Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $46.3400 (-2.05%) ($46.0500 - $46.8500) on Tue. Sep. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $46.3400(-2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(81%)    SDY(75%)    IVE(73%)    XLU(73%)    IWD(72%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-1%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $41.01(-11.5%)
Resistance Level   $48.74
5 Day Moving Average   $47.22(-1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.37(-2.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.74(-4.92%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 3.36% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2015	48.98	48.74	47.37	47.22			46.34(-2.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-39	-10000	6	-172	15.59	48%	-0.06	-48.2	0.98%	0	-1.5	27	0
2	Aug_31_2015	49.01	48.95	47.72	47.09			47.31(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	-10000	11	-189	12.95	52%	-0.06	-53	0.95%	0	-1.1	30	0
3	Aug_28_2015	49.04	49.1	47.99	46.84			47.64(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-54	-10000	-0	-216	8.7	52%	-0.04	-57.1	0.95%	0	-1	31	0
4	Aug_27_2015	49.06	49.24	48.23	46.85			47.74(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-65	-10000	-12	-223	19.55	52%	-0.02	-56.7	0.95%	0	-1	33	0
5	Aug_26_2015	49.07	49.37	48.44	47.11			47.05(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-72	-10000	-22	-220	24.37	48%	-0.06	-52.7	0.94%	0	-1.6	26	0

6	Aug_25_2015	49.1	49.54	48.76	47.6			45.7(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-86	-10000	-41	-221	35.85	42%	-0.06	-46.9	0.86%	0	-2.8	8	0
7	Aug_24_2015	49.13	49.79	49.23	48.45			46.05(-3.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-69	-10000	-39	-159	68.72	42%	-0.08	-38.9	0.87%	0	-3.6	16	0
8	Aug_21_2015	49.17	49.99	49.69	49.29			47.71(-2.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-46	-10000	-26	-105	23.54	48%	-0.02	-32.5	0.76%	0	-3.6	22	0
9	Aug_20_2015	49.18	50.1	49.96	49.78			49.05(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-25	-10000	-11	-67	12.76	55%	0	-24.3	0.68%	0	-2.8	32	0
10	Aug_19_2015	49.18	50.16	50.1	49.97			49.5(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-8	-45	9.31	57%	0.02	-15.5	0.67%	0	-2.3	39	0

11	Aug_18_2015	49.17	50.19	50.24	50.11			49.96(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-2	-23	5.11	60%	0.02	8	0.66%	0	-0.9	42	0
12	Aug_17_2015	49.16	50.19	50.28	50.15			50.21(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-2	-16	4.98	60%	0.02	18	0.66%	0	0	51	0
13	Aug_14_2015	49.15	50.2	50.3	50.15			50.16(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	-10000	0	-1	5.25	63%	0.04	32	0.66%	0	-0.2	61	0
14	Aug_13_2015	49.13	50.19	50.31	50.18			50(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-5	7	4.94	63%	0.04	48	0.68%	0	-0.8	58	0
15	Aug_12_2015	49.11	50.2	50.34	50.26			50.2(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-8	19	8.28	63%	0.02	75	0.68%	0	0	55	0

16	Aug_11_2015	49.1	50.17	50.36	50.39			50.17(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-2	37	5.62	63%	0.02	101.7	0.68%	0	0	51	0
17	Aug_10_2015	49.09	50.15	50.37	50.43			50.35(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-1	45	5.78	63%	0.04	109.7	0.68%	0	0.6	55	0
18	Aug_7_2015	49.07	50.12	50.3	50.44			50.16(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-2	38	6.89	64%	0.02	115.3	0.69%	0	0.1	50	0
19	Aug_6_2015	49.06	50.07	50.26	50.47			50.44(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	3	38	7.89	64%	0.04	97.9	0.68%	0	0.8	57	0
20	Aug_5_2015	49.04	49.99	50.22	50.42			50.82(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	5	33	5.24	64%	0.04	88.2	0.68%	0	1.5	63	0

21	Aug_4_2015	49.02	49.88	50.14	50.33			50.38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	2	33	5.63	63%	0.04	96.2	0.68%	0	0.9	67	0
22	Aug_3_2015	49	49.81	50.11	50.3			50.38(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	9	38	6.96	63%	0.04	91.3	0.68%	0	0.9	63	0
23	Jul_31_2015	48.98	49.71	50.08	50.15			50.31(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	7	32	6.17	64%	0.04	84	0.68%	0	1	63	0
24	Jul_30_2015	48.96	49.6	50.05	50.03			50.21(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	3	32	7.03	64%	0.04	70.5	0.69%	0	0.9	69	0
25	Jul_29_2015	48.94	49.51	50.04	49.98			50.38(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	15	-10000	3	52	6.11	62%		63.9	0.69%	0	1.2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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