Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XLP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $49.5900 (1.54%) ($49.0400 - $49.6100) on Thu. May. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.66% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $49.5900(1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(81%)    IVE(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(72%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.33% (StdDev 0.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.09(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.91(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.95(1.31%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 0.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2015	49.09	48.95	48.91	49.09			49.59(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	-10000	11	35	6.17	50%	0	-24.6	0.66%	0	2	53	0
2	May_13_2015	49.09	48.94	48.79	48.92			48.84(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	3	-10000	3	1	3.72	44%	-0.02	-42.6	0.63%	0	-0.3	43	0
3	May_12_2015	49.1	48.97	48.76	48.88			48.86(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	4	-17	4.9	44%	0	-43.1	0.63%	0	-0.3	41	0
4	May_11_2015	49.1	48.99	48.77	48.81			48.97(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	1	-32	3.99	44%	0	-46.3	0.64%	0	-0.1	42	0
5	May_8_2015	49.1	49.01	48.76	48.79			49.17(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	4	-39	6.95	49%	0	-47.9	0.65%	0	0.5	47	0

6	May_7_2015	49.1	49.03	48.75	48.72			48.76(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	5	-45	6.43	45%	0.02	-46.6	0.65%	0	-0.8	44	0
7	May_6_2015	49.09	49.07	48.79	48.64			48.64(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-10000	1	-61	6.23	45%	0.02	-43.8	0.65%	0	-1.2	34	0
8	May_5_2015	49.08	49.11	48.85	48.62			48.49(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-6	-67	6.54	45%	0.02	-39.4	0.65%	0	-1.8	36	0
9	May_4_2015	49.07	49.15	48.94	48.71			48.88(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-1	-59	6.71	48%	0.02	-33.8	0.65%	0	-0.8	38	0
10	May_1_2015	49.06	49.18	48.97	48.72			48.81(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	-10000	-5	-63	5.16	56%	0.02	-23.1	0.66%	0	-1.2	40	0

11	Apr_30_2015	49.05	49.2	49	48.8			48.37(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-10	-67	8.29	47%	0	-6.3	0.66%	0	-2.7	27	0
12	Apr_29_2015	49.05	49.23	49.11	48.96			48.53(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-10000	-9	-48	9.41	49%	0	12.7	0.7%	0	-2.6	31	0
13	Apr_28_2015	49.05	49.24	49.2	49.12			48.97(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-10000	-4	-32	3.67	49%	0	32.7	0.7%	0	-1.1	42	0
14	Apr_27_2015	49.05	49.26	49.25	49.19			48.92(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-3	-22	6.89	45%	0	46.8	0.71%	0	-1.5	43	0
15	Apr_24_2015	49.05	49.25	49.3	49.25			49.19(0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10000	1	-17	6.56	45%	0.02	47.1	0.72%	0	-0.2	42	0

16	Apr_23_2015	49.04	49.22	49.34	49.23			49.18(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-4	-15	6.32	42%	0	33.3	0.72%	0	-0.1	52	0
17	Apr_22_2015	49.04	49.19	49.34	49.3			49.35(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	1	5	2.9	45%	0	33.3	0.73%	0	0.5	62	0
18	Apr_21_2015	49.04	49.16	49.34	49.29			49.32(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-2	12	3.95	45%	0.02	35.2	0.75%	0	0.5	63	0
19	Apr_20_2015	49.03	49.15	49.37	49.33			49.23(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-1	17	3.98	45%	0	40.6	0.75%	0	0.2	51	0
20	Apr_17_2015	49.03	49.13	49.4	49.35			49.06(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-6	30	5.54	45%	0	50.7	0.75%	0	-0.2	57	0

21	Apr_16_2015	49.03	49.12	49.42	49.35			49.52(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	0	54	5.8	50%	0	58.9	0.75%	0	1.1	68	0
22	Apr_15_2015	49.03	49.08	49.35	49.46			49.34(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-1	57	6.76	50%	0.02	71.8	0.75%	0	0.7	62	0
23	Apr_14_2015	49.02	49.04	49.3	49.47			49.48(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	2	60	5.72	50%	0.02	72	0.75%	0	1.2	61	0
24	Apr_13_2015	49.01	49.01	49.27	49.43			49.37(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	59	3.71	50%	0.02	71.8	0.75%	0	1	55	0
25	Apr_10_2015	49	48.96	49.2	49.46			49.6(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	5	64	4.61	50%		64.5	0.74%	0	1.7	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.