Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $49.0200 (1.91%) ($48.3100 - $49.0500) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $49.0200(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VYM(81%)    IVE(73%)    SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(72%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.01(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.28(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.49(1.09%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.99% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2014	46.09	48.49	48.28	48.01			49.02(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-16	-10000	6	-81	8.73	57%	0.11	-11.1	0.73%	0	1.1	45	0
2	Dec_17_2014	46.04	48.46	48.24	48.01			48.1(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	0	-98	10.13	53%	0.09	-11.3	0.69%	0	-0.8	44	0
3	Dec_16_2014	46	48.48	48.3	47.91			47.41(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-10000	-15	-103	9.81	52%	0.07	-7.4	0.67%	0	-2.3	40	0
4	Dec_15_2014	45.97	48.52	48.48	48.15			47.59(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-27	-10000	-14	-67	9.45	52%	0.04	9.4	0.68%	0	-2.3	42	0
5	Dec_12_2014	45.95	48.54	48.63	48.38			47.91(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-12	-36	6.81	51%	0.07	26.3	0.67%	0	-1.6	45	0

6	Dec_11_2014	45.92	48.55	48.77	48.57			48.53(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-3	4	5.23	53%	0.09	47.4	0.66%	0	-0.1	56	0
7	Dec_10_2014	45.88	48.52	48.79	48.62			48.13(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-8	11	5.3	52%	0.07	51.8	0.65%	0	-1	47	0
8	Dec_9_2014	45.85	48.51	48.83	48.75			48.59(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-7	30	6.12	54%	0.09	67.8	0.64%	0	0.2	58	0
9	Dec_8_2014	45.81	48.48	48.82	48.86			48.75(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-3	50	4.65	52%	0.09	83.5	0.64%	0	0.6	64	0
10	Dec_5_2014	45.77	48.43	48.79	48.91			48.85(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-6	67	6.73	53%	0.09	93.7	0.65%	0	0.9	70	0

11	Dec_4_2014	45.73	48.37	48.74	49			48.76(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-10000	1	84	8.02	53%	0.09	107.1	0.65%	0	0.8	62	0
12	Dec_3_2014	45.69	48.31	48.71	48.98			48.8(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	-10000	4	97	5.91	53%	0.07	113.2	0.65%	0	1	65	0
13	Dec_2_2014	45.66	48.23	48.66	48.91			49.15(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	9	102	6.13	55%	0.09	110.5	0.64%	0	1.7	72	0
14	Dec_1_2014	45.62	48.12	48.55	48.77			48.98(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	7	89	8.33	55%	0.09	108.5	0.64%	0	1.5	68	0
15	Nov_28_2014	45.58	48	48.43	48.66			49.3(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	32	-10000	14	85	4.64	57%	0.09	103.1	0.63%	0	2.1	77	0

16	Nov_26_2014	45.54	47.86	48.3	48.45			48.68(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	3	69	3.64	54%	0.09	87.7	0.61%	0	1.2	74	0
17	Nov_25_2014	45.5	47.74	48.22	48.41			48.46(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	3	72	6.16	55%	0.07	85.8	0.61%	0	1	73	0
18	Nov_24_2014	45.47	47.63	48.16	48.37			48.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	84	4.91	55%	0.07	84.3	0.61%	0	1	77	0
19	Nov_21_2014	45.44	47.51	48.11	48.3			48.45(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	10	99	5.04	55%	0.09	82.9	0.61%	0	1.1	80	0
20	Nov_20_2014	45.4	47.38	48.04	48.16			48.25(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	3	103	4.08	55%	0.07	80.3	0.61%	0	1	81	0

21	Nov_19_2014	45.37	47.25	47.97	48.12			48.46(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	8	123	4.92	55%	0.09	84.1	0.61%	0	1.3	88	0
22	Nov_18_2014	45.33	47.11	47.87	48			48.26(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	6	137	5.02	56%	0.07	85.5	0.61%	0	1.2	89	0
23	Nov_17_2014	45.3	46.97	47.76	47.92			48.08(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	2	147	4.05	56%	0.09	84.8	0.61%	0	1.2	85	0
24	Nov_14_2014	45.26	46.83	47.65	47.92			47.76(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	0	164	7.54	55%	0.07	80.5	0.61%	0	0.9	85	0
25	Nov_13_2014	45.23	46.68	47.55	47.89			48.03(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-10000	6	188	7.51	55%		69.8	0.6%	0	1.2	93	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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