Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: XLP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Consumer Staples sector ETF)
XLP latest price $45.6700 (0.57%) ($45.4200 - $45.7100) on Thu. Jun. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $45.6700(0.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XLP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XLP advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XLP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    VT(72%)    XLU(71%)    XLV(70%)    XLI(67%)
Factors Impacting XLP price   XLP will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-15%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.11(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.09(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.9(1.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XLP price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2014	43.23	44.9	45.09	45.11			45.67(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	18	30	11.4	69%	0.12	63.4	0.47%	0	2.1	62	0
2	Jun_18_2014	43.18	44.82	45.03	44.92			45.41(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	7	7	22.63	67%	0.09	52.6	0.48%	0	1.7	65	0
3	Jun_17_2014	43.14	44.76	44.98	44.85			44.88(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-5	6	4.9	64%	0.09	37.2	0.46%	0	0.3	65	0
4	Jun_16_2014	43.1	44.72	44.98	44.9			44.88(0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10000	-6	24	18.21	64%	0.07	36.1	0.46%	0	0.4	63	0
5	Jun_13_2014	43.07	44.69	44.97	44.96			44.71(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-10	49	1.94	64%	0.07	36.5	0.46%	0	0.1	63	0

6	Jun_12_2014	43.04	44.66	44.97	45.06			44.72(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	-10000	-8	89	5.19	64%	0.07	38	0.47%	0	0.1	65	0
7	Jun_11_2014	43.01	44.65	45.01	45.14			45.04(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	2	121	4.98	68%	0.07	45.7	0.46%	0	1	70	0
8	Jun_10_2014	42.98	44.63	44.95	45.12			45.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	40	-10000	8	134	4.36	68%	0.05	54.4	0.45%	0	1.3	78	0
9	Jun_9_2014	42.96	44.59	44.88	45.04			45.16(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	5	127	6.31	68%	0.07	57.6	0.45%	0	1.5	71	0
10	Jun_6_2014	42.93	44.56	44.79	44.99			45.23(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	3	123	2.56	68%	0.07	63.3	0.45%	0	1.9	70	0

11	Jun_5_2014	42.9	44.51	44.69	44.96			45.11(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	9	126	3.91	68%	0.07	68.1	0.45%	0	1.9	73	0
12	Jun_4_2014	42.87	44.46	44.6	44.87			44.93(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	12	110	3.15	71%	0.05	69.2	0.46%	0	1.6	59	0
13	Jun_3_2014	42.85	44.41	44.52	44.75			44.77(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	7	72	2.67	71%	0.07	51.5	0.48%	0	1.2	51	0
14	Jun_2_2014	42.82	44.37	44.46	44.68			44.93(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	12	55	3.27	71%	0.07	44.6	0.48%	0	1.9	55	0
15	May_30_2014	42.79	44.33	44.39	44.55			45.04(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	20	-10000	16	30	4.48	71%	0.05	42.4	0.49%	0	2.7	58	0

16	May_29_2014	42.77	44.29	44.28	44.38			44.69(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	-10000	8	-6	6.68	69%	0.07	42.6	0.48%	0	1.9	57	0
17	May_28_2014	42.74	44.26	44.24	44.3			44.34(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	6	-15	3.9	67%	0.05	51.2	0.48%	0	0.4	53	0
18	May_27_2014	42.72	44.25	44.27	44.24			44.4(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	4	-6	3.52	67%	0.07	53.5	0.48%	0	0.8	63	0
19	May_23_2014	42.69	44.24	44.28	44.24			44.28(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1	-10000	0	-3	2.71	67%	0.02	60	0.48%	0	0.2	54	0
20	May_22_2014	42.68	44.22	44.3	44.2			44.21(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	-10000	4	7	2.9	67%	0.05	55.8	0.48%	0	-0	51	0

21	May_21_2014	42.66	44.2	44.3	44.16			44.28(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-2	-10000	-2	0	5.04	67%	0.02	45.9	0.48%	0	0.3	52	0
22	May_20_2014	42.65	44.17	44.31	44.18			44.03(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10000	-11	1	6.25	66%	0.05	50	0.48%	0	-0.5	47	0
23	May_19_2014	42.63	44.15	44.3	44.3			44.19(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-8	14	2.81	66%	0.02	67.1	0.48%	0	0.1	53	0
24	May_16_2014	42.62	44.13	44.29	44.38			44.28(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-4	23	6.38	66%	0.05	87.1	0.48%	0	0.5	50	0
25	May_15_2014	42.6	44.1	44.28	44.42			44.01(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-10000	-5	42	4.73	64%		96	0.48%	0	-0.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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