.98	48.62	49.29			49.29(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	7	137	10.16	50%	0.02	66.3	1.07%	0	1.4	72	0
8	Oct_12_2015	48.55	47.89	48.37	49.1			49.59(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	-10000	7	124	5.65	50%	0	63	1.08%	0	1.9	76	0
9	Oct_9_2015	48.55	47.75	48.09	48.91			49.46(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	12	108	12.46	52%	0	67.3	1.09%	0	2.2	67	0
10	Oct_8_2015	48.55	47.63	47.88	48.59			49.35(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	-10000	16	93	12.45	50%	0	61.1	1.09%	0	2.4	69	0

11	Oct_7_2015	48.55	47.49	47.65	48.16			48.77(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	12	56	11.94	51%	0	50.8	1.08%	0	2.1	54	0
12	Oct_6_2015	48.55	47.39	47.48	47.84			48.33(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	12	26	9.44	51%	-0.04	44.6	1.11%	0	1.8	51	0
13	Oct_5_2015	48.57	47.34	47.34	47.53			48.66(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	12	-10000	15	2	10.52	51%	-0.02	32.1	1.11%	0	2.6	59	0
14	Oct_2_2015	48.58	47.23	47.21	47.15			47.84(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	3	-21	13.2	49%	-0.04	2.2	1.09%	0	1.5	59	0
15	Oct_1_2015	48.6	47.2	47.14	47.15			47.19(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	0	-27	13.77	49%	-0.02	-8.2	1.08%	0	-0	52	0

16	Sep_30_2015	48.61	47.19	47.21	47.08			47.19(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	1	-13	12.72	49%	-0.04	-9.4	1.09%	0	0	55	0
17	Sep_29_2015	48.63	47.15	47.29	47.06			46.76(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2	-10000	-2	-2	15.3	47%	-0.04	-3.2	1.09%	0	-0.9	53	0
18	Sep_28_2015	48.65	47.18	47.37	47.11			46.78(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-6	-0	15.82	47%	-0.06	13.2	1.1%	0	-0.9	44	0
19	Sep_25_2015	48.68	47.22	47.4	47.26			47.48(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	2	18	12.26	49%	-0.02	22.6	1.09%	0	0.6	60	0
20	Sep_24_2015	48.69	47.23	47.37	47.21			47.18(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-7	9	7.74	49%	-0.02	5.3	1.08%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Sep_23_2015	48.7	47.22	47.33	47.38			47.1(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-7	19	6.46	49%	-0.04	-8.4	1.09%	0	-0.3	52	0
22	Sep_22_2015	48.72	47.16	47.3	47.57			47.02(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-4	37	10.67	49%	-0.04	-31.1	1.09%	0	-0.2	57	0
23	Sep_21_2015	48.74	47.16	47.35	47.67			47.54(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	5	50	9.77	50%	-0.02	-55	1.08%	0	0.7	51	0
24	Sep_18_2015	48.75	47.12	47.26	47.55			47.19(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	1	30	10.97	51%	-0.02	-79.1	1.08%	0	0.1	47	0
25	Sep_17_2015	48.76	47.2	47.27	47.53			48.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	15	-10000	10	28	13.06	53%		-71.1	1.07%	0	1.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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