Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $48.5100 (-1.16%) ($48.4700 - $49.4100) on Wed. Jan. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $48.5100(-1.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(81%)    IVE(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(72%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-1%)    GDXJ(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $49.04
5 Day Moving Average   $49.42(-1.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.32(-1.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.04(-1.08%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20150228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2015	47.33	49.04	49.32	49.42			48.51(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-13	24	7.77	58%	0.06	6.8	0.72%	0	-0.9	50	0
2	Jan_27_2015	47.3	49.08	49.32	49.66			49.08(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-5	67	10.34	61%	0.08	24.1	0.71%	0	0	64	0
3	Jan_26_2015	47.26	49.1	49.38	49.74			49.65(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	5	98	4.43	64%	0.11	31.4	0.69%	0	0.9	70	0
4	Jan_23_2015	47.21	49.08	49.32	49.66			49.65(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-10000	9	105	6.42	65%	0.08	38.8	0.7%	0	1	64	0
5	Jan_22_2015	47.17	49.06	49.3	49.51			50.21(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	41	-10000	17	114	12.06	69%	0.11	48.2	0.68%	0	2.1	69	0

6	Jan_21_2015	47.12	49	49.15	49.23			49.71(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	10	81	7.59	67%	0.11	53	0.67%	0	1.4	55	0
7	Jan_20_2015	47.07	48.95	48.98	49.07			49.47(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	6	44	9.98	70%	0.09	54.2	0.67%	0	1.1	50	0
8	Jan_16_2015	47.03	48.92	48.84	48.97			49.27(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	2	8	12.95	69%	0.11	55.4	0.69%	0	0.8	46	0
9	Jan_15_2015	46.98	48.86	48.75	48.94			48.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-7	-16	10.9	64%	0.09	53.3	0.7%	0	0	43	0
10	Jan_14_2015	46.94	48.8	48.71	49.07			48.8(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-3	-10000	1	-15	13.32	64%	0.06	46.9	0.72%	0	0	41	0

11	Jan_13_2015	46.91	48.74	48.73	49.06			48.95(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	6	-10000	11	-11	10.13	61%	0.09	30.3	0.72%	0	0.4	48	0
12	Jan_12_2015	46.87	48.69	48.76	48.86			48.96(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	11	-20	6.26	61%	0.11	12.2	0.74%	0	0.4	55	0
13	Jan_9_2015	46.82	48.67	48.8	48.67			49.11(-0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	8	-32	6.38	59%	0.09	2.2	0.74%	0	0.7	51	0
14	Jan_8_2015	46.78	48.62	48.82	48.52			49.51(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	12	-27	12.9	63%	0.11	-9	0.74%	0	1.4	64	0
15	Jan_7_2015	46.73	48.62	48.79	48.31			48.77(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-9	-10000	-4	-23	9.23	59%	0.09	-21.5	0.74%	0	0.3	65	0

16	Jan_6_2015	46.69	48.57	48.82	48.38			47.95(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-10000	-15	2	11.11	56%	0.06	-21.1	0.72%	0	-1	57	0
17	Jan_5_2015	46.66	48.62	48.91	48.65			48.01(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-10000	-16	39	8.27	56%	0.09	-12.8	0.72%	0	-1	54	0
18	Jan_2_2015	46.62	48.66	49.02	48.94			48.35(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-12	76	7.61	58%	0.13	0.8	0.73%	0	-0.5	49	0
19	Dec_31_2014	46.56	48.68	49.01	49.15			48.49(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	17	-10000	-10	99	5.22	57%	0.09	13.4	0.72%	0	-0.3	55	0
20	Dec_30_2014	46.52	48.71	48.92	49.15			49.09(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-10000	0	107	5.09	59%	0.11	28.1	0.71%	0	0.6	54	0

21	Dec_29_2014	46.47	48.7	48.78	49.33			49.31(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	7	94	13.48	59%	0.13	32.8	0.71%	0	1.1	54	0
22	Dec_26_2014	46.41	48.69	48.64	49.2			49.46(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	5	67	3.3	59%	0.19	34.5	0.7%	0	1.3	54	0
23	Dec_24_2014	46.32	48.65	48.54	49.11			49.38(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	15	59	1.48	58%	0.13	33.6	0.72%	0	1.3	54	0
24	Dec_23_2014	46.26	48.6	48.41	48.85			49.43(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	22	27	5.56	57%	0.13	23.9	0.74%	0	1.6	54	0
25	Dec_22_2014	46.2	48.55	48.31	48.45			49.09(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	17	-22	5.13	57%		5.8	0.74%	0	1.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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