Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $45.4300 (-0.37%) ($45.3700 - $45.5900) on Fri. Sep. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $45.4300(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(72%)    XLV(71%)    XLI(67%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.48(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.36(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.26(0.38%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2014	44.74	45.26	45.36	45.48			45.43(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10000	6	31	5.41	48%	0.02	80.4	0.52%	0	0.8	57	0
2	Sep_18_2014	44.73	45.24	45.38	45.41			45.6(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	4	32	6.36	51%	0.02	82.6	0.52%	0	1.7	61	0
3	Sep_17_2014	44.72	45.2	45.35	45.36			45.51(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	3	29	10.48	51%	0.04	89.1	0.54%	0	1.5	60	0
4	Sep_16_2014	44.7	45.17	45.31	45.33			45.61(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	8	30	8.39	51%	0.02	106.8	0.54%	0	2.2	63	0
5	Sep_15_2014	44.69	45.13	45.26	45.33			45.27(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	0	16	6.1	49%	0.02	114.3	0.54%	0	0.7	56	0

6	Sep_12_2014	44.68	45.1	45.25	45.23			45.05(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-8	18	5.78	47%	0.04	107.8	0.53%	0	-0.2	58	0
7	Sep_11_2014	44.66	45.07	45.26	45.33			45.37(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	41	3.92	49%	0.04	120	0.53%	0	1.1	64	0
8	Sep_10_2014	44.64	45.02	45.23	45.32			45.35(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	3	46	4.19	49%	0.02	113	0.53%	0	1.1	65	0
9	Sep_9_2014	44.63	44.96	45.23	45.32			45.13(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	-10000	0	45	3.45	49%	0.04	107.7	0.53%	0	0.5	59	0
10	Sep_8_2014	44.61	44.92	45.2	45.29			45.24(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	2	54	4.23	49%	0.02	107.1	0.53%	0	0.8	67	0

11	Sep_5_2014	44.6	44.85	45.16	45.27			45.58(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	22	-10000	8	63	5.07	52%	0.04	99	0.52%	0	1.7	87	0
12	Sep_4_2014	44.58	44.75	45.1	45.18			45.32(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10000	4	60	4.38	50%	0.02	85.3	0.52%	0	1.2	86	0
13	Sep_3_2014	44.57	44.67	45.05	45.13			45.18(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	19	-10000	3	68	2.39	50%	0.04	78.9	0.52%	0	1	87	0
14	Sep_2_2014	44.55	44.59	45.02	45.1			45.15(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-10000	1	83	11.69	50%	0.09	63.5	0.52%	0	1	88	0
15	Aug_29_2014	44.51	44.51	44.99	45.09			45.13(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	5	97	3.08	54%	0.07	52.6	0.53%	0	1	86	0

16	Aug_28_2014	44.48	44.43	44.93	45.03			45.1(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	28	-10000	3	103	2.8	54%	0.02	38.2	0.54%	0	1	88	0
17	Aug_27_2014	44.47	44.33	44.87	45			45.08(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	-10000	3	126	2.05	54%	0.04	25	0.54%	0	1.2	91	0
18	Aug_26_2014	44.45	44.27	44.79	44.96			45.06(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	3	133	1.79	54%	0.05	16.9	0.54%	0	1.3	76	0
19	Aug_25_2014	44.43	44.23	44.7	44.93			45.09(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	5	150	1.99	54%	0.05	11.5	0.54%	0	1.5	80	0
20	Aug_22_2014	44.41	44.2	44.61	44.87			44.84(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	6	158	5.18	53%	0.05	5.5	0.54%	0	1.1	72	0

21	Aug_21_2014	44.39	44.19	44.52	44.8			44.95(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	7	163	1.72	54%	0.05	-0.8	0.54%	0	1.4	76	0
22	Aug_20_2014	44.37	44.18	44.37	44.71			44.87(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-10000	10	161	5.58	54%	0.05	-3.9	0.54%	0	1.2	79	0
23	Aug_19_2014	44.35	44.17	44.26	44.59			44.9(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	-10000	13	146	2.63	54%	0.05	-11.8	0.54%	0	1.3	61	0
24	Aug_18_2014	44.33	44.16	44.11	44.44			44.78(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	10	105	4.43	54%	0.05	-19.4	0.54%	0	1.1	52	0
25	Aug_15_2014	44.31	44.17	43.99	44.32			44.52(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	11	69	4.54	52%		-28.4	0.54%	0	0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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