Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $49.6400 (0.94%) ($49.4100 - $49.6600) on Mon. Jul. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $49.6400(0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(81%)    IVE(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(72%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.02(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.53(2.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.5(2.35%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2015	48.89	48.5	48.53	49.02			49.64(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	-10000	18	60	7.03	55%	0	52.4	0.69%	0	2.2	56	0
2	Jul_10_2015	48.89	48.41	48.39	48.72			49.18(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	12	25	7.78	53%	0	47.3	0.68%	0	1.8	54	0
3	Jul_9_2015	48.89	48.36	48.3	48.52			48.61(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-10	8.36	50%	-0.02	37.3	0.66%	0	0.6	44	0
4	Jul_8_2015	48.9	48.34	48.3	48.44			48.57(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	-10000	12	-17	11.75	50%	-0.02	28.9	0.66%	0	0.6	51	0
5	Jul_7_2015	48.91	48.31	48.27	48.25			49.12(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	6	-10000	18	-29	17.43	53%	0	5.9	0.65%	0	2	59	0

6	Jul_6_2015	48.91	48.23	48.23	47.96			48.13(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-10000	-4	-54	8.74	47%	-0.04	-27.7	0.6%	0	-0.2	57	0
7	Jul_2_2015	48.93	48.23	48.28	48.02			48.17(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-2	-35	6.96	47%	-0.04	-36.5	0.61%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	Jul_1_2015	48.95	48.21	48.36	48.05			48.21(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-19	6.86	47%	-0.02	-42.5	0.61%	0	0	50	0
9	Jun_30_2015	48.96	48.23	48.39	48.09			47.6(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-14	-15	10.04	44%	-0.02	-44.9	0.6%	0	-1.5	43	0
10	Jun_29_2015	48.97	48.28	48.47	48.3			47.68(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-7	-10000	-15	17	8.11	44%	-0.02	-34.5	0.61%	0	-1.4	51	0

11	Jun_26_2015	48.98	48.34	48.49	48.53			48.43(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-3	54	4.61	48%	-0.02	-24.7	0.58%	0	0.2	63	0
12	Jun_25_2015	48.99	48.36	48.49	48.58			48.33(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-10	66	6.44	48%	-0.02	-27.5	0.59%	0	-0.1	62	0
13	Jun_24_2015	49	48.39	48.45	48.72			48.42(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	21	-10000	-1	87	6.77	48%	-0.02	-20.6	0.59%	0	0.1	51	0
14	Jun_23_2015	49.01	48.42	48.44	48.73			48.64(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	5	86	5.11	48%	0	-22.2	0.59%	0	0.5	49	0
15	Jun_22_2015	49.01	48.43	48.35	48.65			48.85(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	16	66	4.45	48%	0.02	-33.7	0.59%	0	0.9	50	0

16	Jun_19_2015	49	48.44	48.23	48.42			48.66(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	8	14	8.91	48%	0	-49.5	0.59%	0	0.4	47	0
17	Jun_18_2015	49	48.48	48.12	48.3			49.03(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	-10000	11	-22	8.82	51%	0.02	-53.1	0.59%	0	1	50	0
18	Jun_17_2015	48.99	48.49	48.03	48.15			48.49(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	-10000	4	-62	10.51	47%	-0.02	-55.1	0.57%	0	0	39	0
19	Jun_16_2015	49	48.53	48.04	48.1			48.23(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	6	-76	5.04	51%	-0.02	-50	0.58%	0	-0.5	34	0
20	Jun_15_2015	49.01	48.59	48.07	48.02			47.71(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-22	-10000	2	-93	7.63	47%	-0.04	-47.7	0.58%	0	-1.4	32	0

21	Jun_12_2015	49.03	48.7	48.18	47.99			48.06(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	7	-106	6.75	55%	-0.06	-45.1	0.58%	0	-1	31	0
22	Jun_11_2015	49.06	48.77	48.24	47.99			48.25(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-10000	0	-128	7.47	55%	-0.02	-43	0.61%	0	-0.8	30	0
23	Jun_10_2015	49.07	48.8	48.32	47.9			48.27(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-37	-10000	-5	-134	7.09	50%	-0.02	-42.7	0.62%	0	-0.8	33	0
24	Jun_9_2015	49.08	48.84	48.4	47.97			47.8(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-10000	-12	-134	7.1	47%	-0.04	-38	0.63%	0	-1.7	22	0
25	Jun_8_2015	49.1	48.9	48.51	48.15			47.57(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-45	-10000	-16	-133	10.94	47%		-32.8	0.63%	0	-2.3	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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